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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

La Union — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Colombia · La Union / Antioquia · municipal · MayorCO-ALC-05400

Read the complete original research briefing

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
La Union / Antioquia
Next election
2027-10-31
Linked upcoming event
next-6f2fca90c9b8f24cd1cb733d
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-10-31 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • COALICION ALCALDIA DE UNION PANAMERICANA-CHOC. PARTIDO COLOMBIA RENACIENTE Y PARTIDO CONSERVADOR - "LA UNION SOMOS TODOS"46.5%
  • ES HORA DE AVANZAR22.0%
  • LA UNION ES LA CLAVE16.4%
  • PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U15.1%
Results for event-32942ce64f2b449d8507ed43
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
COALICION ALCALDIA DE UNION PANAMERICANA-CHOC. PARTIDO COLOMBIA RENACIENTE Y PARTIDO CONSERVADOR - "LA UNION SOMOS TODOS" · Carmen Judith Valencia Moreno20190796colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20236,23046.5%UnknownRecorded
ES HORA DE AVANZAR · Diego Alexander Tibaquira Castrillon20231202colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20232,94622%UnknownRecorded
LA UNION ES LA CLAVE · Eleuterio De Jesus Martinez Valencia20231458colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20232,20416.4%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U · Hugo Botero Lopez20050002colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20232,02315.1%UnknownRecorded

2019

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • COALICION ALCALDIA DE LA UNION-ANT. PARTIDO LIBERAL Y ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - "LA UNION EN BUENAS MANOS"32.9%
  • PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO21.7%
  • PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE17.2%
  • PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO15.1%
  • PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE8.7%
  • PARTIDO COLOMBIA RENACIENTE3.3%
  • POLO DEMOCRATICO ALTERNATIVO1.1%
Results for event-3212b6d6b8d42951d534116d
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
COALICION ALCALDIA DE LA UNION-ANT. PARTIDO LIBERAL Y ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - "LA UNION EN BUENAS MANOS" · Edgar Alexander Osorio Londoño20190494colombia/S67eb704c85/20194,00932.9%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO · Eleuterio De Jesus Martinez Valencia20030001colombia/S67eb704c85/20192,64721.7%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE · Diego Alexander Tibaquira Castrillon20090002colombia/S67eb704c85/20192,09217.2%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Carlos Andres Marulanda Garcia18490002colombia/S67eb704c85/20191,84015.1%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE · Eduardo Antonio Castro Bedoya20130001colombia/S67eb704c85/20191,0548.7%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO COLOMBIA RENACIENTE · Carlos Mario Rios Guzman20180046colombia/S67eb704c85/20194053.3%UnknownRecorded
POLO DEMOCRATICO ALTERNATIVO · Sebastian Cardona Henao20050001colombia/S67eb704c85/20191351.1%UnknownRecorded

2015

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO OPCION CIUDADANA24.0%
  • PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO23.9%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO22.2%
  • PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE15.6%
  • PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE8.3%
  • PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI5.9%
Results for event-452ac537ec112312be3cf523
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO OPCION CIUDADANA · Hugo Botero Lopez20090001colombia/S8164286948/20152,46724%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO · Eleuterio De Jesus Martinez Valencia20030001colombia/S8164286948/20152,45723.9%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO · Carlos Alberto Franco Arroyave18480001colombia/S8164286948/20152,28022.2%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE · Fernando Jaime Botero Campuzano20130001colombia/S8164286948/20151,60215.6%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE · Pablo Pelaez Mejia20090002colombia/S8164286948/20158558.3%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI · Natalia Duque Alzate19910006colombia/S8164286948/20156085.9%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

9.670–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=24.50197716929046, oldest_gap=0.09738046547862567, previous_gap=11.180430142833693

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

63.77percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,0,15.093635753189584,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,84.90636424681043],[15.104252175340667,0,0,21.728780167460187,8.652109670004926,17.17287801674602,0,0,1.1081924150385816,0,36.23378755540963],[0,22.202746129126496,0,23.926380368098158,15.600350569675722,8.326029798422436,5.920732301100399,0,0,0,24.023760833576784]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

37.27percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,0,15.093635753189584,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,84.90636424681043],[15.104252175340667,0,0,21.728780167460187,8.652109670004926,17.17287801674602,0,0,1.1081924150385816,0,36.23378755540963],[0,22.202746129126496,0,23.926380368098158,15.600350569675722,8.326029798422436,5.920732301100399,0,0,0,24.023760833576784]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

50.52percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,0,15.093635753189584,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,84.90636424681043],[15.104252175340667,0,0,21.728780167460187,8.652109670004926,17.17287801674602,0,0,1.1081924150385816,0,36.23378755540963],[0,22.202746129126496,0,23.926380368098158,15.600350569675722,8.326029798422436,5.920732301100399,0,0,0,24.023760833576784]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review. Six 2023 assemblies remain absent: Amazonas, Guainía, Huila, Risaralda, Vaupés and Vichada. Cali’s 37 JAL boards and dated membership rosters are registered; the national JAL register, three-cycle votes and replacement-event final returns remain incomplete. Twenty mixed-list-type histories, Bogotá and Cali 2015 partial counts and candidate/elected-flag inconsistencies require reconciliation. The national historical portal rejected this browser through security screening. Full legal seat allocation is separate from candidate flags and directory headcounts.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “La Union — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/CO-ALC-05400. Sources: colombia--url-44e0af24e3fef22401f2d269, colombia--url-f8cbad13a2c7112410d7a492, colombia--url-142631271ac95a7106b17681, colombia--Sdc3a3f1f89, colombia--S67eb704c85, colombia--S8164286948.