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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

Carmen De Viboral — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Colombia · Carmen De Viboral / Antioquia · municipal · MayorCO-ALC-05148

Read the complete original research briefing

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
Carmen De Viboral / Antioquia
Next election
2027-10-31
Linked upcoming event
next-0f0606aa378842c6458fe5e3
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-10-31 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • EL CARMEN PRIORIDAD DE TODOS24.8%
  • COALICION PROGRAMATICA Y POLITICA PA' DELANTE POR EL CARMEN19.2%
  • VICENTE ALCALDE15.3%
  • PARTIDO DE LA U-PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL15.2%
  • CEDE party code 202300049.8%
  • MOVIMIENTO NUEVA FUERZA DEMOCRATICA7.3%
  • CEDE party code 202300054.3%
  • PARTIDO COLOMBIA RENACIENTE2.1%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE SALVACION NACIONAL - MSN2.0%
Results for event-3a60a3a2e4f8a6a0f460e41b
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
EL CARMEN PRIORIDAD DE TODOS · Hugo Alfonso Jimenez Cuervo20231122colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20236,62324.8%UnknownRecorded
COALICION PROGRAMATICA Y POLITICA PA' DELANTE POR EL CARMEN · Didier Yesid Rave Zuluaga20230882colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20235,13919.2%UnknownRecorded
VICENTE ALCALDE · Vicente De Jesus Arcila Giraldo20232304colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20234,10115.3%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO DE LA U-PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL · Nestor Fernando Zuluaga Giraldo20230291colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20234,06515.2%UnknownRecorded
CEDE party code 20230004 · Maria Eugenia Garcia Gomez20230004colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20232,6219.8%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO NUEVA FUERZA DEMOCRATICA · Hugo Fernando Gomez Ramirez19900002colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20231,9537.3%UnknownRecorded
CEDE party code 20230005 · Dairo Antonio Garcia Zuluaga20230005colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20231,1464.3%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO COLOMBIA RENACIENTE · John Jairo Arcila Gomez20180046colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20235642.1%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO DE SALVACION NACIONAL - MSN · Fabio Andres Ben Bolmbischer19900001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20235452%UnknownRecorded

2019

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • COALICION ALCALDIA DE CARMEN DE VIBORAL-ANT. PARTIDO LIBERAL - ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - MOVIMIENTO AICO Y PARTIDO LIBERAL - "JOHN FREDY QUINTERO ALCALDE"48.2%
  • PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO33.5%
  • PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE18.3%
Results for event-81a8578da07d49ffbe31c10e
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
COALICION ALCALDIA DE CARMEN DE VIBORAL-ANT. PARTIDO LIBERAL - ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - MOVIMIENTO AICO Y PARTIDO LIBERAL - "JOHN FREDY QUINTERO ALCALDE" · John Fredy Quintero Zuluaga20190400colombia/S67eb704c85/201911,78748.2%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO · Hugo Alfonso Jimenez Cuervo20030001colombia/S67eb704c85/20198,20133.5%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE · Vicente De Jesus Arcila Giraldo20090002colombia/S67eb704c85/20194,47918.3%UnknownRecorded

2015

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U38.5%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO36.2%
  • PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO15.6%
  • PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE6.6%
  • PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE2.3%
  • POLO DEMOCRATICO ALTERNATIVO0.9%
Results for event-f548315e3b44889eabb8fdee
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U · Nestor Fernando Zuluaga Giraldo20050002colombia/S8164286948/20157,93838.5%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO · John Fredy Quintero Zuluaga18480001colombia/S8164286948/20157,44536.2%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO · Hugo Alfonso Jimenez Cuervo20030001colombia/S8164286948/20153,20315.6%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE · Vicente De Jesus Arcila Giraldo20090002colombia/S8164286948/20151,3496.6%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE · Bernardo Elias Giraldo Hoyos20130001colombia/S8164286948/20154792.3%UnknownRecorded
POLO DEMOCRATICO ALTERNATIVO · Carlos Augusto Zuluaga Zuluaga20050001colombia/S8164286948/20151790.9%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

60.180–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=5.546212206151662, oldest_gap=2.3940173845481496, previous_gap=14.656476069808313

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,[0,0,0,33.51861691257612,0,18.30629010503944,0,0,0,0,48.175092982384434],[0,36.15306172000194,38.54707910455009,15.553828971009567,2.3260331180498226,6.550769679017142,0,0,0.8692274073714369,0,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

77.9percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,[0,0,0,33.51861691257612,0,18.30629010503944,0,0,0,0,48.175092982384434],[0,36.15306172000194,38.54707910455009,15.553828971009567,2.3260331180498226,6.550769679017142,0,0,0.8692274073714369,0,0]]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,[0,0,0,33.51861691257612,0,18.30629010503944,0,0,0,0,48.175092982384434],[0,36.15306172000194,38.54707910455009,15.553828971009567,2.3260331180498226,6.550769679017142,0,0,0.8692274073714369,0,0]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review. Six 2023 assemblies remain absent: Amazonas, Guainía, Huila, Risaralda, Vaupés and Vichada. Cali’s 37 JAL boards and dated membership rosters are registered; the national JAL register, three-cycle votes and replacement-event final returns remain incomplete. Twenty mixed-list-type histories, Bogotá and Cali 2015 partial counts and candidate/elected-flag inconsistencies require reconciliation. The national historical portal rejected this browser through security screening. Full legal seat allocation is separate from candidate flags and directory headcounts.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “Carmen De Viboral — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/CO-ALC-05148. Sources: colombia--url-44e0af24e3fef22401f2d269, colombia--url-f8cbad13a2c7112410d7a492, colombia--url-142631271ac95a7106b17681, colombia--Sdc3a3f1f89, colombia--S67eb704c85, colombia--S8164286948.