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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

Amaga — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Colombia · Amaga / Antioquia · municipal · MayorCO-ALC-05030

Read the complete original research briefing

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
Amaga / Antioquia
Next election
2027-10-31
Linked upcoming event
next-901e39e7f25dc10d6c3510a6
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-10-31 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • COALICION AMAGA ENAMORA49.0%
  • AMAGA NOS UNE40.0%
  • CREEMOS7.1%
  • CEDE party code 202300012.1%
  • MOVIMIENTO NUEVA FUERZA DEMOCRATICA1.9%
Results for event-62527a9379f949046e7302b1
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
COALICION AMAGA ENAMORA · Wilser Dario Molina Molina20230469colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20236,85049%UnknownRecorded
AMAGA NOS UNE · Juan Carlos Amaya Cano20230089colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20235,58840%UnknownRecorded
CREEMOS · Daniel Acosta Alvarez20150003colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20239907.1%UnknownRecorded
CEDE party code 20230001 · Angela Maria Alvarez Castrillon20230001colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20232872.1%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO NUEVA FUERZA DEMOCRATICA · John Fredy Granados Hurtado19900002colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/20232591.9%UnknownRecorded

2019

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO48.7%
  • COALICION ALCALDIA DE AMAGA-ANT. PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO Y PARTIDO DE LA U - "COALICION AMAGA"28.4%
  • COALICION ALCALDIA DE AMAGA-ANT. PARTIDO CONSERVADOR Y PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL20.7%
  • PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE2.2%
Results for event-67bda8f69a311329f885f62a
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO · Leonardo De Jesus Molina Rodas18480001colombia/S67eb704c85/20195,97348.7%UnknownRecorded
COALICION ALCALDIA DE AMAGA-ANT. PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO Y PARTIDO DE LA U - "COALICION AMAGA" · Eduardo Antonio Acevedo Vasquez20190440colombia/S67eb704c85/20193,48028.4%UnknownRecorded
COALICION ALCALDIA DE AMAGA-ANT. PARTIDO CONSERVADOR Y PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL · Juan Carlos Amaya Cano20190092colombia/S67eb704c85/20192,54620.7%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE · John Fredy Granados Hurtado20090002colombia/S67eb704c85/20192762.2%UnknownRecorded

2015

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE32.5%
  • PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO29.7%
  • PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE14.6%
  • PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U13.8%
  • PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO9.0%
  • MOVIMIENTO ALTERNATIVO INDIGENA Y SOCIAL - MAIS0.3%
  • PARTIDO OPCION CIUDADANA0.2%
Results for event-159718051104f0d5ba738765
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE · Wilser Dario Molina Molina20130001colombia/S8164286948/20153,90232.5%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO LIBERAL COLOMBIANO · Leonardo De Jesus Molina Rodas18480001colombia/S8164286948/20153,56429.7%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE · Aldemar Antonio Perez Avendaño20090002colombia/S8164286948/20151,75114.6%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO SOCIAL DE UNIDAD NACIONAL - PARTIDO DE LA U · Edgar De Jesus Zapata Laverde20050002colombia/S8164286948/20151,65113.8%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · David Esteban Taborda Zapata18490002colombia/S8164286948/20151,0809%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO ALTERNATIVO INDIGENA Y SOCIAL - MAIS · Retirado (A)20130002colombia/S8164286948/2015330.3%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO OPCION CIUDADANA · Roger Eduardo Florez Garcia20090001colombia/S8164286948/2015230.2%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

41.030–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=9.031057678545878, oldest_gap=2.815728090636455, previous_gap=20.30957230142566

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,[0,48.65987780040733,0,0,0,2.24847250509165,0,0,0,0,49.091649694501015],[8.997000999666778,29.690103298900368,13.753748750416527,0,32.50583138953682,14.586804398533822,0,0.2749083638787071,0,0,0.19160279906697766]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

67.87percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,[0,48.65987780040733,0,0,0,2.24847250509165,0,0,0,0,49.091649694501015],[8.997000999666778,29.690103298900368,13.753748750416527,0,32.50583138953682,14.586804398533822,0,0.2749083638787071,0,0,0.19160279906697766]]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,[0,48.65987780040733,0,0,0,2.24847250509165,0,0,0,0,49.091649694501015],[8.997000999666778,29.690103298900368,13.753748750416527,0,32.50583138953682,14.586804398533822,0,0.2749083638787071,0,0,0.19160279906697766]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review. Six 2023 assemblies remain absent: Amazonas, Guainía, Huila, Risaralda, Vaupés and Vichada. Cali’s 37 JAL boards and dated membership rosters are registered; the national JAL register, three-cycle votes and replacement-event final returns remain incomplete. Twenty mixed-list-type histories, Bogotá and Cali 2015 partial counts and candidate/elected-flag inconsistencies require reconciliation. The national historical portal rejected this browser through security screening. Full legal seat allocation is separate from candidate flags and directory headcounts.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “Amaga — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/CO-ALC-05030. Sources: colombia--url-44e0af24e3fef22401f2d269, colombia--url-f8cbad13a2c7112410d7a492, colombia--url-142631271ac95a7106b17681, colombia--Sdc3a3f1f89, colombia--S67eb704c85, colombia--S8164286948.