Office briefing
Caicedo — Mayor
Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.
Colombia · Caicedo / Antioquia · municipal · MayorCO-ALC-05125
Read the complete original research briefing
Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review.
1. What office, where, and when is the next election?
- Geography
- Caicedo / Antioquia
- Next election
- 2027-10-31
- Linked upcoming event
- next-16a11f09e4b266ab73f1d0c1
- Registry qualification
- Unknown
2. How certain is that date?
2027-10-31 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.
3. Who won earlier selected elections?
2023
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes
- POR EL CAICEDO QUE QUEREMOS56.8%
- PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL - NUEVO LIBERALISMO31.8%
- PARTIDO DE LA U - PARTIDO DEMOCRATA COLOMBIANO - PARTIDO LIBERAL8.1%
- CREEMOS3.2%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| POR EL CAICEDO QUE QUEREMOS · Yuber Felipe Molina Murillo | 20231729colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 2,474 | 56.8% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL - NUEVO LIBERALISMO · Belen Lucia Caro Varela | 20230280colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 1,387 | 31.8% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO DE LA U - PARTIDO DEMOCRATA COLOMBIANO - PARTIDO LIBERAL · Juan De Dios Tabares Herrera | 20230281colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 354 | 8.1% | Unknown | Recorded |
| CREEMOS · Victor Daniel Gomez Rueda | 20150003colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 141 | 3.2% | Unknown | Recorded |
2019
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes
- COALICION ALCALDIA DE CAICEDO-ANT. PARTIDO DE LA U - PARTIDO CONSERVADOR - MOVIMIENTO MAIS Y PARTIDO COLOMBIA RENACIENTE - "CAICEDO UN CAMPO DE OPORTUNIDADES"54.3%
- COALICION ALCALDIA DE CAICEDO-ANT. PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO Y PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL - "CAICEDO PARA TODOS"26.7%
- PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO19.0%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| COALICION ALCALDIA DE CAICEDO-ANT. PARTIDO DE LA U - PARTIDO CONSERVADOR - MOVIMIENTO MAIS Y PARTIDO COLOMBIA RENACIENTE - "CAICEDO UN CAMPO DE OPORTUNIDADES" · Miguel Alfonso Martinez Gaviria | 20190464colombia/S67eb704c85/2019 | 2,269 | 54.3% | Unknown | Recorded |
| COALICION ALCALDIA DE CAICEDO-ANT. PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO Y PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL - "CAICEDO PARA TODOS" · Yuber Felipe Molina Murillo | 20190463colombia/S67eb704c85/2019 | 1,114 | 26.7% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO · Jhon Gerardo Caro Varela | 18480001colombia/S67eb704c85/2019 | 793 | 19% | Unknown | Recorded |
2015
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes
- PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE36.9%
- MOVIMIENTO ALTERNATIVO INDIGENA Y SOCIAL - MAIS33.7%
- PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO28.3%
- PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO1.1%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE · German Dario Zapata Ferraro | 20130001colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 1,346 | 36.9% | Unknown | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO ALTERNATIVO INDIGENA Y SOCIAL - MAIS · Miguel Alfonso Martinez Gaviria | 20130002colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 1,230 | 33.7% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO · Alexander De Jesus Agudelo | 18480001colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 1,034 | 28.3% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Claudia Isabel Gomez Castro | 18490002colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 41 | 1.1% | Unknown | Recorded |
4. Competition and volatility
competition index
Provisional imported-series CI0 (recorded zero)0–100 historical closeness
Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open
Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=24.954086317722684, oldest_gap=3.17721172281567, previous_gap=27.658045977011497
pedersen volatility
Withheld volatilityUnknownpercentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,[0,18.989463601532567,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,81.01053639846744],[1.1229800054779513,28.321007943029308,0,0,36.86661188715421,0,0,33.68940016433854,0,0,0]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility81.01percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Previous interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,[0,18.989463601532567,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,81.01053639846744],[1.1229800054779513,28.321007943029308,0,0,36.86661188715421,0,0,33.68940016433854,0,0,0]]
pedersen volatility
Withheld volatilityUnknownpercentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,[0,18.989463601532567,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,81.01053639846744],[1.1229800054779513,28.321007943029308,0,0,36.86661188715421,0,0,33.68940016433854,0,0,0]]
Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.
5. Officeholder evidence
Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.
No officeholder observation supplied.
6. Polling context
No local poll supplied.
National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.
7. Unresolved issues and sources
Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review. Six 2023 assemblies remain absent: Amazonas, Guainía, Huila, Risaralda, Vaupés and Vichada. Cali’s 37 JAL boards and dated membership rosters are registered; the national JAL register, three-cycle votes and replacement-event final returns remain incomplete. Twenty mixed-list-type histories, Bogotá and Cali 2015 partial counts and candidate/elected-flag inconsistencies require reconciliation. The national historical portal rejected this browser through security screening. Full legal seat allocation is separate from candidate flags and directory headcounts.
Sources
- Colombia: https://doi.org/10.71590/R2KLKI/BWJDHW · rights unknown
- Colombia: https://doi.org/10.71590/R2KLKI/QVG0NB · rights unknown
- Colombia: https://doi.org/10.71590/R2KLKI/UJ4B6K · rights unknown
- Colombia: CEDE Colombia 2023 alcaldia · rights unknown
- Colombia: CEDE Colombia 2019 alcaldia · rights unknown
- Colombia: CEDE Colombia 2015 alcaldia · rights unknown
Cite this record
Center for Digital Democracy. “Caicedo — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/CO-ALC-05125. Sources: colombia--url-44e0af24e3fef22401f2d269, colombia--url-f8cbad13a2c7112410d7a492, colombia--url-142631271ac95a7106b17681, colombia--Sdc3a3f1f89, colombia--S67eb704c85, colombia--S8164286948.