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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

Frontino — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Colombia · Frontino / Antioquia · municipal · MayorCO-ALC-05284

Read the complete original research briefing

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
Frontino / Antioquia
Next election
2027-10-31
Linked upcoming event
next-5623f0f4875588c5b3f5d277
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-10-31 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • FRONTINO NOS UNE36.3%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO28.6%
  • CREEMOS15.8%
  • PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI13.6%
  • PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE4.9%
  • MOVIMIENTO POLITICO COLOMBIA HUMANA0.8%
Results for event-517a9453545aa5c06e386a70
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
FRONTINO NOS UNE · Luz Gabriela Rivera Cano20231242colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20233,26136.3%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO · Mauricio Cano Gutierrez18480001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20232,56828.6%UnknownRecorded
CREEMOS · Fredy Alonso Carvajal Tamayo20150003colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20231,42115.8%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI · Miguel Angel Sanchez Perez19910006colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20231,22013.6%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE · Mateo Gonzalez Betancur20130001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20234404.9%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO POLITICO COLOMBIA HUMANA · Hernan Dario Velez Monroy19690001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023750.8%UnknownRecorded

2019

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO50.6%
  • COALICION ALCALDIA DE FRONTINO-ANT. PARTIDO CONSERVADOR Y PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL44.7%
  • PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE4.1%
  • POLO DEMOCRATICO ALTERNATIVO0.7%
Results for event-8823577df2d865ef84fef6a2
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO · Jorge Hugo Elejalde Lopez18480001colombia/S67eb704c85/20194,57050.6%UnknownRecorded
COALICION ALCALDIA DE FRONTINO-ANT. PARTIDO CONSERVADOR Y PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL · Luz Gabriela Rivera Cano20190107colombia/S67eb704c85/20194,03844.7%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE · Wilson De Jesus Arango Sarrazola20130001colombia/S67eb704c85/20193674.1%UnknownRecorded
POLO DEMOCRATICO ALTERNATIVO · Hernan Dario Velez Monroy20050001colombia/S67eb704c85/2019650.7%UnknownRecorded

2015

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO34.9%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO32.8%
  • PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U10.9%
  • PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI10.5%
  • PARTIDO OPCION CIUDADANA9.9%
  • PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO1.1%
Results for event-b522152917ac19cb6db1812c
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Yudy Estella Pulgarin Marin18490002colombia/S8164286948/20152,91834.9%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO · Jose Luis Sarrazola Gutierrez18480001colombia/S8164286948/20152,74332.8%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U · Judith Herrera Moreno20050002colombia/S8164286948/201590710.9%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI · Fredy Alonso Carvajal Tamayo19910006colombia/S8164286948/201587410.5%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO OPCION CIUDADANA · Felix Alfazar Gonzalez Mira20090001colombia/S8164286948/20158239.9%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO · Jorge Leon Castrillon Cifuentes20030001colombia/S8164286948/2015891.1%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

66.990–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=7.7128547579298825, oldest_gap=2.094804883887953, previous_gap=5.8849557522123845

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

22.69percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,28.580968280467445,0,0,4.897050639955482,0,13.578185865331108,0,0,0,52.94379521424597],[0,50.55309734513274,0,0,4.0597345132743365,0,0,0,0.7190265486725663,0,44.66814159292036],[34.92937514962892,32.834570265740965,10.85707445535073,1.0653579123773043,0,0,10.462054105817572,0,0,0,9.85156811108451]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

57.31percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,28.580968280467445,0,0,4.897050639955482,0,13.578185865331108,0,0,0,52.94379521424597],[0,50.55309734513274,0,0,4.0597345132743365,0,0,0,0.7190265486725663,0,44.66814159292036],[34.92937514962892,32.834570265740965,10.85707445535073,1.0653579123773043,0,0,10.462054105817572,0,0,0,9.85156811108451]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

40percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,28.580968280467445,0,0,4.897050639955482,0,13.578185865331108,0,0,0,52.94379521424597],[0,50.55309734513274,0,0,4.0597345132743365,0,0,0,0.7190265486725663,0,44.66814159292036],[34.92937514962892,32.834570265740965,10.85707445535073,1.0653579123773043,0,0,10.462054105817572,0,0,0,9.85156811108451]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review. Six 2023 assemblies remain absent: Amazonas, Guainía, Huila, Risaralda, Vaupés and Vichada. Cali’s 37 JAL boards and dated membership rosters are registered; the national JAL register, three-cycle votes and replacement-event final returns remain incomplete. Twenty mixed-list-type histories, Bogotá and Cali 2015 partial counts and candidate/elected-flag inconsistencies require reconciliation. The national historical portal rejected this browser through security screening. Full legal seat allocation is separate from candidate flags and directory headcounts.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “Frontino — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/CO-ALC-05284. Sources: colombia--url-44e0af24e3fef22401f2d269, colombia--url-f8cbad13a2c7112410d7a492, colombia--url-142631271ac95a7106b17681, colombia--Sdc3a3f1f89, colombia--S67eb704c85, colombia--S8164286948.