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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

Liborina — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Colombia · Liborina / Antioquia · municipal · MayorCO-ALC-05411

Read the complete original research briefing

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
Liborina / Antioquia
Next election
2027-10-31
Linked upcoming event
next-684cddc1e06170e517f8db37
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-10-31 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO COLOMBIA RENACIENTE52.2%
  • TRABAJO, VOCACION Y LEALTAD47.8%
Results for event-1ebdd6f28d0604ea975b1b38
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLOMBIA RENACIENTE · Nancy Amparo Avendaño Moreno20180046colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20233,39552.2%UnknownRecorded
TRABAJO, VOCACION Y LEALTAD · Oscar Alveiro Henao Pulgarin20232078colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20233,11447.8%UnknownRecorded

2019

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA DEMOCRATICA AFROCOLOMBIANA - ADA - MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA DEMOCRATICA AMPLIA53.9%
  • COALICION ALCALDIA DE LIBORINA-ANT. PARTIDO DE LA U - PARTIDO LIBERAL - PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL Y PARTIDO CONSERVADOR - "UNIDOS POR LIBORINA"34.1%
  • PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE12.0%
Results for event-c6230beffcbf5dcf67dc19ab
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA DEMOCRATICA AFROCOLOMBIANA - ADA - MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA DEMOCRATICA AMPLIA · Adriana Maria Maya Gallego20180047colombia/S67eb704c85/20193,27753.9%UnknownRecorded
COALICION ALCALDIA DE LIBORINA-ANT. PARTIDO DE LA U - PARTIDO LIBERAL - PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL Y PARTIDO CONSERVADOR - "UNIDOS POR LIBORINA" · Juan Diego Escudero Correa20190495colombia/S67eb704c85/20192,07634.1%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE · Nancy Amparo Avendaño Moreno20130001colombia/S67eb704c85/201972812%UnknownRecorded

2015

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE64.3%
  • PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO35.7%
Results for event-cfd629d461630e2b0db1798d
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE · Oscar Alveiro Henao Pulgarin20130001colombia/S8164286948/20153,94564.3%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Oscar Ancisar Zapata Marin18490002colombia/S8164286948/20152,19535.7%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

43.170–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=4.317099400829619, oldest_gap=28.501628664495115, previous_gap=19.75004111165927

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,[0,0,0,0,11.971715178424601,0,0,0,0,0,88.0282848215754],[35.74918566775244,0,0,0,64.25081433224756,0,0,0,0,0,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

88.03percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,[0,0,0,0,11.971715178424601,0,0,0,0,0,88.0282848215754],[35.74918566775244,0,0,0,64.25081433224756,0,0,0,0,0,0]]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,[0,0,0,0,11.971715178424601,0,0,0,0,0,88.0282848215754],[35.74918566775244,0,0,0,64.25081433224756,0,0,0,0,0,0]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review. Six 2023 assemblies remain absent: Amazonas, Guainía, Huila, Risaralda, Vaupés and Vichada. Cali’s 37 JAL boards and dated membership rosters are registered; the national JAL register, three-cycle votes and replacement-event final returns remain incomplete. Twenty mixed-list-type histories, Bogotá and Cali 2015 partial counts and candidate/elected-flag inconsistencies require reconciliation. The national historical portal rejected this browser through security screening. Full legal seat allocation is separate from candidate flags and directory headcounts.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “Liborina — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/CO-ALC-05411. Sources: colombia--url-44e0af24e3fef22401f2d269, colombia--url-f8cbad13a2c7112410d7a492, colombia--url-142631271ac95a7106b17681, colombia--Sdc3a3f1f89, colombia--S67eb704c85, colombia--S8164286948.