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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

BELMOPAN — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Belize · BELMOPAN · municipal · MayorBZ-BELMOPAN-M

Read the complete original research briefing

Council marks cannot be used as ordinary vote shares. Mayor and council have separate histories.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
BELMOPAN
Next election
2027-03
Linked upcoming event
next-6d55814d11af1b4314828a23
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-03 is expected (not formally called). Month precision — no calendar day supplied. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2024-03-06

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PUP58.3%
  • UDP41.7%
Results for event-3e2faa1c2144b2b7741ffed7
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PUPbelize/Sdd8ba2cd57/20243,12758.3%1Recorded
UDPbelize/Sdd8ba2cd57/20242,24041.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2021-03-03

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PUP66.5%
  • UDP28.5%
  • Affiliation unresolved — FRAZER Ralston "Fraze"5.0%
Results for event-20190efe49b9ce99d7eef584
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PUPbelize/Sfd5f2a8f1e/20213,01666.5%1Recorded
UDPbelize/Sfd5f2a8f1e/20211,29128.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
Affiliation unresolved — FRAZER Ralston "Fraze"belize/Sfd5f2a8f1e/20212275%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2018-03-07

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • UDP57.3%
  • PUP40.9%
  • Affiliation unresolved — LESLIE Charles Beresford1.7%
Results for event-4b8f085f9cbd86e9ab513ed2
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
UDPbelize/S1273db3ed4/20183,29857.3%1Recorded
PUPbelize/S1273db3ed4/20182,35540.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
Affiliation unresolved — LESLIE Charles Beresfordbelize/S1273db3ed4/2018981.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

0 (recorded zero)0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=16.526923793553195, oldest_gap=16.39714832203095, previous_gap=38.045875606528455

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

13.26percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). PUP, UDP and Other (minor parties and unresolved/independent affiliations). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PUP","UDP","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[58.2634618967766,41.7365381032234,0],[66.51962946625497,28.47375385972651,5.0066166740185265],[40.94940010432968,57.346548426360634,1.7040514693096853]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

28.87percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). PUP, UDP and Other (minor parties and unresolved/independent affiliations). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PUP","UDP","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[58.2634618967766,41.7365381032234,0],[66.51962946625497,28.47375385972651,5.0066166740185265],[40.94940010432968,57.346548426360634,1.7040514693096853]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

21.07percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). PUP, UDP and Other (minor parties and unresolved/independent affiliations). An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PUP","UDP","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[58.2634618967766,41.7365381032234,0],[66.51962946625497,28.47375385972651,5.0066166740185265],[40.94940010432968,57.346548426360634,1.7040514693096853]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

No open research issues attached to this office.

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “BELMOPAN — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/BZ-BELMOPAN-M. Sources: belize--url-a9ef2f60a6167f106825639b, belize--url-84c7a4ac059a32c81fb0d365, belize--url-5232eaa9488b3923be39238d, belize--Sdd8ba2cd57, belize--Sfd5f2a8f1e, belize--S1273db3ed4.