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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

Maceo — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Colombia · Maceo / Antioquia · municipal · MayorCO-ALC-05425

Read the complete original research briefing

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
Maceo / Antioquia
Next election
2027-10-31
Linked upcoming event
next-fc3fe96d60eef2c1bd6e34d7
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-10-31 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • COALICION MACEO INCLUYENTE34.6%
  • UNIDOS MACEO GANA32.3%
  • VOLVER A CRECER31.4%
  • MOVIMIENTO NUEVA FUERZA DEMOCRATICA1.7%
Results for event-a24b5d62f44e52840f129566
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
COALICION MACEO INCLUYENTE · Carolina Andrea Sosa Gomez20230815colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20231,76934.6%UnknownRecorded
UNIDOS MACEO GANA · Enrique Octavio Suarez Rodriguez20232172colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20231,65532.3%UnknownRecorded
VOLVER A CRECER · Edgar Alirio Gonzalez Agudelo20232321colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20231,60931.4%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO NUEVA FUERZA DEMOCRATICA · Evelio De Jesus Gonzalez Agudelo19900002colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023871.7%UnknownRecorded

2019

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO39.9%
  • PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE35.6%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO24.5%
Results for event-000d7cddd6f9f75646887f3c
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Carlos Alberto Restrepo Gonzalez18490002colombia/S67eb704c85/20191,95639.9%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE · Carlos Andres Gomez Gonzalez20090002colombia/S67eb704c85/20191,74835.6%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO · Jorge Alexander Ochoa18480001colombia/S67eb704c85/20191,20324.5%UnknownRecorded

2015

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U39.1%
  • PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO37.6%
  • PARTIDO OPCION CIUDADANA14.4%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO8.3%
  • PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO0.6%
Results for event-b7ee8b7a6076a9bcc857b2b7
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U · Edgar Alirio Gonzalez Agudelo20050002colombia/S8164286948/20151,65239.1%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Carlos Alberto Restrepo Gonzalez18490002colombia/S8164286948/20151,59237.6%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO OPCION CIUDADANA · Jorge Alexander Ochoa20090001colombia/S8164286948/201560914.4%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO · Guillermo Enrique Gonzalez Ochoa18480001colombia/S8164286948/20153498.3%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO · Leonor Marina Cardona Marulanda20030001colombia/S8164286948/2015270.6%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

86.250–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=2.2265625, oldest_gap=1.4187751241428188, previous_gap=4.238842469940906

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,[39.86142245771347,24.51599755451396,0,0,0,35.62257998777257,0,0,0,0,0],[37.644833293922915,8.252541972097422,39.06360841806573,0.6384488058642706,0,0,0,0,0,0,14.400567510049656]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

54.1percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,[39.86142245771347,24.51599755451396,0,0,0,35.62257998777257,0,0,0,0,0],[37.644833293922915,8.252541972097422,39.06360841806573,0.6384488058642706,0,0,0,0,0,0,14.400567510049656]]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,[39.86142245771347,24.51599755451396,0,0,0,35.62257998777257,0,0,0,0,0],[37.644833293922915,8.252541972097422,39.06360841806573,0.6384488058642706,0,0,0,0,0,0,14.400567510049656]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review. Six 2023 assemblies remain absent: Amazonas, Guainía, Huila, Risaralda, Vaupés and Vichada. Cali’s 37 JAL boards and dated membership rosters are registered; the national JAL register, three-cycle votes and replacement-event final returns remain incomplete. Twenty mixed-list-type histories, Bogotá and Cali 2015 partial counts and candidate/elected-flag inconsistencies require reconciliation. The national historical portal rejected this browser through security screening. Full legal seat allocation is separate from candidate flags and directory headcounts.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “Maceo — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/CO-ALC-05425. Sources: colombia--url-44e0af24e3fef22401f2d269, colombia--url-f8cbad13a2c7112410d7a492, colombia--url-142631271ac95a7106b17681, colombia--Sdc3a3f1f89, colombia--S67eb704c85, colombia--S8164286948.