Skip to observatory content

Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

Abriaqui — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Colombia · Abriaqui / Antioquia · municipal · MayorCO-ALC-05004

Read the complete original research briefing

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
Abriaqui / Antioquia
Next election
2027-10-31
Linked upcoming event
next-5f8a5e4c0ca4cac5049cf903
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-10-31 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO55.2%
  • PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE44.6%
  • ABRIAQUI, UNIDOS PODEMOS0.2%
Results for event-d1129a6343cb26684e906af3
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Daniel Alberto Salas Gallego18490002colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/202381455.2%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO ALIANZA VERDE · Ramon Elias Alvarez Herrera20090002colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/202365844.6%UnknownRecorded
ABRIAQUI, UNIDOS PODEMOS · Walter Arbey Montoya Garcia20230018colombia/Sdc3a3f1f89/202330.2%UnknownRecorded

2019

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO53.4%
  • PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE24.1%
  • PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO22.5%
Results for event-78f3026a3b1d7676a8d33e85
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Hector William Urrego Quiros18490002colombia/S67eb704c85/201977253.4%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CENTRO DEMOCRATICO - MANO FIRME CORAZON GRANDE · Carlos Andres Duque Correa20130001colombia/S67eb704c85/201934824.1%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO · Ramon Emiro Hoyos Moreno20030001colombia/S67eb704c85/201932622.5%UnknownRecorded

2015

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO55.4%
  • PARTIDO OPCION CIUDADANA42.8%
  • PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO1.8%
Results for event-d54ce6a6667703922d97ec95
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO CONSERVADOR COLOMBIANO · Jhon Fredy Lopez Sepulveda18490002colombia/S8164286948/201573555.4%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO OPCION CIUDADANA · Ramon Emiro Hoyos Moreno20090001colombia/S8164286948/201556742.8%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CAMBIO RADICAL COLOMBIANO · Maria Esperanza Garcia Marin20030001colombia/S8164286948/2015241.8%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

17.950–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=10.576271186440678, oldest_gap=12.669683257918557, previous_gap=29.322268326417706

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

46.61percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[55.186440677966104,0,0,0,0,44.610169491525426,0,0,0,0,0.2033898305084746],[53.38865836791148,0,0,22.544951590594746,24.066390041493776,0,0,0,0,0,0],[55.42986425339367,0,0,1.8099547511312217,0,0,0,0,0,0,42.76018099547511]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

44.8percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[55.186440677966104,0,0,0,0,44.610169491525426,0,0,0,0,0.2033898305084746],[53.38865836791148,0,0,22.544951590594746,24.066390041493776,0,0,0,0,0,0],[55.42986425339367,0,0,1.8099547511312217,0,0,0,0,0,0,42.76018099547511]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

45.71percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Ten exact standalone national-party labels. Mixed coalitions, unidentified CEDE codes and other lists stay Other. Changes in coalition participation are not resolved into constituent-party votes. Geographic and actual-event audits remain open. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["Conservador","Liberal","La U","Cambio Radical","Centro Democratico","Alianza Verde","ASI","MAIS","Polo","AICO","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[55.186440677966104,0,0,0,0,44.610169491525426,0,0,0,0,0.2033898305084746],[53.38865836791148,0,0,22.544951590594746,24.066390041493776,0,0,0,0,0,0],[55.42986425339367,0,0,1.8099547511312217,0,0,0,0,0,0,42.76018099547511]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Expected ordinary election on the last Sunday of October; formal call and 2027 roster require refresh. CEDE/Registraduría ordinary returns V2. Shares exclude blank and invalid ballots. Changing coalition labels and current control are not harmonized. Repeats, annulments and opposition-seat acceptance require certification review. Six 2023 assemblies remain absent: Amazonas, Guainía, Huila, Risaralda, Vaupés and Vichada. Cali’s 37 JAL boards and dated membership rosters are registered; the national JAL register, three-cycle votes and replacement-event final returns remain incomplete. Twenty mixed-list-type histories, Bogotá and Cali 2015 partial counts and candidate/elected-flag inconsistencies require reconciliation. The national historical portal rejected this browser through security screening. Full legal seat allocation is separate from candidate flags and directory headcounts.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “Abriaqui — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/CO-ALC-05004. Sources: colombia--url-44e0af24e3fef22401f2d269, colombia--url-f8cbad13a2c7112410d7a492, colombia--url-142631271ac95a7106b17681, colombia--Sdc3a3f1f89, colombia--S67eb704c85, colombia--S8164286948.