Office briefing
Carolina — Mayor
Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.
Colombia · Carolina / Antioquia · municipal · MayorCO-ALC-05150
Read the complete original research briefing
Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review.
1. What office, where, and when is the next election?
- Geography
- Carolina / Antioquia
- Next election
- 2027-10-31
- Linked upcoming event
- next-e3ad6db7fd1047a8070367e8
- Registry qualification
- Unknown
2. How certain is that date?
2027-10-31 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.
3. Who won earlier selected elections?
2023
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes
- PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO31.8%
- JUNTOS CONSTRUIMOS FUTURO30.1%
- UNIDAD POR CAROLINA DEL PRINCIPE24.5%
- COALICION POR CONVICCION7.3%
- PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE6.2%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Ana Isabel Avendaño Duque | 18490002colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 969 | 31.8% | Unknown | Recorded |
| JUNTOS CONSTRUIMOS FUTURO · Wilson Augusto Zapata Gil | 20231373colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 917 | 30.1% | Unknown | Recorded |
| UNIDAD POR CAROLINA DEL PRINCIPE · Eliana Maria Jaramillo Rodriguez | 20232141colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 746 | 24.5% | Unknown | Recorded |
| COALICION POR CONVICCION · Duver Alberto Gonzalez Macias | 20230849colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 222 | 7.3% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE · Natalia Andrea Osorio Rojo | 20090002colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 189 | 6.2% | Unknown | Recorded |
2019
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes
- PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO38.8%
- COALICION ALCALDIA DE CAROLINA-ANT. PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL Y PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - "PARA VOLVER A CREER"37.1%
- PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO17.9%
- PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U5.8%
- MOVIMIENTO AUTORIDADES INDIGENAS DE COLOMBIA - AICO0.4%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO · Carlos Andres Perez Vasquez | 18480001colombia/S67eb704c85/2019 | 1,036 | 38.8% | Unknown | Recorded |
| COALICION ALCALDIA DE CAROLINA-ANT. PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL Y PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - "PARA VOLVER A CREER" · Wilson Augusto Zapata Gil | 20190468colombia/S67eb704c85/2019 | 991 | 37.1% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Edwin De Jesus Restrepo Alvarez | 18490002colombia/S67eb704c85/2019 | 478 | 17.9% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U · Mauro Alberto Hincapie Palacio | 20050002colombia/S67eb704c85/2019 | 154 | 5.8% | Unknown | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO AUTORIDADES INDIGENAS DE COLOMBIA - AICO · Alba Nidia Perez Martinez | 19910001colombia/S67eb704c85/2019 | 12 | 0.4% | Unknown | Recorded |
2015
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes
- PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI50.0%
- PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO25.4%
- COMPROMISO POR CAROLINA15.5%
- PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO8.9%
- PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE0.3%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI · Ana Isabel Avendaño Duque | 19910006colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 1,326 | 50% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO · Oscar Hernan Duque Velez | 20030001colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 673 | 25.4% | Unknown | Recorded |
| COMPROMISO POR CAROLINA · Gloria Eugenia Lopez Cuartas | 20150013colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 411 | 15.5% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Edwin De Jesus Restrepo Alvarez | 18490002colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 235 | 8.9% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE · Uriel Dario Vasco Mora | 20130001colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 9 | 0.3% | Unknown | Recorded |
4. Competition and volatility
competition index
Provisional imported-series CI80.040–100 historical closeness
Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open
Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=1.708839960565232, oldest_gap=24.604370761115298, previous_gap=1.6847622613253463
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility45percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Latest interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[31.843575418994412,0,0,0,0,6.210976010515938,0,0,0,0,61.945448570489646],[17.895919131411457,38.78697117184575,5.765630849868963,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.44926993635342566,37.1022089105204],[8.854559155990957,0,0,25.357950263752826,0.33911077618688773,0,49.962321024868125,0,0,0,15.486058779201207]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility75.66percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Previous interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[31.843575418994412,0,0,0,0,6.210976010515938,0,0,0,0,61.945448570489646],[17.895919131411457,38.78697117184575,5.765630849868963,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.44926993635342566,37.1022089105204],[8.854559155990957,0,0,25.357950263752826,0.33911077618688773,0,49.962321024868125,0,0,0,15.486058779201207]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility60.33percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Both intervals mean
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[31.843575418994412,0,0,0,0,6.210976010515938,0,0,0,0,61.945448570489646],[17.895919131411457,38.78697117184575,5.765630849868963,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.44926993635342566,37.1022089105204],[8.854559155990957,0,0,25.357950263752826,0.33911077618688773,0,49.962321024868125,0,0,0,15.486058779201207]]
Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.
5. Officeholder evidence
Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.
No officeholder observation supplied.
6. Polling context
No local poll supplied.
National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.
7. Unresolved issues and sources
Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review. Six 2023 assemblies remain absent: Amazonas, Guainía, Huila, Risaralda, Vaupés and Vichada. Cali’s 37 JAL boards and dated membership rosters are registered; the national JAL register, three-cycle votes and replacement-event final returns remain incomplete. Twenty mixed-list-type histories, Bogotá and Cali 2015 partial counts and candidate/elected-flag inconsistencies require reconciliation. The national historical portal rejected this browser through security screening. Full legal seat allocation is separate from candidate flags and directory headcounts.
Sources
- Colombia: https://doi.org/10.71590/R2KLKI/BWJDHW · rights unknown
- Colombia: https://doi.org/10.71590/R2KLKI/QVG0NB · rights unknown
- Colombia: https://doi.org/10.71590/R2KLKI/UJ4B6K · rights unknown
- Colombia: CEDE Colombia 2023 alcaldia · rights unknown
- Colombia: CEDE Colombia 2019 alcaldia · rights unknown
- Colombia: CEDE Colombia 2015 alcaldia · rights unknown
Cite this record
Center for Digital Democracy. “Carolina — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/CO-ALC-05150. Sources: colombia--url-44e0af24e3fef22401f2d269, colombia--url-f8cbad13a2c7112410d7a492, colombia--url-142631271ac95a7106b17681, colombia--Sdc3a3f1f89, colombia--S67eb704c85, colombia--S8164286948.