Office briefing
Fredonia — Mayor
Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.
Colombia · Fredonia / Antioquia · municipal · MayorCO-ALC-05282
Read the complete original research briefing
Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review.
1. What office, where, and when is the next election?
- Geography
- Fredonia / Antioquia
- Next election
- 2027-10-31
- Linked upcoming event
- next-de7664f2af78cacdfa3c8e4b
- Registry qualification
- Unknown
2. How certain is that date?
2027-10-31 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.
3. Who won earlier selected elections?
2023
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes
- POR AMOR A FREDONIA46.3%
- JUNTOS PODEMOS38.3%
- CREEMOS11.8%
- INDEPENDIENTES2.6%
- CEDE party code 202300041.0%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| POR AMOR A FREDONIA · Aldubar De Jesus Vanegas Marin | 20231720colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 4,460 | 46.3% | Unknown | Recorded |
| JUNTOS PODEMOS · Duvan Camilo Cortes Pareja | 20150293colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 3,690 | 38.3% | Unknown | Recorded |
| CREEMOS · Mauricio Alejandro Toro Gonzalez | 20150003colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 1,141 | 11.8% | Unknown | Recorded |
| INDEPENDIENTES · Jaime De Jesus Carvajal Arenas | 20190087colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 252 | 2.6% | Unknown | Recorded |
| CEDE party code 20230004 · Hector Hernan Jimenez Arenas | 20230004colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 94 | 1% | Unknown | Recorded |
2019
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes
- COALICION ALCALDIA DE FREDONIA-ANT. PARTIDO LIBERAL Y PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL - "FREDONIA PARA TODOS"35.5%
- PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U29.5%
- G.S.C JUNTOS PODEMOS28.0%
- PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE2.1%
- PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO1.9%
- PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI1.8%
- PARTIDO DE REIVINDICACION ETNICA - PRE1.3%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| COALICION ALCALDIA DE FREDONIA-ANT. PARTIDO LIBERAL Y PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL - "FREDONIA PARA TODOS" · Gustavo De Jesus Guzman Maldonado | 20190477colombia/S67eb704c85/2019 | 3,170 | 35.5% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U · Elkin Alexander Hurtado Gomez | 20050002colombia/S67eb704c85/2019 | 2,633 | 29.5% | Unknown | Recorded |
| G.S.C JUNTOS PODEMOS · Duvan Camilo Cortes Pareja | 20190106colombia/S67eb704c85/2019 | 2,497 | 28% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE · Lina Maria Betancur Isaza | 20130001colombia/S67eb704c85/2019 | 185 | 2.1% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Daniel Alejandro Marin Serna | 18490002colombia/S67eb704c85/2019 | 170 | 1.9% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI · Ferney Alexis Florez Fernandez | 19910006colombia/S67eb704c85/2019 | 162 | 1.8% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO DE REIVINDICACION ETNICA - PRE · Vicente Antonio Hurtado Monsalve | 20180004colombia/S67eb704c85/2019 | 112 | 1.3% | Unknown | Recorded |
2015
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes
- PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO43.8%
- PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO27.1%
- PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U16.5%
- PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE5.1%
- PARTIDO OPCION CIUDADANA2.3%
- MOVIMIENTO ALTERNATIVO INDIGENA Y SOCIAL - MAIS2.2%
- PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE1.9%
- POLO DEMOCRATICO ALTERNATIVO0.8%
- MOVIMIENTO AUTORIDADES INDIGENAS DE COLOMBIA - AICO0.3%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO · Gabriel Ignacio Muñoz Gomez | 18480001colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 3,894 | 43.8% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Elkin Alexander Hurtado Gomez | 18490002colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 2,408 | 27.1% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U · Mauricio Alejandro Toro Gonzalez | 20050002colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 1,470 | 16.5% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE · Luz Mariela Villa Posada | 20090002colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 451 | 5.1% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO OPCION CIUDADANA · Vicente Antonio Hurtado Monsalve | 20090001colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 205 | 2.3% | Unknown | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO ALTERNATIVO INDIGENA Y SOCIAL - MAIS · Diego De Jesus Aguilar Florez | 20130002colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 192 | 2.2% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE · Jose Joaquin Carvajal Carvajal | 20130001colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 170 | 1.9% | Unknown | Recorded |
| POLO DEMOCRATICO ALTERNATIVO · Enrique Garcia Agudelo | 20050001colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 75 | 0.8% | Unknown | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO AUTORIDADES INDIGENAS DE COLOMBIA - AICO · Aldubar De Jesus Vanegas Marin | 19910001colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 24 | 0.3% | Unknown | Recorded |
4. Competition and volatility
competition index
Provisional imported-series CI58.650–100 historical closeness
Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open
Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=7.9900383936909805, oldest_gap=16.717291033862075, previous_gap=6.014111322656511
pedersen volatility
Withheld volatilityUnknownpercentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,[1.9039086123866054,0,29.488184567140777,0,2.071900548773659,0,1.814312912980177,0,0,0,64.72169335871878],[27.08966137923276,43.806952413094834,16.537293283833954,0,1.9124760940488243,5.073686578917764,0,2.1599730003374957,0.8437394532568343,0.26999662504218697,2.306221172235347]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility77.34percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Previous interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,[1.9039086123866054,0,29.488184567140777,0,2.071900548773659,0,1.814312912980177,0,0,0,64.72169335871878],[27.08966137923276,43.806952413094834,16.537293283833954,0,1.9124760940488243,5.073686578917764,0,2.1599730003374957,0.8437394532568343,0.26999662504218697,2.306221172235347]]
pedersen volatility
Withheld volatilityUnknownpercentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,[1.9039086123866054,0,29.488184567140777,0,2.071900548773659,0,1.814312912980177,0,0,0,64.72169335871878],[27.08966137923276,43.806952413094834,16.537293283833954,0,1.9124760940488243,5.073686578917764,0,2.1599730003374957,0.8437394532568343,0.26999662504218697,2.306221172235347]]
Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.
5. Officeholder evidence
Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.
No officeholder observation supplied.
6. Polling context
No local poll supplied.
National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.
7. Unresolved issues and sources
Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review. Six 2023 assemblies remain absent: Amazonas, Guainía, Huila, Risaralda, Vaupés and Vichada. Cali’s 37 JAL boards and dated membership rosters are registered; the national JAL register, three-cycle votes and replacement-event final returns remain incomplete. Twenty mixed-list-type histories, Bogotá and Cali 2015 partial counts and candidate/elected-flag inconsistencies require reconciliation. The national historical portal rejected this browser through security screening. Full legal seat allocation is separate from candidate flags and directory headcounts.
Sources
- Colombia: https://doi.org/10.71590/R2KLKI/BWJDHW · rights unknown
- Colombia: https://doi.org/10.71590/R2KLKI/QVG0NB · rights unknown
- Colombia: https://doi.org/10.71590/R2KLKI/UJ4B6K · rights unknown
- Colombia: CEDE Colombia 2023 alcaldia · rights unknown
- Colombia: CEDE Colombia 2019 alcaldia · rights unknown
- Colombia: CEDE Colombia 2015 alcaldia · rights unknown
Cite this record
Center for Digital Democracy. “Fredonia — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/CO-ALC-05282. Sources: colombia--url-44e0af24e3fef22401f2d269, colombia--url-f8cbad13a2c7112410d7a492, colombia--url-142631271ac95a7106b17681, colombia--Sdc3a3f1f89, colombia--S67eb704c85, colombia--S8164286948.