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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

Mato Grosso — Governor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Brazil · Mato Grosso / MT · regional · GovernorBR-MT-G

Read the complete original research briefing

First round 4 October 2026; governor runoff 25 October where required. TSE ordinary-election returns aggregated once from state files, excluding the duplicate national BR file. Party votes are not governing coalition control. Legislative votes include nominal plus valid list votes. Judicial retotalizations and changed party labels require review. The 2014 file uses legacy nominal/list fields; later files separately identify valid, converted and subjudice votes. This is an explicit definition-comparability limitation.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
Mato Grosso / MT
Next election
2026-10-04
Linked upcoming event
next-c89709155fd11f77659ff465
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2022-10-02

unknown · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • UNIÃO68.5%
  • PV16.4%
  • PTB14.3%
  • PSOL0.8%
Results for event-eefbdb9da21b99870df10063
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
UNIÃO · MAURO MENDESbrazil/S5cd0a4c40e/20221,114,54968.5%UnknownRecorded
PV · MARCIA PINHEIRObrazil/S5cd0a4c40e/2022267,17216.4%UnknownRecorded
PTB · PASTOR MARCOS RITELAbrazil/S5cd0a4c40e/2022233,54314.3%UnknownRecorded
PSOL · MOISÉS FRANZbrazil/S5cd0a4c40e/202212,9480.8%UnknownRecorded

2018-10-07

unknown · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • DEM58.7%
  • PR19.6%
  • PSDB19.0%
  • REDE1.7%
  • PSOL1.0%
Results for event-661382022fc7f015ec1fdb45
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
DEM · MAURO MENDESbrazil/S0d7ac4a666/2018840,09458.7%UnknownRecorded
PR · WELLINGTON FAGUNDESbrazil/S0d7ac4a666/2018280,05519.6%UnknownRecorded
PSDB · PEDRO TAQUESbrazil/S0d7ac4a666/2018271,95219%UnknownRecorded
REDE · ARTHUR NOGUEIRAbrazil/S0d7ac4a666/201824,6891.7%UnknownRecorded
PSOL · MOISÉS FRANZbrazil/S0d7ac4a666/201814,7241%UnknownRecorded

2014-10-05

unknown · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PDT57.3%
  • PT32.4%
  • PSD9.9%
  • PSOL0.4%
Results for event-5c9cf6999a144c8f4590fbdc
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PDT · PEDRO TAQUESbrazil/S2c70216745/2014833,78857.3%UnknownRecorded
PT · LÚDIO CABRALbrazil/S2c70216745/2014472,50732.4%UnknownRecorded
PSD · JANETE RIVAbrazil/S2c70216745/2014144,4409.9%UnknownRecorded
PSOL · DR. JOSÉ ROBERTObrazil/S2c70216745/20145,5700.4%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

0 (recorded zero)0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=52.043407123888045, oldest_gap=24.80805875142913, previous_gap=39.12214620325054

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Not calculated: comparable fixed party grouping unavailable

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=[], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Not calculated: comparable fixed party grouping unavailable

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=[], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Not calculated: comparable fixed party grouping unavailable

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=[], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[]

Source-reported control: Otaviano Pivetta (Republicanos (partido político)); Secondary current-directory snapshot; primary incumbent/party verification pending; retrieved 12 Sep 2026. Secondary current-directory snapshot; primary incumbent/party verification pending

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

First round 4 October 2026; governor runoff 25 October where required. TSE ordinary-election returns aggregated once from state files, excluding the duplicate national BR file. Party votes are not governing coalition control. Legislative votes include nominal plus valid list votes. Judicial retotalizations and changed party labels require review. The 2014 file uses legacy nominal/list fields; later files separately identify valid, converted and subjudice votes. This is an explicit definition-comparability limitation. Roraima legal certification, Rio and other specific replacement/current-control cases remain open. Eight municipal replacement tickets are tracked; ordinary municipal renewals are outside the window. Public-vote baselines for Alagoas and Amazonas are supplied separately from their indirect selections. Roraima’s primary 2010 cycle is recovered; the June 2026 proclamation is still unresolved. Rio’s signed 2026 legislative retotalization verifies the imported 2022 votes and seats, with 70 named elected deputies added; later membership and governing-coalition control still need dated verification.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “Mato Grosso — Governor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/BR-MT-G. Sources: brazil--url-580aebec6bb5c27e76b98bb4, brazil--url-ef95aa16df1e62f699a27949, brazil--url-653ade48bf64a7388c4b910b, brazil--S5cd0a4c40e, brazil--S0d7ac4a666, brazil--S2c70216745.