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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

Nariño — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Colombia · Nariño / Antioquia · municipal · MayorCO-ALC-05483

Read the complete original research briefing

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
Nariño / Antioquia
Next election
2027-10-31
Linked upcoming event
next-fd7efb46661ce2917c8797d0
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-10-31 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • NARIÑO EN BUENAS MANOS37.9%
  • UNIDOS RENACEMOS35.8%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE SALVACION NACIONAL - MSN15.7%
  • PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI8.5%
  • INDEPENDIENTES2.0%
Results for event-ebb9739a685d93d1afc0ff45
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
NARIÑO EN BUENAS MANOS · Erika Cardona Perez20231570colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20231,86637.9%UnknownRecorded
UNIDOS RENACEMOS · Hernan Humberto Osorio Gallego20232262colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20231,76135.8%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO DE SALVACION NACIONAL - MSN · John Henry Arias Henao19900001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/202377315.7%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI · Carlos Julio Ospina Quinchia19910006colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20234198.5%UnknownRecorded
INDEPENDIENTES · Jhoanys Ñezco Coneo20190087colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023992%UnknownRecorded

2019

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE46.5%
  • COALICION ALCALDIA DE NARIÑO-ANT. PARTIDO LIBERAL - PARTIDO DE LA U Y PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL - "RENOVEMOS JUNTOS"31.0%
  • PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI22.5%
Results for event-c49293c067a23e9309272be0
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE · John Fredy Cifuentes Marin20130001colombia/S67eb704c85/20192,32146.5%UnknownRecorded
COALICION ALCALDIA DE NARIÑO-ANT. PARTIDO LIBERAL - PARTIDO DE LA U Y PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL - "RENOVEMOS JUNTOS" · Hernan Humberto Osorio Gallego20190501colombia/S67eb704c85/20191,54731%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI · John Henry Arias Henao19910006colombia/S67eb704c85/20191,12022.5%UnknownRecorded

2015

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE40.4%
  • PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U36.9%
  • PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO22.7%
Results for event-86d1b85ffe1260f1a041d8db
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE · Carlos Arturo Marin Londoño20130001colombia/S8164286948/20151,96840.4%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U · John Fredy Cifuentes Marin20050002colombia/S8164286948/20151,79836.9%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Raul De Jesus Franco Martinez18490002colombia/S8164286948/20151,10622.7%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

68.570–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=2.1350142334282225, oldest_gap=3.489326765188835, previous_gap=15.517241379310342

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

60.47percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,0,0,0,0,0,8.519723464823098,0,0,0,91.4802765351769],[0,0,0,0,46.53167602245389,0,22.453889334402565,0,0,0,31.014434643143545],[22.701149425287355,0,36.904761904761905,0,40.39408866995074,0,0,0,0,0,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

59.61percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,0,0,0,0,0,8.519723464823098,0,0,0,91.4802765351769],[0,0,0,0,46.53167602245389,0,22.453889334402565,0,0,0,31.014434643143545],[22.701149425287355,0,36.904761904761905,0,40.39408866995074,0,0,0,0,0,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

60.04percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,0,0,0,0,0,8.519723464823098,0,0,0,91.4802765351769],[0,0,0,0,46.53167602245389,0,22.453889334402565,0,0,0,31.014434643143545],[22.701149425287355,0,36.904761904761905,0,40.39408866995074,0,0,0,0,0,0]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review. Six 2023 assemblies remain absent: Amazonas, Guainía, Huila, Risaralda, Vaupés and Vichada. Cali’s 37 JAL boards and dated membership rosters are registered; the national JAL register, three-cycle votes and replacement-event final returns remain incomplete. Twenty mixed-list-type histories, Bogotá and Cali 2015 partial counts and candidate/elected-flag inconsistencies require reconciliation. The national historical portal rejected this browser through security screening. Full legal seat allocation is separate from candidate flags and directory headcounts.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “Nariño — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/CO-ALC-05483. Sources: colombia--url-44e0af24e3fef22401f2d269, colombia--url-f8cbad13a2c7112410d7a492, colombia--url-142631271ac95a7106b17681, colombia--Sdc3a3f1f89, colombia--S67eb704c85, colombia--S8164286948.