Skip to observatory content

Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

Federal District — Governor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Brazil · Federal District / DF · regional · GovernorBR-DF-G

Read the complete original research briefing

First round 4 October 2026; governor runoff 25 October where required. TSE ordinary-election returns aggregated once from state files, excluding the duplicate national BR file. Party votes are not governing coalition control. Legislative votes include nominal plus valid list votes. Judicial retotalizations and changed party labels require review. The 2014 file uses legacy nominal/list fields; later files separately identify valid, converted and subjudice votes. This is an explicit definition-comparability limitation.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
Federal District / DF
Next election
2026-10-04
Linked upcoming event
next-e5aa70b397bcf3debf7103e6
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2026-10-04 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2022-10-02

unknown · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • MDB50.3%
  • PV26.3%
  • PSD7.5%
  • PTB5.7%
  • PDT4.8%
  • PSDB4.3%
  • PSOL0.8%
  • DC0.3%
  • PCB0.1%
  • PSTU0.1%
Results for event-8cb86415c7d715013f4e90d2
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MDB · IBANEIS ROCHAbrazil/S5cd0a4c40e/2022832,63350.3%UnknownRecorded
PV · LEANDRO GRASSbrazil/S5cd0a4c40e/2022434,58726.3%UnknownRecorded
PSD · PAULO OCTÁVIO PObrazil/S5cd0a4c40e/2022123,7157.5%UnknownRecorded
PTB · CORONEL MORENObrazil/S5cd0a4c40e/202294,1005.7%UnknownRecorded
PDT · LEILA DO VÔLEIbrazil/S5cd0a4c40e/202279,5974.8%UnknownRecorded
PSDB · IZALCIbrazil/S5cd0a4c40e/202270,5844.3%UnknownRecorded
PSOL · KEKA BAGNObrazil/S5cd0a4c40e/202213,6130.8%UnknownRecorded
DC · LUCAS SALLESbrazil/S5cd0a4c40e/20224,2180.3%UnknownRecorded
PCB · TEODORO DA CRUZ TÉObrazil/S5cd0a4c40e/20221,1550.1%UnknownRecorded
PSTU · ROBSONbrazil/S5cd0a4c40e/20228410.1%UnknownRecorded

2018-10-28

unknown · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • MDB69.8%
  • PSB30.2%
Results for event-cff2a21debc440299f008274
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MDB · IBANEISbrazil/S0d7ac4a666/20181,042,57469.8%UnknownRecorded
PSB · RODRIGO ROLLEMBERGbrazil/S0d7ac4a666/2018451,32930.2%UnknownRecorded

2014-10-26

unknown · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • PSB55.6%
  • PR44.4%
Results for event-4d281731b653266a2daad4c1
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PSB · ROLLEMBERGbrazil/S2c70216745/2014812,03655.6%UnknownRecorded
PR · JOFRAN FREJATbrazil/S2c70216745/2014649,58744.4%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

0 (recorded zero)0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=24.050492947917366, oldest_gap=11.114288705090168, previous_gap=39.57720146488762

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Not calculated: comparable fixed party grouping unavailable

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=[], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Not calculated: comparable fixed party grouping unavailable

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=[], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Not calculated: comparable fixed party grouping unavailable

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=[], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[]

Source-reported control: Celina Leão (Progressistas); Secondary current-directory snapshot; primary incumbent/party verification pending; retrieved 12 Sep 2026. Secondary current-directory snapshot; primary incumbent/party verification pending

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

First round 4 October 2026; governor runoff 25 October where required. TSE ordinary-election returns aggregated once from state files, excluding the duplicate national BR file. Party votes are not governing coalition control. Legislative votes include nominal plus valid list votes. Judicial retotalizations and changed party labels require review. The 2014 file uses legacy nominal/list fields; later files separately identify valid, converted and subjudice votes. This is an explicit definition-comparability limitation. Roraima legal certification, Rio and other specific replacement/current-control cases remain open. Eight municipal replacement tickets are tracked; ordinary municipal renewals are outside the window. Public-vote baselines for Alagoas and Amazonas are supplied separately from their indirect selections. Roraima’s primary 2010 cycle is recovered; the June 2026 proclamation is still unresolved. Rio’s signed 2026 legislative retotalization verifies the imported 2022 votes and seats, with 70 named elected deputies added; later membership and governing-coalition control still need dated verification.

    Sources

    Cite this record

    Center for Digital Democracy. “Federal District — Governor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/BR-DF-G. Sources: brazil--url-580aebec6bb5c27e76b98bb4, brazil--url-ef95aa16df1e62f699a27949, brazil--url-653ade48bf64a7388c4b910b, brazil--S5cd0a4c40e, brazil--S0d7ac4a666, brazil--S2c70216745.