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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

Concordia — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Colombia · Concordia / Antioquia · municipal · MayorCO-ALC-05209

Read the complete original research briefing

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
Concordia / Antioquia
Next election
2027-10-31
Linked upcoming event
next-f25bb1ff7a8d4bf6bcb777f5
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-10-31 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • COALICION PODEMOS HACERLO39.0%
  • EQUIPO POR CONCORDIA27.4%
  • PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI25.0%
  • CEDE party code 202300013.8%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE SALVACION NACIONAL - MSN2.8%
  • TRABAJEMOS JUNTOS POR CONCORDIA2.0%
Results for event-456ff87036cd3ed41a2369ea
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
COALICION PODEMOS HACERLO · Alexandra Maria Herrera Quijano20230842colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20232,85839%UnknownRecorded
EQUIPO POR CONCORDIA · Cristian David Restrepo Galeano20231186colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20232,00527.4%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI · Leon Dario Ardila Usuga19910006colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20231,83125%UnknownRecorded
CEDE party code 20230001 · Jobany De Jesus Palacio Rico20230001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20232783.8%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO DE SALVACION NACIONAL - MSN · Fernando De Jesus Ardila Vargas19900001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20232062.8%UnknownRecorded
TRABAJEMOS JUNTOS POR CONCORDIA · Luis Javier Rojas Vergara20232070colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20231472%UnknownRecorded

2019

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE52.1%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO31.6%
  • PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U10.5%
  • MOVIMIENTO AUTORIDADES INDIGENAS DE COLOMBIA - AICO5.7%
Results for event-c124fbd014e821df467304a8
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE · Carlos Gustavo Quijano Restrepo20130001colombia/S67eb704c85/20193,47452.1%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO · Sergio De Jesus Restrepo Betancur18480001colombia/S67eb704c85/20192,10831.6%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U · Augusto De Jesus Villegas Franco20050002colombia/S67eb704c85/201969710.5%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO AUTORIDADES INDIGENAS DE COLOMBIA - AICO · Fernando De Jesus Ardila Vargas19910001colombia/S67eb704c85/20193835.7%UnknownRecorded

2015

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE53.0%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO47.0%
Results for event-c776fb3a3c2acf4f7b24bdc0
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE · Diego Alejandro Restrepo Guerra20130001colombia/S8164286948/20153,79053%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO · Andres Fernandez Castrillon18480001colombia/S8164286948/20153,36147%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

31.310–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=11.64505119453925, oldest_gap=5.999160956509584, previous_gap=20.50435304713299

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

100percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,0,0,0,0,0,24.996587030716725,0,0,0,75.00341296928327],[0,31.642149504653258,10.462323626538577,0,52.14650255178625,0,0,0,0,5.749024317021916,0],[0,47.00041952174521,0,0,52.99958047825479,0,0,0,0,0,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

16.21percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,0,0,0,0,0,24.996587030716725,0,0,0,75.00341296928327],[0,31.642149504653258,10.462323626538577,0,52.14650255178625,0,0,0,0,5.749024317021916,0],[0,47.00041952174521,0,0,52.99958047825479,0,0,0,0,0,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

58.11percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,0,0,0,0,0,24.996587030716725,0,0,0,75.00341296928327],[0,31.642149504653258,10.462323626538577,0,52.14650255178625,0,0,0,0,5.749024317021916,0],[0,47.00041952174521,0,0,52.99958047825479,0,0,0,0,0,0]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review. Six 2023 assemblies remain absent: Amazonas, Guainía, Huila, Risaralda, Vaupés and Vichada. Cali’s 37 JAL boards and dated membership rosters are registered; the national JAL register, three-cycle votes and replacement-event final returns remain incomplete. Twenty mixed-list-type histories, Bogotá and Cali 2015 partial counts and candidate/elected-flag inconsistencies require reconciliation. The national historical portal rejected this browser through security screening. Full legal seat allocation is separate from candidate flags and directory headcounts.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “Concordia — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/CO-ALC-05209. Sources: colombia--url-44e0af24e3fef22401f2d269, colombia--url-f8cbad13a2c7112410d7a492, colombia--url-142631271ac95a7106b17681, colombia--Sdc3a3f1f89, colombia--S67eb704c85, colombia--S8164286948.