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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

Caceres — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Colombia · Caceres / Antioquia · municipal · MayorCO-ALC-05120

Read the complete original research briefing

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
Caceres / Antioquia
Next election
2027-10-31
Linked upcoming event
next-00b4b5de3093c6b3bc992e31
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-10-31 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • POR LA GENTE60.8%
  • UNIDOS PODEMOS CACERES39.2%
Results for event-be5df13d99013fe750ede062
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
POR LA GENTE · Damiana Maria Monterrosa Perez20231747colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20237,08760.8%UnknownRecorded
UNIDOS PODEMOS CACERES · Juan Alejandro Mira Ortega20232177colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20234,56339.2%UnknownRecorded

2019

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO38.6%
  • MOVIMIENTO AUTORIDADES INDIGENAS DE COLOMBIA - AICO38.6%
  • PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO21.6%
  • MOVIMIENTO ALTERNATIVO INDIGENA Y SOCIAL - MAIS1.2%
Results for event-74b6b1835f9e57eb3e0fb753
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO · Juan Carlos Rodriguez Blanco18480001colombia/S67eb704c85/20193,83838.6%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO AUTORIDADES INDIGENAS DE COLOMBIA - AICO · Damiana Maria Monterrosa Perez19910001colombia/S67eb704c85/20193,83538.6%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Javier Danilo Grisales Saavedra18490002colombia/S67eb704c85/20192,14721.6%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO ALTERNATIVO INDIGENA Y SOCIAL - MAIS · Oscar De Jesus Jaramillo Jaramillo20130002colombia/S67eb704c85/20191201.2%UnknownRecorded

2015

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U55.7%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO34.6%
  • MOVIMIENTO AUTORIDADES INDIGENAS DE COLOMBIA - AICO8.4%
  • PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO1.0%
  • PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE0.2%
Results for event-c8d1756597c0deb484d9ad6b
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U · Jose Mercedes Berrio Berrio20050002colombia/S8164286948/20155,81755.7%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO · Juan Carlos Rodriguez Blanco18480001colombia/S8164286948/20153,60634.6%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO AUTORIDADES INDIGENAS DE COLOMBIA - AICO · Frank David Mejia Jimenez19910001colombia/S8164286948/20158778.4%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Oscar De Jesus Jaramillo18490002colombia/S8164286948/20151091%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE · Armando Gabriel Sosa Julio20090002colombia/S8164286948/2015260.2%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

24.360–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=21.66523605150215, oldest_gap=21.188308576904646, previous_gap=0.03018108651911433

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,[21.599597585513077,38.61167002012073,0,0,0,0,0,1.2072434607645874,0,38.58148893360161,0],[1.0445615716339243,34.55678006708194,55.745088643986584,0,0,0.24916147580258743,0,0,0,8.404408241494968,0]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

55.99percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,[21.599597585513077,38.61167002012073,0,0,0,0,0,1.2072434607645874,0,38.58148893360161,0],[1.0445615716339243,34.55678006708194,55.745088643986584,0,0,0.24916147580258743,0,0,0,8.404408241494968,0]]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,[21.599597585513077,38.61167002012073,0,0,0,0,0,1.2072434607645874,0,38.58148893360161,0],[1.0445615716339243,34.55678006708194,55.745088643986584,0,0,0.24916147580258743,0,0,0,8.404408241494968,0]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review. Six 2023 assemblies remain absent: Amazonas, Guainía, Huila, Risaralda, Vaupés and Vichada. Cali’s 37 JAL boards and dated membership rosters are registered; the national JAL register, three-cycle votes and replacement-event final returns remain incomplete. Twenty mixed-list-type histories, Bogotá and Cali 2015 partial counts and candidate/elected-flag inconsistencies require reconciliation. The national historical portal rejected this browser through security screening. Full legal seat allocation is separate from candidate flags and directory headcounts.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “Caceres — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/CO-ALC-05120. Sources: colombia--url-44e0af24e3fef22401f2d269, colombia--url-f8cbad13a2c7112410d7a492, colombia--url-142631271ac95a7106b17681, colombia--Sdc3a3f1f89, colombia--S67eb704c85, colombia--S8164286948.