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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

Envigado — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Colombia · Envigado / Antioquia · municipal · MayorCO-ALC-05266

Read the complete original research briefing

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
Envigado / Antioquia
Next election
2027-10-31
Linked upcoming event
next-a2ce981176efe6dd252c19ce
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-10-31 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • ENVIGADO, VAMOS ADELANTE46.0%
  • PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE27.2%
  • MOVIMIENTO NUEVA FUERZA DEMOCRATICA15.0%
  • ENVIGADO MERECE MAS11.7%
Results for event-c4f1b6d7d106fe972d040a08
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
ENVIGADO, VAMOS ADELANTE · Raul Eduardo Cardona Gonzalez20231182colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/202346,86546%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE · Jhony Oswaldo Velez Quintero20130001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/202327,70227.2%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO NUEVA FUERZA DEMOCRATICA · Sergio Osvaldo Molina Perez19900002colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/202315,28815%UnknownRecorded
ENVIGADO MERECE MAS · Andres David Torres Gomez20231181colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/202311,94311.7%UnknownRecorded

2019

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • COALICION ALCALDIA DE ENVIGADO-ANT. PARTIDO LIBERAL - PARTIDO CONSERVADOR Y PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL - "AQUÍ SUMAMOS TODOS"48.5%
  • PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE28.0%
  • COALICION ALCALDIA DE ENVIGADO-ANT. PARTIDO DE LA U Y ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - "APASIONADOS POR ENVIGADO"12.4%
  • PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE9.3%
  • POLO DEMOCRATICO ALTERNATIVO1.8%
Results for event-9e7b04899c302d0ed681e764
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
COALICION ALCALDIA DE ENVIGADO-ANT. PARTIDO LIBERAL - PARTIDO CONSERVADOR Y PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL - "AQUÍ SUMAMOS TODOS" · Braulio Alonso Espinosa Marquez20191273colombia/S67eb704c85/201945,37448.5%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE · Carlos Manuel Uribe Mesa20130001colombia/S67eb704c85/201926,16728%UnknownRecorded
COALICION ALCALDIA DE ENVIGADO-ANT. PARTIDO DE LA U Y ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - "APASIONADOS POR ENVIGADO" · Andres David Torres Gomez20190476colombia/S67eb704c85/201911,63612.4%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE · Ana Carolina Arboleda Gallo20090002colombia/S67eb704c85/20198,7179.3%UnknownRecorded
POLO DEMOCRATICO ALTERNATIVO · Jose Hilario Lopez Niño20050001colombia/S67eb704c85/20191,7091.8%UnknownRecorded

2015

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO40.8%
  • PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE29.1%
  • PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U25.7%
  • PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE2.0%
  • POLO DEMOCRATICO ALTERNATIVO1.3%
  • PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI1.0%
Results for event-e6d3a42703a802efd09b87a9
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO · Raul Eduardo Cardona Gonzalez18480001colombia/S8164286948/201537,93040.8%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE · Jhony Oswaldo Velez Quintero20130001colombia/S8164286948/201527,10329.1%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U · Andres David Torres Gomez20050002colombia/S8164286948/201523,94825.7%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE · Ramiro De Jesus Vargas Muñoz20090002colombia/S8164286948/20151,8522%UnknownRecorded
POLO DEMOCRATICO ALTERNATIVO · Jose Hilario Lopez Niño20050001colombia/S8164286948/20151,2441.3%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI · Oscar De Jesus Vasquez Mejia19910006colombia/S8164286948/20159311%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

6.930–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=18.824534863160377, oldest_gap=11.640934113194561, previous_gap=20.51964146448298

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

11.88percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,0,0,0,27.21271537751233,0,0,0,0,0,72.78728462248768],[0,0,0,0,27.955300577972928,9.312735702915505,0,0,1.8257961817463115,0,60.906167537365256],[0,40.78143815585756,25.748322724926886,0,29.140504042662997,1.9912265611560296,1.0009891622226046,0,1.3375193531739205,0,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

68.72percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,0,0,0,27.21271537751233,0,0,0,0,0,72.78728462248768],[0,0,0,0,27.955300577972928,9.312735702915505,0,0,1.8257961817463115,0,60.906167537365256],[0,40.78143815585756,25.748322724926886,0,29.140504042662997,1.9912265611560296,1.0009891622226046,0,1.3375193531739205,0,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

40.3percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,0,0,0,27.21271537751233,0,0,0,0,0,72.78728462248768],[0,0,0,0,27.955300577972928,9.312735702915505,0,0,1.8257961817463115,0,60.906167537365256],[0,40.78143815585756,25.748322724926886,0,29.140504042662997,1.9912265611560296,1.0009891622226046,0,1.3375193531739205,0,0]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review. Six 2023 assemblies remain absent: Amazonas, Guainía, Huila, Risaralda, Vaupés and Vichada. Cali’s 37 JAL boards and dated membership rosters are registered; the national JAL register, three-cycle votes and replacement-event final returns remain incomplete. Twenty mixed-list-type histories, Bogotá and Cali 2015 partial counts and candidate/elected-flag inconsistencies require reconciliation. The national historical portal rejected this browser through security screening. Full legal seat allocation is separate from candidate flags and directory headcounts.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “Envigado — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/CO-ALC-05266. Sources: colombia--url-44e0af24e3fef22401f2d269, colombia--url-f8cbad13a2c7112410d7a492, colombia--url-142631271ac95a7106b17681, colombia--Sdc3a3f1f89, colombia--S67eb704c85, colombia--S8164286948.