Office briefing
Caucasia — Mayor
Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.
Colombia · Caucasia / Antioquia · municipal · MayorCO-ALC-05154
Read the complete original research briefing
Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review.
1. What office, where, and when is the next election?
- Geography
- Caucasia / Antioquia
- Next election
- 2027-10-31
- Linked upcoming event
- next-9e0895480a027476bea00628
- Registry qualification
- Unknown
2. How certain is that date?
2027-10-31 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.
3. Who won earlier selected elections?
2023
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes
- COALICION HAGAMOSLO TODOS JUNTOS POR CAUCASIA31.5%
- CEDE party code 2023000126.9%
- CEDE party code 2023000516.2%
- PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U13.0%
- PARTIDO POLITICO DIGNIDAD4.8%
- MOVIMIENTO NUEVA FUERZA DEMOCRATICA2.1%
- PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI1.9%
- PACTO HISTORICO1.8%
- MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA DEMOCRATICA AFROCOLOMBIANA - ADA - MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA DEMOCRATICA AMPLIA1.7%
- PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO0.2%
- FUERZA CIUDADANA LA FUERZA DEL CAMBIO0.0%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| COALICION HAGAMOSLO TODOS JUNTOS POR CAUCASIA · Jhoan Oderis Montes Cortes | 20230776colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 12,557 | 31.5% | Unknown | Recorded |
| CEDE party code 20230001 · Surany Arboleda Arias | 20230001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 10,747 | 26.9% | Unknown | Recorded |
| CEDE party code 20230005 · Anuar Jose Bertel Alvarez | 20230005colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 6,459 | 16.2% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U · David Enrique Arango Quintana | 20050002colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 5,172 | 13% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO POLITICO DIGNIDAD · Jaime Alfonso Montoya Ortega | 20200001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 1,907 | 4.8% | Unknown | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO NUEVA FUERZA DEMOCRATICA · Antonio Jose Perez Araujo | 19900002colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 854 | 2.1% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI · Nedis Maria Cuadro Sibaja | 19910006colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 741 | 1.9% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PACTO HISTORICO · Benito Antonio Pacheco Julio | 20231615colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 711 | 1.8% | Unknown | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA DEMOCRATICA AFROCOLOMBIANA - ADA - MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA DEMOCRATICA AMPLIA · Fabio Enrique Montes Rojas | 20180047colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 665 | 1.7% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO · Dagoberto Lopez Laza | 18480001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 60 | 0.2% | Unknown | Recorded |
| FUERZA CIUDADANA LA FUERZA DEL CAMBIO · Edwin Jair Areiza Roman | 20150388colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 17 | 0% | Unknown | Recorded |
2019
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes
- PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U42.2%
- COALICION ALCALDIA DE CAUCASIA-ANT. MOVIMIENTO UNIDOS POR CAUCASIA - PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL Y PARTIDO LIBERAL - "UNIDOS POR CAUCASIA"31.8%
- MOVIMIENTO AUTORIDADES INDIGENAS DE COLOMBIA - AICO7.9%
- PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO6.3%
- PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE5.4%
- PARTIDO COLOMBIA JUSTA LIBRES5.3%
- PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE1.1%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U · Leiderman Ortiz Berrio | 20050002colombia/S67eb704c85/2019 | 16,105 | 42.2% | Unknown | Recorded |
| COALICION ALCALDIA DE CAUCASIA-ANT. MOVIMIENTO UNIDOS POR CAUCASIA - PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL Y PARTIDO LIBERAL - "UNIDOS POR CAUCASIA" · Jose Nadin Arabia Abisaad | 20190469colombia/S67eb704c85/2019 | 12,127 | 31.8% | Unknown | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO AUTORIDADES INDIGENAS DE COLOMBIA - AICO · Diego Alejandro Mora Zapata | 19910001colombia/S67eb704c85/2019 | 3,009 | 7.9% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Alberto Manuel Arrieta Herrera | 18490002colombia/S67eb704c85/2019 | 2,394 | 6.3% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE · Jose Vicente Delgado Gomez | 20130001colombia/S67eb704c85/2019 | 2,077 | 5.4% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO COLOMBIA JUSTA LIBRES · Fernando Doval Navarro | 20170001colombia/S67eb704c85/2019 | 2,025 | 5.3% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE · Ferney Alonso Hoyos Oquendo | 20090002colombia/S67eb704c85/2019 | 431 | 1.1% | Unknown | Recorded |
2015
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes
- MOVIMIENTO ALTERNATIVO INDIGENA Y SOCIAL - MAIS57.2%
- PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI26.3%
- PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO6.3%
- POLO DEMOCRATICO ALTERNATIVO4.6%
- UNION PATRIOTICA - UP2.1%
- PARTIDO OPCION CIUDADANA2.0%
- PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO0.4%
- MOVIMIENTO AUTORIDADES INDIGENAS DE COLOMBIA - AICO0.4%
- PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO0.4%
- PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE0.3%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MOVIMIENTO ALTERNATIVO INDIGENA Y SOCIAL - MAIS · Oscar Anibal Suarez | 20130002colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 20,493 | 57.2% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI · Alberto Manuel Arrieta Herrera | 19910006colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 9,413 | 26.3% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Jose Maria Castaño Aristizabal | 18490002colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 2,275 | 6.3% | Unknown | Recorded |
| POLO DEMOCRATICO ALTERNATIVO · Manuel Salvador Camargo Baldovino | 20050001colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 1,660 | 4.6% | Unknown | Recorded |
| UNION PATRIOTICA - UP · Wilson Santana Diaz | 19850001colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 748 | 2.1% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO OPCION CIUDADANA · Antonio Jose Perez Araujo | 20090001colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 708 | 2% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO · Neris Ines Montiel Lopez | 18480001colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 153 | 0.4% | Unknown | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO AUTORIDADES INDIGENAS DE COLOMBIA - AICO · Leovigildo Manuel Madera Rodriguez | 19910001colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 144 | 0.4% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO · Martin Emilio Pineda Madrigal | 20030001colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 142 | 0.4% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE · Jose David Sierra Perez | 20090002colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 106 | 0.3% | Unknown | Recorded |
4. Competition and volatility
competition index
Provisional imported-series CI55.30–100 historical closeness
Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open
Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=4.537478064677863, oldest_gap=30.913453490318616, previous_gap=10.422343324250683
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility49.96percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Latest interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,0.1504136375031336,12.965655552770118,0,0,0,1.8576084231637002,0,0,0,85.02632238656307],[6.272269964368057,0,42.19503248794802,0,5.441731293229931,1.129218193250891,0,0,0,7.883567386292182,37.07818067491092],[6.347302047876792,0.426873500362703,0,0.3961832487026394,0,0.29574242508788573,26.26248535237989,57.17593884269851,4.631437977791418,0.40176329445901454,4.062273310641148]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility88.97percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Previous interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,0.1504136375031336,12.965655552770118,0,0,0,1.8576084231637002,0,0,0,85.02632238656307],[6.272269964368057,0,42.19503248794802,0,5.441731293229931,1.129218193250891,0,0,0,7.883567386292182,37.07818067491092],[6.347302047876792,0.426873500362703,0,0.3961832487026394,0,0.29574242508788573,26.26248535237989,57.17593884269851,4.631437977791418,0.40176329445901454,4.062273310641148]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility69.46percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Both intervals mean
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,0.1504136375031336,12.965655552770118,0,0,0,1.8576084231637002,0,0,0,85.02632238656307],[6.272269964368057,0,42.19503248794802,0,5.441731293229931,1.129218193250891,0,0,0,7.883567386292182,37.07818067491092],[6.347302047876792,0.426873500362703,0,0.3961832487026394,0,0.29574242508788573,26.26248535237989,57.17593884269851,4.631437977791418,0.40176329445901454,4.062273310641148]]
Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.
5. Officeholder evidence
Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.
No officeholder observation supplied.
6. Polling context
No local poll supplied.
National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.
7. Unresolved issues and sources
Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review. Six 2023 assemblies remain absent: Amazonas, Guainía, Huila, Risaralda, Vaupés and Vichada. Cali’s 37 JAL boards and dated membership rosters are registered; the national JAL register, three-cycle votes and replacement-event final returns remain incomplete. Twenty mixed-list-type histories, Bogotá and Cali 2015 partial counts and candidate/elected-flag inconsistencies require reconciliation. The national historical portal rejected this browser through security screening. Full legal seat allocation is separate from candidate flags and directory headcounts.
Sources
- Colombia: https://doi.org/10.71590/R2KLKI/BWJDHW · rights unknown
- Colombia: https://doi.org/10.71590/R2KLKI/QVG0NB · rights unknown
- Colombia: https://doi.org/10.71590/R2KLKI/UJ4B6K · rights unknown
- Colombia: CEDE Colombia 2023 alcaldia · rights unknown
- Colombia: CEDE Colombia 2019 alcaldia · rights unknown
- Colombia: CEDE Colombia 2015 alcaldia · rights unknown
Cite this record
Center for Digital Democracy. “Caucasia — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/CO-ALC-05154. Sources: colombia--url-44e0af24e3fef22401f2d269, colombia--url-f8cbad13a2c7112410d7a492, colombia--url-142631271ac95a7106b17681, colombia--Sdc3a3f1f89, colombia--S67eb704c85, colombia--S8164286948.