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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

Giraldo — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Colombia · Giraldo / Antioquia · municipal · MayorCO-ALC-05306

Read the complete original research briefing

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
Giraldo / Antioquia
Next election
2027-10-31
Linked upcoming event
next-4c1d326bdafe88cf013bfb9a
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-10-31 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • EL GIRALDO QUE QUEREMOS44.2%
  • PARA VOLVER A CREER34.4%
  • GIRALDO EN BUENAS MANOS21.5%
Results for event-73dbf897d33f404d54dffc24
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
EL GIRALDO QUE QUEREMOS · Maria Camila Manco Suarez20231131colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20231,74644.2%UnknownRecorded
PARA VOLVER A CREER · Diego Alexander Manco Higuita20150249colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20231,35834.4%UnknownRecorded
GIRALDO EN BUENAS MANOS · Jaime Leon Perez Guerra20231282colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/202384921.5%UnknownRecorded

2019

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO53.9%
  • COALICION ALCALDIA DE GIRALDO-ANT. PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - PARTIDO DE LA U Y PARTIDO LIBERAL - "NUESTRO PUEBLO, NUESTRO CAMPO, MI PASION"43.8%
  • G.S.C TODOS POR EL GIRALDO QUE SOÑAMOS2.3%
Results for event-abd2874a499e5ae28bf735e1
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Jorge Alconides Usuga Carmona18490002colombia/S67eb704c85/20191,82753.9%UnknownRecorded
COALICION ALCALDIA DE GIRALDO-ANT. PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - PARTIDO DE LA U Y PARTIDO LIBERAL - "NUESTRO PUEBLO, NUESTRO CAMPO, MI PASION" · Elkin Fabian Graciano Suarez20190478colombia/S67eb704c85/20191,48443.8%UnknownRecorded
G.S.C TODOS POR EL GIRALDO QUE SOÑAMOS · Jose Joaquin Rueda Lora20190108colombia/S67eb704c85/2019782.3%UnknownRecorded

2015

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • UNIDOS POR GIRALDO51.3%
  • PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO48.7%
Results for event-8f255f48c5a7b0acae6b8351
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
UNIDOS POR GIRALDO · Wilmar Adrian Manco Hernandez20150017colombia/S8164286948/20151,48251.3%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO · Alvaro Diego Guisao Zapata20030001colombia/S8164286948/20151,40748.7%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

54.070–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=9.815330129015933, oldest_gap=2.59605399792315, previous_gap=10.120979640011804

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,[53.90970787843022,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,46.09029212156979],[0,0,0,48.701973001038425,0,0,0,0,0,0,51.298026998961575]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

53.91percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,[53.90970787843022,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,46.09029212156979],[0,0,0,48.701973001038425,0,0,0,0,0,0,51.298026998961575]]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,[53.90970787843022,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,46.09029212156979],[0,0,0,48.701973001038425,0,0,0,0,0,0,51.298026998961575]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review. Six 2023 assemblies remain absent: Amazonas, Guainía, Huila, Risaralda, Vaupés and Vichada. Cali’s 37 JAL boards and dated membership rosters are registered; the national JAL register, three-cycle votes and replacement-event final returns remain incomplete. Twenty mixed-list-type histories, Bogotá and Cali 2015 partial counts and candidate/elected-flag inconsistencies require reconciliation. The national historical portal rejected this browser through security screening. Full legal seat allocation is separate from candidate flags and directory headcounts.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “Giraldo — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/CO-ALC-05306. Sources: colombia--url-44e0af24e3fef22401f2d269, colombia--url-f8cbad13a2c7112410d7a492, colombia--url-142631271ac95a7106b17681, colombia--Sdc3a3f1f89, colombia--S67eb704c85, colombia--S8164286948.