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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

Cañasgordas — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Colombia · Cañasgordas / Antioquia · municipal · MayorCO-ALC-05138

Read the complete original research briefing

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
Cañasgordas / Antioquia
Next election
2027-10-31
Linked upcoming event
next-aee9bfbc6fbb57d1fac4ea40
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-10-31 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO COLOMBIA RENACIENTE51.7%
  • AMOR POR CAÑASGORDAS47.4%
  • PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE0.3%
  • PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI0.3%
  • INDEPENDIENTES0.3%
Results for event-c230cabef7d8546aebae5980
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLOMBIA RENACIENTE · Diego Alonso Vanegas Arango20180046colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20235,06551.7%UnknownRecorded
AMOR POR CAÑASGORDAS · Margarita Del Rosario Lopera Cardona20230092colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20234,64947.4%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE · Ramiro De Jesus Medina Pereira20130001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023330.3%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI · Francisco Javier Giraldo Suarez19910006colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023270.3%UnknownRecorded
INDEPENDIENTES · Camilo Adrian Usuga Villa20190087colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023250.3%UnknownRecorded

2019

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO COLOMBIA RENACIENTE54.2%
  • PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO35.4%
  • PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE10.2%
  • PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI0.1%
  • POLO DEMOCRATICO ALTERNATIVO0.1%
Results for event-f3048d089d48e56722fc6555
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO COLOMBIA RENACIENTE · Aicardo Antonio Urrego Usuga20180046colombia/S67eb704c85/20194,58554.2%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Tomas Augusto Ospina Rojo18490002colombia/S67eb704c85/20192,99735.4%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE · Jorge Mario Osorio Muñoz20130001colombia/S67eb704c85/201986510.2%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO ALIANZA SOCIAL INDEPENDIENTE - ASI · Maribel Guisao Diaz19910006colombia/S67eb704c85/2019120.1%UnknownRecorded
POLO DEMOCRATICO ALTERNATIVO · Elsy Del Socorro Cardona20050001colombia/S67eb704c85/201950.1%UnknownRecorded

2015

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO71.9%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO28.1%
Results for event-befbb8f1645f0f42a9f59db9
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Margarita Del Rosario Lopera Cardona18490002colombia/S8164286948/20155,39971.9%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO · Cesar Augusto Londoño Graciano18480001colombia/S8164286948/20152,10828.1%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

37.20–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=4.245331156240432, oldest_gap=43.83908352204608, previous_gap=18.761814744801512

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

45.35percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,0,0,0,0.3367690580671497,0,0.27553832023675884,0,0,0,99.3876926216961],[35.40879017013233,0,0,0,10.219754253308128,0,0.14177693761814744,0,0.05907372400756144,0,54.17060491493384],[71.91954176102304,28.080458238976956,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

64.59percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,0,0,0,0.3367690580671497,0,0.27553832023675884,0,0,0,99.3876926216961],[35.40879017013233,0,0,0,10.219754253308128,0,0.14177693761814744,0,0.05907372400756144,0,54.17060491493384],[71.91954176102304,28.080458238976956,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

54.97percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,0,0,0,0.3367690580671497,0,0.27553832023675884,0,0,0,99.3876926216961],[35.40879017013233,0,0,0,10.219754253308128,0,0.14177693761814744,0,0.05907372400756144,0,54.17060491493384],[71.91954176102304,28.080458238976956,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review. Six 2023 assemblies remain absent: Amazonas, Guainía, Huila, Risaralda, Vaupés and Vichada. Cali’s 37 JAL boards and dated membership rosters are registered; the national JAL register, three-cycle votes and replacement-event final returns remain incomplete. Twenty mixed-list-type histories, Bogotá and Cali 2015 partial counts and candidate/elected-flag inconsistencies require reconciliation. The national historical portal rejected this browser through security screening. Full legal seat allocation is separate from candidate flags and directory headcounts.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “Cañasgordas — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/CO-ALC-05138. Sources: colombia--url-44e0af24e3fef22401f2d269, colombia--url-f8cbad13a2c7112410d7a492, colombia--url-142631271ac95a7106b17681, colombia--Sdc3a3f1f89, colombia--S67eb704c85, colombia--S8164286948.