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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

PUNTA GORDA — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Belize · PUNTA GORDA · municipal · MayorBZ-PUNTAGORDA-M

Read the complete original research briefing

Council marks cannot be used as ordinary vote shares. Mayor and council have separate histories.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
PUNTA GORDA
Next election
2027-03
Linked upcoming event
next-9e74472e7b12a77ff53acf16
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-03 is expected (not formally called). Month precision — no calendar day supplied. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2024-03-06

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PUP46.0%
  • UDP44.6%
  • BPP8.5%
  • Independent — MUSCHAMP Orlando Alberto0.5%
  • Independent — CHUN Winston Felix0.4%
Results for event-8964173d11cac114a52a4926
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PUPbelize/S541c1f9474/202482046%1Recorded
UDPbelize/S541c1f9474/202479544.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
BPPbelize/S541c1f9474/20241528.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
Independent — MUSCHAMP Orlando Albertobelize/S541c1f9474/202490.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
Independent — CHUN Winston Felixbelize/S541c1f9474/202480.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2021-03-03

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PUP54.1%
  • Affiliation unresolved — PALMA MARCEL “Bap Play”26.6%
  • UDP19.2%
Results for event-ef6a1cbb6e5a672ebc14d2f8
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PUPbelize/Sfd5f2a8f1e/202183554.1%1Recorded
Affiliation unresolved — PALMA MARCEL “Bap Play”belize/Sfd5f2a8f1e/202141126.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UDPbelize/Sfd5f2a8f1e/202129719.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2018-03-07

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • UDP53.4%
  • PUP42.5%
  • Affiliation unresolved — WILLIAMSON Francilia "Sapa"4.1%
Results for event-bae015ef9b36cfb3ac818501
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
UDPbelize/Sae868695ff/20181,18153.4%1Recorded
PUPbelize/Sae868695ff/201894142.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
Affiliation unresolved — WILLIAMSON Francilia "Sapa"belize/Sae868695ff/2018914.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

49.160–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=1.4013452914798208, oldest_gap=10.845006778129232, previous_gap=27.478937135450423

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

25.31percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). PUP, UDP and Other (minor parties and unresolved/independent affiliations). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PUP","UDP","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[45.964125560538115,44.562780269058294,9.473094170403588],[54.11535968891769,19.248217757615034,26.63642255346727],[42.52146407591505,53.36647085404428,4.112065070040669]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

34.12percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). PUP, UDP and Other (minor parties and unresolved/independent affiliations). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PUP","UDP","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[45.964125560538115,44.562780269058294,9.473094170403588],[54.11535968891769,19.248217757615034,26.63642255346727],[42.52146407591505,53.36647085404428,4.112065070040669]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

29.72percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). PUP, UDP and Other (minor parties and unresolved/independent affiliations). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PUP","UDP","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[45.964125560538115,44.562780269058294,9.473094170403588],[54.11535968891769,19.248217757615034,26.63642255346727],[42.52146407591505,53.36647085404428,4.112065070040669]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

No open research issues attached to this office.

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “PUNTA GORDA — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/BZ-PUNTAGORDA-M. Sources: belize--url-c3545cc94ebf42fcfd5ea18a, belize--url-84c7a4ac059a32c81fb0d365, belize--url-6c497bebff09b5413a9eac91, belize--S541c1f9474, belize--Sfd5f2a8f1e, belize--Sae868695ff.