Office briefing
Antioquia — Mayor
Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.
Colombia · Antioquia / Antioquia · municipal · MayorCO-ALC-05042
Read the complete original research briefing
Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review.
1. What office, where, and when is the next election?
- Geography
- Antioquia / Antioquia
- Next election
- 2027-10-31
- Linked upcoming event
- next-8d493997685fe59a6fa078f5
- Registry qualification
- Unknown
2. How certain is that date?
2027-10-31 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.
3. Who won earlier selected elections?
2023
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes
- COALICION PARTIDO LIBERAL RENOVACION43.0%
- PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U21.7%
- CRECEMOS JUNTOS EN SANTA FE DE ANTIOQUIA15.2%
- MAS OPORTUNIDADES PARA TODOS11.3%
- MOVIMIENTO NUEVO LIBERALISMO5.1%
- COALICION VOLVER A CREER3.7%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| COALICION PARTIDO LIBERAL RENOVACION · Yamid Carvajal Carvajal | 20230264colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 5,603 | 43% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U · Andres Felipe Leal Vasquez | 20050002colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 2,830 | 21.7% | Unknown | Recorded |
| CRECEMOS JUNTOS EN SANTA FE DE ANTIOQUIA · Felix Antonio Giraldo Suarez | 20231053colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 1,978 | 15.2% | Unknown | Recorded |
| MAS OPORTUNIDADES PARA TODOS · Frey Leon Rodriguez Vargas | 20231513colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 1,478 | 11.3% | Unknown | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO NUEVO LIBERALISMO · Urley Antonio Durango Alcaraz | 19790001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 667 | 5.1% | Unknown | Recorded |
| COALICION VOLVER A CREER · Brayam Anibal Guzman Aguinaga | 20230937colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/2023 | 476 | 3.7% | Unknown | Recorded |
2019
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes
- PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE38.3%
- PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO32.5%
- PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U14.4%
- PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE12.6%
- PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO1.7%
- MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA DEMOCRATICA AFROCOLOMBIANA - ADA - MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA DEMOCRATICA AMPLIA0.6%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE · Andres Felipe Pardo Serna | 20130001colombia/S67eb704c85/2019 | 4,594 | 38.3% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO · Yamid Carvajal Carvajal | 18480001colombia/S67eb704c85/2019 | 3,904 | 32.5% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U · Frey Leon Rodriguez Vargas | 20050002colombia/S67eb704c85/2019 | 1,723 | 14.4% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE · Urley Antonio Durango Alcaraz | 20090002colombia/S67eb704c85/2019 | 1,512 | 12.6% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO · Klauss Holguin Garcia | 20030001colombia/S67eb704c85/2019 | 198 | 1.7% | Unknown | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA DEMOCRATICA AFROCOLOMBIANA - ADA - MOVIMIENTO ALIANZA DEMOCRATICA AMPLIA · Bayardo Leon Benitez Benitez | 20180047colombia/S67eb704c85/2019 | 68 | 0.6% | Unknown | Recorded |
2015
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes
- PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO47.0%
- PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U38.5%
- PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE13.3%
- MOVIMIENTO AUTORIDADES INDIGENAS DE COLOMBIA - AICO0.9%
- PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO0.2%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO · Saulo Armando Rivera Fernandez | 18480001colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 5,014 | 47% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U · Elkin Martinez Mora | 20050002colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 4,110 | 38.5% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE · Andres Felipe Pardo Serna | 20130001colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 1,422 | 13.3% | Unknown | Recorded |
| MOVIMIENTO AUTORIDADES INDIGENAS DE COLOMBIA - AICO · Bayardo Leon Benitez Benitez | 19910001colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 101 | 0.9% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO · Luvin Hidalgo Vidales | 20030001colombia/S8164286948/2015 | 26 | 0.2% | Unknown | Recorded |
4. Competition and volatility
competition index
Provisional imported-series CI23.30–100 historical closeness
Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open
Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=21.278391651319826, oldest_gap=8.46997095474562, previous_gap=5.750479206600545
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility85.07percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Latest interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,0,21.715776550030693,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,78.2842234499693],[0,32.5360446703892,14.35952996083007,1.6501375114592882,38.28652387698975,12.601050087507293,0,0,0,0,0.566713892824402],[0,46.978356600768294,38.508385646022674,0.243605359317905,13.323339267310034,0,0,0,0,0.9463131265810925,0]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility39.54percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Previous interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,0,21.715776550030693,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,78.2842234499693],[0,32.5360446703892,14.35952996083007,1.6501375114592882,38.28652387698975,12.601050087507293,0,0,0,0,0.566713892824402],[0,46.978356600768294,38.508385646022674,0.243605359317905,13.323339267310034,0,0,0,0,0.9463131265810925,0]]
pedersen volatility
Provisional volatility62.31percentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Both intervals mean
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,0,21.715776550030693,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,78.2842234499693],[0,32.5360446703892,14.35952996083007,1.6501375114592882,38.28652387698975,12.601050087507293,0,0,0,0,0.566713892824402],[0,46.978356600768294,38.508385646022674,0.243605359317905,13.323339267310034,0,0,0,0,0.9463131265810925,0]]
Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.
5. Officeholder evidence
Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.
No officeholder observation supplied.
6. Polling context
No local poll supplied.
National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.
7. Unresolved issues and sources
Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review. Six 2023 assemblies remain absent: Amazonas, Guainía, Huila, Risaralda, Vaupés and Vichada. Cali’s 37 JAL boards and dated membership rosters are registered; the national JAL register, three-cycle votes and replacement-event final returns remain incomplete. Twenty mixed-list-type histories, Bogotá and Cali 2015 partial counts and candidate/elected-flag inconsistencies require reconciliation. The national historical portal rejected this browser through security screening. Full legal seat allocation is separate from candidate flags and directory headcounts.
Sources
- Colombia: https://doi.org/10.71590/R2KLKI/BWJDHW · rights unknown
- Colombia: https://doi.org/10.71590/R2KLKI/QVG0NB · rights unknown
- Colombia: https://doi.org/10.71590/R2KLKI/UJ4B6K · rights unknown
- Colombia: CEDE Colombia 2023 alcaldia · rights unknown
- Colombia: CEDE Colombia 2019 alcaldia · rights unknown
- Colombia: CEDE Colombia 2015 alcaldia · rights unknown
Cite this record
Center for Digital Democracy. “Antioquia — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/CO-ALC-05042. Sources: colombia--url-44e0af24e3fef22401f2d269, colombia--url-f8cbad13a2c7112410d7a492, colombia--url-142631271ac95a7106b17681, colombia--Sdc3a3f1f89, colombia--S67eb704c85, colombia--S8164286948.