Skip to observatory content

Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

Ituango — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Colombia · Ituango / Antioquia · municipal · MayorCO-ALC-05361

Read the complete original research briefing

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
Ituango / Antioquia
Next election
2027-10-31
Linked upcoming event
next-2d952f6d933b3965f667f21d
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-10-31 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • ITUANGO NOS UNE49.5%
  • YO SOY ITUANGO23.2%
  • PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI22.4%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO3.7%
  • PACTO HISTORICO COLOMBIA PUEDE1.2%
Results for event-8e987317796c04bee361d764
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
ITUANGO NOS UNE · Javier De Jesus Parias Posso20231360colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20233,51049.5%UnknownRecorded
YO SOY ITUANGO · Luz Stella Muñoz Nohava20232334colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20231,64923.2%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI · Juan Diego Lopez Zapata19910006colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20231,59022.4%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO · Hernan Dario Alvarez Uribe18480001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20232613.7%UnknownRecorded
PACTO HISTORICO COLOMBIA PUEDE · Oscar Alonso Palacio Lopera20231623colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023871.2%UnknownRecorded

2019

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U23.6%
  • PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO23.3%
  • PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE17.1%
  • PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO15.4%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO8.7%
  • PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI5.8%
  • MOVIMIENTO ALTERNATIVO INDIGENA Y SOCIAL - MAIS2.7%
  • PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE2.2%
  • POLO DEMOCRATICO ALTERNATIVO1.2%
Results for event-5a72fbd951220acbafc19621
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U · Edwin Mauricio Mira Sepulveda20050002colombia/S67eb704c85/20191,64823.6%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO · Ana Catalina Sucerquia Areiza20030001colombia/S67eb704c85/20191,62923.3%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE · Adan Esneider Guzman Upegui20130001colombia/S67eb704c85/20191,19317.1%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Javier De Jesus Parias Posso18490002colombia/S67eb704c85/20191,07515.4%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO · Jesus Ivan Graciano George18480001colombia/S67eb704c85/20196098.7%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI · Luis Octavio Gutierrez Montes19910006colombia/S67eb704c85/20194035.8%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO ALTERNATIVO INDIGENA Y SOCIAL - MAIS · Factor Emilio Rojas Durango20130002colombia/S67eb704c85/20191902.7%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE · Esteban Usuga Montoya20090002colombia/S67eb704c85/20191542.2%UnknownRecorded
POLO DEMOCRATICO ALTERNATIVO · Nubia Ciro Zuleta20050001colombia/S67eb704c85/2019831.2%UnknownRecorded

2015

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO68.1%
  • PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO31.9%
Results for event-ca3f345a41a322a594b4ec57
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO · Hernan Dario Alvarez Uribe18480001colombia/S8164286948/20154,27768.1%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Javier De Jesus Parias Posso18490002colombia/S8164286948/20151,99931.9%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

2.780–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=26.222347470762294, oldest_gap=36.2970044614404, previous_gap=0.2720504009163811

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

90.55percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,3.6776102578554317,0,0,0,0,22.403832605326194,0,0,0,73.91855713681838],[15.392325315005728,8.719931271477662,23.59679266895762,23.324742268041238,17.081901489117985,2.20504009163803,5.770332187857961,2.720504009163803,1.188430698739977,0,0],[31.851497769279796,68.1485022307202,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

75.89percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,3.6776102578554317,0,0,0,0,22.403832605326194,0,0,0,73.91855713681838],[15.392325315005728,8.719931271477662,23.59679266895762,23.324742268041238,17.081901489117985,2.20504009163803,5.770332187857961,2.720504009163803,1.188430698739977,0,0],[31.851497769279796,68.1485022307202,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

83.22percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,3.6776102578554317,0,0,0,0,22.403832605326194,0,0,0,73.91855713681838],[15.392325315005728,8.719931271477662,23.59679266895762,23.324742268041238,17.081901489117985,2.20504009163803,5.770332187857961,2.720504009163803,1.188430698739977,0,0],[31.851497769279796,68.1485022307202,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review. Six 2023 assemblies remain absent: Amazonas, Guainía, Huila, Risaralda, Vaupés and Vichada. Cali’s 37 JAL boards and dated membership rosters are registered; the national JAL register, three-cycle votes and replacement-event final returns remain incomplete. Twenty mixed-list-type histories, Bogotá and Cali 2015 partial counts and candidate/elected-flag inconsistencies require reconciliation. The national historical portal rejected this browser through security screening. Full legal seat allocation is separate from candidate flags and directory headcounts.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “Ituango — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/CO-ALC-05361. Sources: colombia--url-44e0af24e3fef22401f2d269, colombia--url-f8cbad13a2c7112410d7a492, colombia--url-142631271ac95a7106b17681, colombia--Sdc3a3f1f89, colombia--S67eb704c85, colombia--S8164286948.