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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

ORANGE WALK — Municipal council

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Belize · ORANGE WALK · municipal · Municipal councilBZ-ORANGEWALK-C

Read the complete original research briefing

Council marks cannot be used as ordinary vote shares. Mayor and council have separate histories.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
ORANGE WALK
Next election
2027-03
Linked upcoming event
next-bc91388d2b7d5177b0089ed8
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-03 is expected (not formally called). Month precision — no calendar day supplied. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2024-03-06

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PUPunknown
  • UDPunknown
Results for event-dab52c01ded49983f3243145
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PUPbelize/Sec79bde235/202428,366Unknown6Recorded
UDPbelize/Sec79bde235/202410,783Unknown0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2021-03-03

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PUPunknown
  • UDPunknown
Results for event-efb31f09d8309385a5209a61
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PUPbelize/Sfd5f2a8f1e/202127,002Unknown6Recorded
UDPbelize/Sfd5f2a8f1e/20218,343Unknown0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2018-03-07

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PUPunknown
  • UDPunknown
Results for event-a99f2c54018f0a03c8f6d4ea
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PUPbelize/S265de45982/201832,007Unknown6Recorded
UDPbelize/S265de45982/201816,374Unknown0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Withheld

Unknown0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Comparison unavailable · Council marks cannot be used as ordinary vote shares. Mayor and council have separate histories.

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=null, oldest_gap=null, previous_gap=null

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). PUP, UDP and Other (minor parties and unresolved/independent affiliations). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PUP","UDP","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). PUP, UDP and Other (minor parties and unresolved/independent affiliations). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PUP","UDP","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). PUP, UDP and Other (minor parties and unresolved/independent affiliations). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PUP","UDP","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,null,null]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

No open research issues attached to this office.

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “ORANGE WALK — Municipal council.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/BZ-ORANGEWALK-C. Sources: belize--url-cc5bb1bb0b00a06c5e2e3503, belize--url-84c7a4ac059a32c81fb0d365, belize--url-50e7edc130e1f29ff82952be, belize--Sec79bde235, belize--Sfd5f2a8f1e, belize--S265de45982.