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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

La Estrella — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Colombia · La Estrella / Antioquia · municipal · MayorCO-ALC-05380

Read the complete original research briefing

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
La Estrella / Antioquia
Next election
2027-10-31
Linked upcoming event
next-7c9c1ae1eda1d43059d2e843
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-10-31 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • COALICION POR EL CAMINO CORRECTO35.8%
  • UNA ESTRELLA PARA TODOS35.8%
  • ALIANZA CREO19.3%
  • CREEMOS4.6%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE SALVACION NACIONAL - MSN3.6%
  • POLO DEMOCRATICO ALTERNATIVO1.0%
Results for event-0b0a96f7fa62dc771b7fa080
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
COALICION POR EL CAMINO CORRECTO · Carlos Mario Gutierrez Arrubla20230851colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/202311,53835.8%UnknownRecorded
UNA ESTRELLA PARA TODOS · Liliana Maria Ramirez Quintero20232129colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/202311,51235.8%UnknownRecorded
ALIANZA CREO · Deimer Esneider Florez Ocampo20230053colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20236,20319.3%UnknownRecorded
CREEMOS · Juan Camilo Ortiz Mejia20150003colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20231,4854.6%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO DE SALVACION NACIONAL - MSN · Andres Felipe Villa Rodriguez19900001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20231,1433.6%UnknownRecorded
POLO DEMOCRATICO ALTERNATIVO · Maria Cecilia Jaramillo Echavarria20050001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20233101%UnknownRecorded

2019

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • COALICION ALCALDIA DE LA ESTRELLA-ANT. PARTIDO LIBERAL - PARTIDO CONSERVADOR - PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL - ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE Y PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - "UN PACTO POR LA GENTE"69.3%
  • PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U17.2%
  • PARTIDO DE REIVINDICACION ETNICA - PRE9.7%
  • PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE3.8%
Results for event-672c8ff9d8e475e58423ae1a
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
COALICION ALCALDIA DE LA ESTRELLA-ANT. PARTIDO LIBERAL - PARTIDO CONSERVADOR - PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL - ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE Y PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - "UN PACTO POR LA GENTE" · Juan Sebastian Abad Betancur20190493colombia/S67eb704c85/201918,09669.3%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U · Charles Figueroa Lopera20050002colombia/S67eb704c85/20194,49217.2%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO DE REIVINDICACION ETNICA - PRE · Carlos Alberto Muñoz Mejia20180004colombia/S67eb704c85/20192,5459.7%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE · Jose Gabriel Corrales Trejos20090002colombia/S67eb704c85/20199823.8%UnknownRecorded

2015

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U74.6%
  • PARTIDO OPCION CIUDADANA24.7%
  • MOVIMIENTO ALTERNATIVO INDIGENA Y SOCIAL - MAIS0.7%
Results for event-51eedcd47f3af12c363ee83f
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U · Jhonny Alexander Garcia Yepes20050002colombia/S8164286948/201517,51874.6%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO OPCION CIUDADANA · Leida Patricia Quiceno20090001colombia/S8164286948/20155,80424.7%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO ALTERNATIVO INDIGENA Y SOCIAL - MAIS · Juliber Antonio Loaiza Arcila20130002colombia/S8164286948/20151600.7%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

0 (recorded zero)0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=0.08076791649839521, oldest_gap=49.88501831189848, previous_gap=52.09266704958836

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

20.96percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.963002081327079,0,99.03699791867292],[0,0,17.20084242772353,0,0,3.7602910204863105,0,0,0,0,79.03886655179015],[0,0,74.60182267268546,0,0,0,0,0.681372966527553,0,0,24.716804360786984]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

58.08percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.963002081327079,0,99.03699791867292],[0,0,17.20084242772353,0,0,3.7602910204863105,0,0,0,0,79.03886655179015],[0,0,74.60182267268546,0,0,0,0,0.681372966527553,0,0,24.716804360786984]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

39.52percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.963002081327079,0,99.03699791867292],[0,0,17.20084242772353,0,0,3.7602910204863105,0,0,0,0,79.03886655179015],[0,0,74.60182267268546,0,0,0,0,0.681372966527553,0,0,24.716804360786984]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review. Six 2023 assemblies remain absent: Amazonas, Guainía, Huila, Risaralda, Vaupés and Vichada. Cali’s 37 JAL boards and dated membership rosters are registered; the national JAL register, three-cycle votes and replacement-event final returns remain incomplete. Twenty mixed-list-type histories, Bogotá and Cali 2015 partial counts and candidate/elected-flag inconsistencies require reconciliation. The national historical portal rejected this browser through security screening. Full legal seat allocation is separate from candidate flags and directory headcounts.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “La Estrella — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/CO-ALC-05380. Sources: colombia--url-44e0af24e3fef22401f2d269, colombia--url-f8cbad13a2c7112410d7a492, colombia--url-142631271ac95a7106b17681, colombia--Sdc3a3f1f89, colombia--S67eb704c85, colombia--S8164286948.