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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

Hispania — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Colombia · Hispania / Antioquia · municipal · MayorCO-ALC-05353

Read the complete original research briefing

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
Hispania / Antioquia
Next election
2027-10-31
Linked upcoming event
next-66969a5201f1c930ddeaea45
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-10-31 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • SOMOS HISPANIA DE CORAZON43.2%
  • VOLVER A CREER41.1%
  • CEDE party code 202300028.9%
  • POLO DEMOCRATICO ALTERNATIVO3.0%
  • PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO2.2%
  • MOVIMIENTO POLITICO COLOMBIA HUMANA1.6%
Results for event-ad7dfa83e9a77a459cf43b1b
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
SOMOS HISPANIA DE CORAZON · Orlando Arturo Marin Atehortua20231975colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20231,51843.2%UnknownRecorded
VOLVER A CREER · Fredy Alexander Quiroz Vanegas20232322colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20231,44341.1%UnknownRecorded
CEDE party code 20230002 · Sergio Stiven Taborda Alvarez20230002colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20233148.9%UnknownRecorded
POLO DEMOCRATICO ALTERNATIVO · Julian David Maldonado Montoya20050001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20231063%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Leydy Mariana Cortes Ochoa18490002colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023782.2%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO POLITICO COLOMBIA HUMANA · Oscar De Jesus Alzate Arboleda19690001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023561.6%UnknownRecorded

2019

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • COALICION ALCALDIA DE HISPANIA-ANT. PARTIDO LIBERAL Y PARTIDO COLOMBIA RENACIENTE - "UNIDOS POR LO SOCIAL"44.5%
  • PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U31.7%
  • PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE10.0%
  • PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO7.0%
  • PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO4.0%
  • PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE2.5%
  • PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI0.3%
Results for event-865dc688125debeef974118b
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
COALICION ALCALDIA DE HISPANIA-ANT. PARTIDO LIBERAL Y PARTIDO COLOMBIA RENACIENTE - "UNIDOS POR LO SOCIAL" · Leidy Johana Cardona Rueda20190485colombia/S67eb704c85/20191,39044.5%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U · Yasmin Ibony Vanegas Valencia20050002colombia/S67eb704c85/201999031.7%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE · Juan Carlos Romero Londoño20130001colombia/S67eb704c85/201931410%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Simon Vasquez Villada18490002colombia/S67eb704c85/20192197%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO · Hernando De Jesus Espinal Ramirez20030001colombia/S67eb704c85/20191264%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE · Anderson Restrepo Cortes20090002colombia/S67eb704c85/2019782.5%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI · Catalina Maria Lopera Posada19910006colombia/S67eb704c85/2019100.3%UnknownRecorded

2015

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO50.5%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO49.5%
Results for event-3d1560084c85e131ab6b1adf
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Jorge Alberto Vanegas Diaz18490002colombia/S8164286948/20151,58650.5%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO · Leidy Johana Cardona Rueda18480001colombia/S8164286948/20151,55549.5%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

73.920–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=2.1337126600284506, oldest_gap=0.9869468322190329, previous_gap=12.791813239526704

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

53.33percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[2.2190611664295874,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,3.015647226173542,0,94.76529160739686],[7.00351774864087,0,31.659737767828588,4.029421170450911,10.041573393028461,2.494403581707707,0.3197953309881676,0,0,0,44.45155100735529],[50.49347341610952,49.50652658389048,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

93percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[2.2190611664295874,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,3.015647226173542,0,94.76529160739686],[7.00351774864087,0,31.659737767828588,4.029421170450911,10.041573393028461,2.494403581707707,0.3197953309881676,0,0,0,44.45155100735529],[50.49347341610952,49.50652658389048,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

73.16percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[2.2190611664295874,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,3.015647226173542,0,94.76529160739686],[7.00351774864087,0,31.659737767828588,4.029421170450911,10.041573393028461,2.494403581707707,0.3197953309881676,0,0,0,44.45155100735529],[50.49347341610952,49.50652658389048,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review. Six 2023 assemblies remain absent: Amazonas, Guainía, Huila, Risaralda, Vaupés and Vichada. Cali’s 37 JAL boards and dated membership rosters are registered; the national JAL register, three-cycle votes and replacement-event final returns remain incomplete. Twenty mixed-list-type histories, Bogotá and Cali 2015 partial counts and candidate/elected-flag inconsistencies require reconciliation. The national historical portal rejected this browser through security screening. Full legal seat allocation is separate from candidate flags and directory headcounts.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “Hispania — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/CO-ALC-05353. Sources: colombia--url-44e0af24e3fef22401f2d269, colombia--url-f8cbad13a2c7112410d7a492, colombia--url-142631271ac95a7106b17681, colombia--Sdc3a3f1f89, colombia--S67eb704c85, colombia--S8164286948.