Office briefing
Marinilla — Mayor
Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.
Colombia · Marinilla / Antioquia · municipal · MayorCO-ALC-05440
Read the complete original research briefing
Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review.
1. What office, where, and when is the next election?
- Geography
- Marinilla / Antioquia
- Next election
- 2027-10-31
- Linked upcoming event
- next-f0fbedf78bd9d85f3c798836
- Registry qualification
- Unknown
2. How certain is that date?
2027-10-31 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.
3. Who won earlier selected elections?
2023
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes
- PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO40.4%
- MOTIVOS PARA CRECER24.4%
- PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO18.2%
- HAGAMOS GRANDE A MARINILLA6.1%
- PACTO HISTORICO COLOMBIA PUEDE4.0%
- MOVIMIENTO DE SALVACION NACIONAL - MSN2.7%
- MARINILLA CON FUTURO2.3%
- PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO1.2%
- MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA DEMOCRATICA AFROCOLOMBIANA - ADA - MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA DEMOCRATICA AMPLIA0.7%
- CEDE party code 202300050.2%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Julio Cesar Serna Gomez | 18490002colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 12,001 | 40.4% | Unknown | Recorded |
| MOTIVOS PARA CRECER · Jose Manuel Gonzalez Botero | 20231545colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 7,245 | 24.4% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO · Edgar Augusto Villegas Ramirez | 18480001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 5,413 | 18.2% | Unknown | Recorded |
| HAGAMOS GRANDE A MARINILLA · Cristian Mauricio Gomez Gomez | 20231322colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 1,801 | 6.1% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PACTO HISTORICO COLOMBIA PUEDE · John Edisson Ramirez Giraldo | 20231623colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 1,179 | 4% | Unknown | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO DE SALVACION NACIONAL - MSN · Juan De Dios Orozco Gallo | 19900001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 812 | 2.7% | Unknown | Recorded |
| MARINILLA CON FUTURO · Omar Ignacio Castaño Giraldo | 20231503colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 669 | 2.3% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO · Elkyn Dario Hincapie Ramirez | 20030001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 351 | 1.2% | Unknown | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA DEMOCRATICA AFROCOLOMBIANA - ADA - MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA DEMOCRATICA AMPLIA · Guillermo Leon Castrillon Gomez | 20180047colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 197 | 0.7% | Unknown | Recorded |
| CEDE party code 20230005 · Darwin Augusto Gomez Moya | 20230005colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 65 | 0.2% | Unknown | Recorded |
2019
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes
- PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U44.9%
- COALICION ALCALDIA DE MARINILLA-ANT. PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - PARTIDO LIBERAL Y PARTIDO COLOMBIA JUSTA LIBRES - "JUNTOS POR MARINILLA"21.0%
- G.S.C AVANCEMOS14.7%
- PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO7.6%
- PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE6.8%
- PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI5.0%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U · Jose Gildardo Hurtado Alzate | 20050002colombia/S67eb704c85/2019 | 11,883 | 44.9% | Unknown | Recorded |
| COALICION ALCALDIA DE MARINILLA-ANT. PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - PARTIDO LIBERAL Y PARTIDO COLOMBIA JUSTA LIBRES - "JUNTOS POR MARINILLA" · Jose Manuel Gonzalez Botero | 20190496colombia/S67eb704c85/2019 | 5,554 | 21% | Unknown | Recorded |
| G.S.C AVANCEMOS · Julio Cesar Serna Gomez | 20191335colombia/S67eb704c85/2019 | 3,892 | 14.7% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Dora Isabel Suarez Giraldo | 18490002colombia/S67eb704c85/2019 | 2,002 | 7.6% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE · German Dario Velez Ocampo | 20090002colombia/S67eb704c85/2019 | 1,804 | 6.8% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI · Luz Maribel Giraldo | 19910006colombia/S67eb704c85/2019 | 1,316 | 5% | Unknown | Recorded |
2015
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes
- MARINILLA SOMOS TODOS70.4%
- PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U12.8%
- TRABAJANDO DE CORAZON POR MARINILLA8.0%
- PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO7.3%
- POLO DEMOCRATICO ALTERNATIVO1.4%
- PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO0.0%
- PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI0.0%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MARINILLA SOMOS TODOS · Edgar Augusto Villegas Ramirez | 20150025colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 15,195 | 70.4% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U · Francisco Javier Ramirez Gomez | 20050002colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 2,771 | 12.8% | Unknown | Recorded |
| TRABAJANDO DE CORAZON POR MARINILLA · Felix Hernan Giraldo Serna | 20150026colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 1,734 | 8% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO · Juan Javier Gomez Gallego | 20030001colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 1,582 | 7.3% | Unknown | Recorded |
| POLO DEMOCRATICO ALTERNATIVO · Jose Fabio Zuluaga Henao | 20050001colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 304 | 1.4% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Retirado (A) | 18490002colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 5 | 0% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI · Retirado (A) | 19910006colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 2 | 0% | Unknown | Recorded |
4. Competition and volatility
competition index
Provisional imported-series CI0 (recorded zero)0–100 historical closeness
Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open
Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=15.995695019002458, oldest_gap=57.53716482193303, previous_gap=23.927261729235187
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility56.72percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Latest interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[40.36256011838698,18.205361046648505,0,1.1805065079204924,0,0,0,0,0,0,40.25157232704402],[7.5687119579600015,0,44.92457752069865,0,0,6.820158028051869,4.975237231106575,0,0,0,35.71131526218291],[0.023155652294725142,0,12.832862501736674,7.326448386051035,0,0,0.009262260917890057,0,1.4078636595192886,0,78.40040753948038]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility51.42percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Previous interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[40.36256011838698,18.205361046648505,0,1.1805065079204924,0,0,0,0,0,0,40.25157232704402],[7.5687119579600015,0,44.92457752069865,0,0,6.820158028051869,4.975237231106575,0,0,0,35.71131526218291],[0.023155652294725142,0,12.832862501736674,7.326448386051035,0,0,0.009262260917890057,0,1.4078636595192886,0,78.40040753948038]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility54.07percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Both intervals mean
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[40.36256011838698,18.205361046648505,0,1.1805065079204924,0,0,0,0,0,0,40.25157232704402],[7.5687119579600015,0,44.92457752069865,0,0,6.820158028051869,4.975237231106575,0,0,0,35.71131526218291],[0.023155652294725142,0,12.832862501736674,7.326448386051035,0,0,0.009262260917890057,0,1.4078636595192886,0,78.40040753948038]]
Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.
5. Officeholder evidence
Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.
No officeholder observation supplied.
6. Polling context
No local poll supplied.
National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.
7. Unresolved issues and sources
Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review. Six 2023 assemblies remain absent: Amazonas, Guainía, Huila, Risaralda, Vaupés and Vichada. Cali’s 37 JAL boards and dated membership rosters are registered; the national JAL register, three-cycle votes and replacement-event final returns remain incomplete. Twenty mixed-list-type histories, Bogotá and Cali 2015 partial counts and candidate/elected-flag inconsistencies require reconciliation. The national historical portal rejected this browser through security screening. Full legal seat allocation is separate from candidate flags and directory headcounts.
Sources
- Colombia: https://doi.org/10.71590/R2KLKI/BWJDHW · rights unknown
- Colombia: https://doi.org/10.71590/R2KLKI/QVG0NB · rights unknown
- Colombia: https://doi.org/10.71590/R2KLKI/UJ4B6K · rights unknown
- Colombia: CEDE Colombia 2023 alcaldia · rights unknown
- Colombia: CEDE Colombia 2019 alcaldia · rights unknown
- Colombia: CEDE Colombia 2015 alcaldia · rights unknown
Cite this record
Center for Digital Democracy. “Marinilla — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/CO-ALC-05440. Sources: colombia--url-44e0af24e3fef22401f2d269, colombia--url-f8cbad13a2c7112410d7a492, colombia--url-142631271ac95a7106b17681, colombia--Sdc3a3f1f89, colombia--S67eb704c85, colombia--S8164286948.