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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

Girardota — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Colombia · Girardota / Antioquia · municipal · MayorCO-ALC-05308

Read the complete original research briefing

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
Girardota / Antioquia
Next election
2027-10-31
Linked upcoming event
next-ca903df868ea43cc70475fce
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-10-31 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • DECENCIA EN LO PUBLICO47.1%
  • GIRARDOTA TERRITORIO DE VIDA40.7%
  • PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO10.0%
  • PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE1.4%
  • MOVIMIENTO NUEVA FUERZA DEMOCRATICA0.4%
  • POLO DEMOCRATICO ALTERNATIVO0.3%
Results for event-40be0a41b69a4f9bf37a963a
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
DECENCIA EN LO PUBLICO · Kevin Rene Bernal Morales20231081colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/202313,19747.1%UnknownRecorded
GIRARDOTA TERRITORIO DE VIDA · Juan Ignacio Torres Gomez20231285colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/202311,39340.7%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO · Alejandro Posada Jimenez20030001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20232,80310%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE · Olga Lucia Mazo Jaramillo20130001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20234001.4%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO NUEVA FUERZA DEMOCRATICA · Jorge Raul Cordoba Cadavid19900002colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20231120.4%UnknownRecorded
POLO DEMOCRATICO ALTERNATIVO · Hernan Gustavo Gomez Ochoa20050001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023910.3%UnknownRecorded

2019

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • COALICION ALCALDIA DE GIRARDOTA-ANT. PARTIDO CONSERVADOR Y PARTIDO LIBERAL41.6%
  • COALICION ALCALDIA DE GIRARDOTA-ANT. PARTIDO DE LA U - PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL Y PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - "GIRARDOTA UNA SOLA FAMILIA"24.0%
  • PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE15.2%
  • PARTIDO COLOMBIA JUSTA LIBRES10.8%
  • COALICION ALCALDIA DE GIRARDOTA-ANT. MOVIMIENTO AICO Y PARTIDO COLOMBIA RENACIENTE - "LLEGO EL MOMENTO"7.8%
  • MOVIMIENTO ALTERNATIVO INDIGENA Y SOCIAL - MAIS0.5%
Results for event-f208647eaefd39b1fa2c3642
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
COALICION ALCALDIA DE GIRARDOTA-ANT. PARTIDO CONSERVADOR Y PARTIDO LIBERAL · Diego Armando Agudelo Torres20190109colombia/S67eb704c85/201910,76041.6%UnknownRecorded
COALICION ALCALDIA DE GIRARDOTA-ANT. PARTIDO DE LA U - PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL Y PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - "GIRARDOTA UNA SOLA FAMILIA" · Luis Fernando Ortiz Sanchez20190480colombia/S67eb704c85/20196,21124%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE · Pedro Ignacio Hoyos Sierra20090002colombia/S67eb704c85/20193,92515.2%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO COLOMBIA JUSTA LIBRES · Duber Andres Sanchez Castro20170001colombia/S67eb704c85/20192,79810.8%UnknownRecorded
COALICION ALCALDIA DE GIRARDOTA-ANT. MOVIMIENTO AICO Y PARTIDO COLOMBIA RENACIENTE - "LLEGO EL MOMENTO" · Diana Milena Osorno Alzate20190479colombia/S67eb704c85/20192,0157.8%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO ALTERNATIVO INDIGENA Y SOCIAL - MAIS · Hernan Gustavo Gomez Ochoa20130002colombia/S67eb704c85/20191400.5%UnknownRecorded

2015

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • UNIDOS HACEMOS MAS42.8%
  • PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO32.3%
  • PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI24.7%
  • PARTIDO OPCION CIUDADANA0.2%
Results for event-b6bc82bbdf3cf04e4f007a4a
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
UNIDOS HACEMOS MAS · Yan Bladimir Jaramillo Garcia20150018colombia/S8164286948/20159,90042.8%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Diego Armando Agudelo Torres18490002colombia/S8164286948/20157,48832.3%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI · Pedro Ignacio Hoyos Sierra19910006colombia/S8164286948/20155,70724.7%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO OPCION CIUDADANA · Jorge Raul Cordoba Cadavid20090001colombia/S8164286948/2015550.2%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

49.060–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=6.4437776825260755, oldest_gap=10.419006479481645, previous_gap=17.59835970443731

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

15.73percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,0,0,10.012144592084583,1.4287755393627661,0,0,0,0.3250464352050293,0,88.23403343334762],[0,0,0,0,0,15.184339819722233,0,0.541607025416844,0,0,84.27405315486092],[32.34557235421166,0,0,0,0,0,24.652267818574515,0,0,0,43.00215982721382]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

57percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,0,0,10.012144592084583,1.4287755393627661,0,0,0,0.3250464352050293,0,88.23403343334762],[0,0,0,0,0,15.184339819722233,0,0.541607025416844,0,0,84.27405315486092],[32.34557235421166,0,0,0,0,0,24.652267818574515,0,0,0,43.00215982721382]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

36.36percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,0,0,10.012144592084583,1.4287755393627661,0,0,0,0.3250464352050293,0,88.23403343334762],[0,0,0,0,0,15.184339819722233,0,0.541607025416844,0,0,84.27405315486092],[32.34557235421166,0,0,0,0,0,24.652267818574515,0,0,0,43.00215982721382]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review. Six 2023 assemblies remain absent: Amazonas, Guainía, Huila, Risaralda, Vaupés and Vichada. Cali’s 37 JAL boards and dated membership rosters are registered; the national JAL register, three-cycle votes and replacement-event final returns remain incomplete. Twenty mixed-list-type histories, Bogotá and Cali 2015 partial counts and candidate/elected-flag inconsistencies require reconciliation. The national historical portal rejected this browser through security screening. Full legal seat allocation is separate from candidate flags and directory headcounts.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “Girardota — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/CO-ALC-05308. Sources: colombia--url-44e0af24e3fef22401f2d269, colombia--url-f8cbad13a2c7112410d7a492, colombia--url-142631271ac95a7106b17681, colombia--Sdc3a3f1f89, colombia--S67eb704c85, colombia--S8164286948.