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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

Pará — Governor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Brazil · Pará / PA · regional · GovernorBR-PA-G

Read the complete original research briefing

First round 4 October 2026; governor runoff 25 October where required. TSE ordinary-election returns aggregated once from state files, excluding the duplicate national BR file. Party votes are not governing coalition control. Legislative votes include nominal plus valid list votes. Judicial retotalizations and changed party labels require review. The 2014 file uses legacy nominal/list fields; later files separately identify valid, converted and subjudice votes. This is an explicit definition-comparability limitation.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
Pará / PA
Next election
2026-10-04
Linked upcoming event
next-b22417ccde23d409865af16c
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2022-10-02

unknown · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • MDB70.4%
  • PL27.1%
  • PSOL1.3%
  • PRTB0.7%
  • SOLIDARIEDADE0.2%
  • PMB0.1%
  • PSTU0.1%
  • AGIR0.0%
Results for event-dcd25ba3d63e4d43be15cd1e
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MDB · HELDERbrazil/S5cd0a4c40e/20223,117,27670.4%UnknownRecorded
PL · ZEQUINHA MARINHObrazil/S5cd0a4c40e/20221,201,07927.1%UnknownRecorded
PSOL · ADOLFO OLIVEIRAbrazil/S5cd0a4c40e/202256,8301.3%UnknownRecorded
PRTB · DR. FELIPEbrazil/S5cd0a4c40e/202231,4020.7%UnknownRecorded
SOLIDARIEDADE · MAJOR MARCONYbrazil/S5cd0a4c40e/20229,1830.2%UnknownRecorded
PMB · SOFIA COUTObrazil/S5cd0a4c40e/20225,3550.1%UnknownRecorded
PSTU · CLEBER RABELObrazil/S5cd0a4c40e/20225,0530.1%UnknownRecorded
AGIR · PAULO ROSEIRAbrazil/S5cd0a4c40e/20221,3090%UnknownRecorded

2018-10-28

unknown · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • MDB55.4%
  • DEM44.6%
Results for event-b8d1d97d70382bda5aee2d33
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MDB · HELDERbrazil/S0d7ac4a666/20182,068,31955.4%UnknownRecorded
DEM · MARCIO MIRANDAbrazil/S0d7ac4a666/20181,663,04544.6%UnknownRecorded

2014-10-26

unknown · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PSDB51.9%
  • PMDB48.1%
Results for event-f4fcbf7627fd2e8b617d3057
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PSDB · SIMÃO JATENEbrazil/S2c70216745/20141,858,86951.9%UnknownRecorded
PMDB · HELDER BARBALHObrazil/S2c70216745/20141,721,47948.1%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

0 (recorded zero)0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=43.27956242446336, oldest_gap=3.8373364823754486, previous_gap=10.861282898157356

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Not calculated: comparable fixed party grouping unavailable

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=[], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Not calculated: comparable fixed party grouping unavailable

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=[], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Not calculated: comparable fixed party grouping unavailable

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=[], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[]

Source-reported control: Hana Ghassan (Movimento Democrático Brasileiro (1980)); Secondary current-directory snapshot; primary incumbent/party verification pending; retrieved 12 Sep 2026. Secondary current-directory snapshot; primary incumbent/party verification pending

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

First round 4 October 2026; governor runoff 25 October where required. TSE ordinary-election returns aggregated once from state files, excluding the duplicate national BR file. Party votes are not governing coalition control. Legislative votes include nominal plus valid list votes. Judicial retotalizations and changed party labels require review. The 2014 file uses legacy nominal/list fields; later files separately identify valid, converted and subjudice votes. This is an explicit definition-comparability limitation. Roraima legal certification, Rio and other specific replacement/current-control cases remain open. Eight municipal replacement tickets are tracked; ordinary municipal renewals are outside the window. Public-vote baselines for Alagoas and Amazonas are supplied separately from their indirect selections. Roraima’s primary 2010 cycle is recovered; the June 2026 proclamation is still unresolved. Rio’s signed 2026 legislative retotalization verifies the imported 2022 votes and seats, with 70 named elected deputies added; later membership and governing-coalition control still need dated verification.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “Pará — Governor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/BR-PA-G. Sources: brazil--url-580aebec6bb5c27e76b98bb4, brazil--url-ef95aa16df1e62f699a27949, brazil--url-653ade48bf64a7388c4b910b, brazil--S5cd0a4c40e, brazil--S0d7ac4a666, brazil--S2c70216745.