Office briefing
San Lazaro — Village council member vacancy
Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.
Belize · San Lazaro / Orange Walk District · other · Village council member vacancyBZ-V-SAN-LAZARO-MEMBER
Read the complete original research briefing
The vacancy follows Virginio Carrillo’s death. Three ordinary member cohorts are retained as context, including an uncontested 2022 election. They are not equivalent to the upcoming one-seat vacancy; intervening village by-elections remain a separate audit.
1. What office, where, and when is the next election?
- Geography
- San Lazaro / Orange Walk District
- Next election
- 2026-10-04
- Linked upcoming event
- next-71a1b3465f0a015ec77f224c
- Registry qualification
- Unknown
2. How certain is that date?
2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.
3. Who won earlier selected elections?
2025-06-22
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks
- Affiliation not stated — Shanti Jianeri Acosta5.7%
- Affiliation not stated — Mariaquelin Amaya5.8%
- Affiliation not stated — Haley Rachel Rodriguez5.7%
- Affiliation not stated — Pablo Antanacio Rodriguez5.7%
- Affiliation not stated — Ines Tillett5.4%
- Affiliation not stated — Julian Javier Yam5.4%
- Affiliation not stated — Rigoberto Alvarado11.1%
- Affiliation not stated — Virginio Carrillo10.9%
- Affiliation not stated — Lea Elizabeth Gonzalez11.0%
- Affiliation not stated — Kelly Tonisha Rodriguez11.2%
- Affiliation not stated — Oscar Remijio Sanchez11.1%
- Affiliation not stated — David Alonso Tillett10.9%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Affiliation not stated — Shanti Jianeri Acosta · Shanti Jianeri Acosta | belize/S3aea9b7851/2025 | 174 | 5.7% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| Affiliation not stated — Mariaquelin Amaya · Mariaquelin Amaya | belize/S3aea9b7851/2025 | 175 | 5.8% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| Affiliation not stated — Haley Rachel Rodriguez · Haley Rachel Rodriguez | belize/S3aea9b7851/2025 | 174 | 5.7% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| Affiliation not stated — Pablo Antanacio Rodriguez · Pablo Antanacio Rodriguez | belize/S3aea9b7851/2025 | 174 | 5.7% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| Affiliation not stated — Ines Tillett · Ines Tillett | belize/S3aea9b7851/2025 | 164 | 5.4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| Affiliation not stated — Julian Javier Yam · Julian Javier Yam | belize/S3aea9b7851/2025 | 164 | 5.4% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| Affiliation not stated — Rigoberto Alvarado · Rigoberto Alvarado | belize/S3aea9b7851/2025 | 339 | 11.1% | 1 | Recorded |
| Affiliation not stated — Virginio Carrillo · Virginio Carrillo | belize/S3aea9b7851/2025 | 333 | 10.9% | 1 | Recorded |
| Affiliation not stated — Lea Elizabeth Gonzalez · Lea Elizabeth Gonzalez | belize/S3aea9b7851/2025 | 335 | 11% | 1 | Recorded |
| Affiliation not stated — Kelly Tonisha Rodriguez · Kelly Tonisha Rodriguez | belize/S3aea9b7851/2025 | 341 | 11.2% | 1 | Recorded |
| Affiliation not stated — Oscar Remijio Sanchez · Oscar Remijio Sanchez | belize/S3aea9b7851/2025 | 337 | 11.1% | 1 | Recorded |
| Affiliation not stated — David Alonso Tillett · David Alonso Tillett | belize/S3aea9b7851/2025 | 332 | 10.9% | 1 | Recorded |
2022-06-12
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks
- Affiliation not stated — Andres Alvaradounknown
- Affiliation not stated — Virginio Carrillounknown
- Affiliation not stated — Moises Lopezunknown
- Affiliation not stated — Ulises Gabriel Melaraunknown
- Affiliation not stated — Oscar Remijio Sanchezunknown
- Affiliation not stated — David Alonso Tillettunknown
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Affiliation not stated — Andres Alvarado · Andres Alvarado | belize/S742731e8ee/2022 | Unknown | Unknown | 1 | Recorded |
| Affiliation not stated — Virginio Carrillo · Virginio Carrillo | belize/S742731e8ee/2022 | Unknown | Unknown | 1 | Recorded |
| Affiliation not stated — Moises Lopez · Moises Lopez | belize/S742731e8ee/2022 | Unknown | Unknown | 1 | Recorded |
| Affiliation not stated — Ulises Gabriel Melara · Ulises Gabriel Melara | belize/S742731e8ee/2022 | Unknown | Unknown | 1 | Recorded |
| Affiliation not stated — Oscar Remijio Sanchez · Oscar Remijio Sanchez | belize/S742731e8ee/2022 | Unknown | Unknown | 1 | Recorded |
| Affiliation not stated — David Alonso Tillett · David Alonso Tillett | belize/S742731e8ee/2022 | Unknown | Unknown | 1 | Recorded |
2019-06-23
Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks
- Affiliation not stated — Maribel Guerra6.7%
- Affiliation not stated — Eufemia Moguel7.0%
- Affiliation not stated — Russel Castellanos6.9%
- Affiliation not stated — Mabelita Carrillo6.5%
- Affiliation not stated — Vianie Lisiany Carrillo6.3%
- Affiliation not stated — Edwin Gutierrez6.3%
- Affiliation not stated — Elisa Laura Carballo9.8%
- Affiliation not stated — Moises Lopez10.2%
- Affiliation not stated — Angelita I. Rodriguez10.4%
- Affiliation not stated — Lloyda E. Carrillo10.3%
- Affiliation not stated — Enrique A. Cecena10.0%
- Affiliation not stated — Normando J. Carrillo9.6%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Affiliation not stated — Maribel Guerra · Maribel Guerra | belize/S3ee0d0a755/2019 | 218 | 6.7% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| Affiliation not stated — Eufemia Moguel · Eufemia Moguel | belize/S3ee0d0a755/2019 | 228 | 7% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| Affiliation not stated — Russel Castellanos · Russel Castellanos | belize/S3ee0d0a755/2019 | 223 | 6.9% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| Affiliation not stated — Mabelita Carrillo · Mabelita Carrillo | belize/S3ee0d0a755/2019 | 212 | 6.5% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| Affiliation not stated — Vianie Lisiany Carrillo · Vianie Lisiany Carrillo | belize/S3ee0d0a755/2019 | 203 | 6.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| Affiliation not stated — Edwin Gutierrez · Edwin Gutierrez | belize/S3ee0d0a755/2019 | 203 | 6.3% | 0 (recorded zero) | Recorded |
| Affiliation not stated — Elisa Laura Carballo · Elisa Laura Carballo | belize/S3ee0d0a755/2019 | 319 | 9.8% | 1 | Recorded |
| Affiliation not stated — Moises Lopez · Moises Lopez | belize/S3ee0d0a755/2019 | 330 | 10.2% | 1 | Recorded |
| Affiliation not stated — Angelita I. Rodriguez · Angelita I. Rodriguez | belize/S3ee0d0a755/2019 | 338 | 10.4% | 1 | Recorded |
| Affiliation not stated — Lloyda E. Carrillo · Lloyda E. Carrillo | belize/S3ee0d0a755/2019 | 333 | 10.3% | 1 | Recorded |
| Affiliation not stated — Enrique A. Cecena · Enrique A. Cecena | belize/S3ee0d0a755/2019 | 325 | 10% | 1 | Recorded |
| Affiliation not stated — Normando J. Carrillo · Normando J. Carrillo | belize/S3ee0d0a755/2019 | 310 | 9.6% | 1 | Recorded |
4. Competition and volatility
competition index
WithheldUnknown0–100 historical closeness
Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Comparison unavailable · The vacancy follows Virginio Carrillo’s death. Three ordinary member cohorts are retained as context, including an uncontested 2022 election. They are not equivalent to the upcoming one-seat vacancy; intervening village by-elections remain a separate audit.
Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=null, oldest_gap=null, previous_gap=null
pedersen volatility
Withheld volatilityUnknownpercentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). PUP, UDP and Other (minor parties and unresolved/independent affiliations). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PUP","UDP","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,null,null]
pedersen volatility
Withheld volatilityUnknownpercentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). PUP, UDP and Other (minor parties and unresolved/independent affiliations). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PUP","UDP","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,null,null]
pedersen volatility
Withheld volatilityUnknownpercentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). PUP, UDP and Other (minor parties and unresolved/independent affiliations). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PUP","UDP","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,null,null]
Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.
5. Officeholder evidence
Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.
No officeholder observation supplied.
6. Polling context
No local poll supplied.
7. Unresolved issues and sources
other · open
One-seat vacancy differs from six-member ordinary cohorts: The vacancy follows Virginio Carrillo’s death. Three ordinary member cohorts are retained as context, including an uncontested 2022 election. They are not equivalent to the upcoming one-seat vacancy; intervening village by-elections remain a separate audit.
Sources
- Belize: https://elections.gov.bz/wp-content/uploads/2025/06/22nd-JUNE-VILLAGE-COUNCIL-RESULTS.pdf · rights unknown
- Belize: https://elections.gov.bz/wp-content/uploads/2023/12/12-JUNE-VILLAGE-COUNCIL-RESULTS-SAN-LAZARO.pdf · rights unknown
- Belize: https://elections.gov.bz/wp-content/uploads/2023/12/2019-June-23-village-council-election-San-Lazaro.pdf · rights unknown
- Belize: https://elections.gov.bz/wp-content/uploads/2026/09/Notice-Village-Council-By-ElectionSan-Lazaro.pdf · rights unknown
- Belize: Official village returns, 22 June 2025; San Lazaro page 3 · rights unknown
- Belize: Official San Lazaro members election, 12 June 2022; uncontested · rights unknown
- Belize: Official San Lazaro village returns, 23 June 2019 · rights unknown
Cite this record
Center for Digital Democracy. “San Lazaro — Village council member vacancy.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/BZ-V-SAN-LAZARO-MEMBER. Sources: belize--url-d9b5ed8a88223eff1b324a04, belize--url-fb78c9c23358bbc47bec12d8, belize--url-e800741676d5030f96f61092, belize--url-d8eb8dd9a472e62fafb602f3, belize--S3aea9b7851, belize--S742731e8ee, belize--S3ee0d0a755.