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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

Santa Cruz Y La Tuna — Rural communal commissioner

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Argentina · Santa Cruz Y La Tuna / Tucumán / Simoca · other · Rural communal commissionerAR-TU-V-SANTACRUZYLATUNA

Read the complete original research briefing

Election called for 9 May 2027 by decree 1688/14, amended 1718/14. Actual intervening replacements and current officeholders still require independent review.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
Santa Cruz Y La Tuna / Tucumán / Simoca
Next election
2027-05-09
Linked upcoming event
next-90b51fbada1c1f1bf3d8469d
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-05-09 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-06-11

unknown · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • ACCION REGIONAL59.2%
  • TUCUMAN PARA LA VICTORIA30.0%
  • FRENTE DE TODOS POR TUCUMAN6.8%
  • CAMBIEMOS1.8%
  • ACTIVAR FRENTE DE LA LEALTAD1.8%
  • FUERZA REPUBLICANA0.4%
Results for event-1d8f86107d98199dcb1beb57
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
ACCION REGIONAL3argentina/Sb2ac1b85efdb/202397759.2%UnknownRecorded
TUCUMAN PARA LA VICTORIA821argentina/Sb2ac1b85efdb/202349530%UnknownRecorded
FRENTE DE TODOS POR TUCUMAN830argentina/Sb2ac1b85efdb/20231136.8%UnknownRecorded
CAMBIEMOS85argentina/Sb2ac1b85efdb/2023301.8%UnknownRecorded
ACTIVAR FRENTE DE LA LEALTAD158argentina/Sb2ac1b85efdb/2023301.8%UnknownRecorded
FUERZA REPUBLICANA901argentina/Sb2ac1b85efdb/202360.4%UnknownRecorded

2019-06-09

unknown · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • COMUNIDAD EN ORGANIZACIÓN46.2%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE INTEGRACION FEDERAL41.6%
  • FRENTE JUSTICIALISTA POR TUCUMAN8.0%
  • JUNTOS PODEMOS2.0%
  • HACEMOS TUCUMAN1.3%
  • UNION Y PROGRESO SOCIAL0.4%
  • VAMOS TUCUMAN0.3%
  • COMPROMISO CIUDADANO INDEPENDIENTE0.2%
Results for event-7ad0920d664cf5bc5eb1b562
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
COMUNIDAD EN ORGANIZACIÓN58argentina/S3427bfd9c9c8/201975346.2%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO DE INTEGRACION FEDERAL88argentina/S3427bfd9c9c8/201967841.6%UnknownRecorded
FRENTE JUSTICIALISTA POR TUCUMAN811argentina/S3427bfd9c9c8/20191318%UnknownRecorded
JUNTOS PODEMOS326argentina/S3427bfd9c9c8/2019322%UnknownRecorded
HACEMOS TUCUMAN812argentina/S3427bfd9c9c8/2019221.3%UnknownRecorded
UNION Y PROGRESO SOCIAL446argentina/S3427bfd9c9c8/201960.4%UnknownRecorded
VAMOS TUCUMAN813argentina/S3427bfd9c9c8/201950.3%UnknownRecorded
COMPROMISO CIUDADANO INDEPENDIENTE450argentina/S3427bfd9c9c8/201930.2%UnknownRecorded

2015-08-23

unknown · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • ALIANZA FRENTE PARA LA VICTORIA52.6%
  • ACCION REGIONAL42.6%
  • FRENTE ACUERDO PARA EL BICENTENARIO3.8%
  • PARTIDO CRECER PARA LA VICTORIA0.6%
  • TUCUMAN PARA TODOS0.3%
Results for event-e2dd27e5b7de336258304cd1
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
ALIANZA FRENTE PARA LA VICTORIA482argentina/S6f624a13e60e/201582352.6%UnknownRecorded
ACCION REGIONAL3argentina/S6f624a13e60e/201566642.6%UnknownRecorded
FRENTE ACUERDO PARA EL BICENTENARIO490argentina/S6f624a13e60e/2015603.8%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CRECER PARA LA VICTORIA184argentina/S6f624a13e60e/2015100.6%UnknownRecorded
TUCUMAN PARA TODOS430argentina/S6f624a13e60e/201550.3%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

0.50–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=29.19442761962447, oldest_gap=10.038363171355499, previous_gap=4.601226993865026

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Nine exact standalone party-name categories in the archived returns; accents normalized. Provincial alliances and renamed coalitions remain Other. A category records its published name, not a verified legal succession or inferred allocation of alliance votes. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA","UNION CIVICA RADICAL","PARTIDO SOCIALISTA","PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA","COALICION CIVICA - AFIRMACION PARA UNA REPUBLICA IGUALITARIA","GEN","PARTIDO OBRERO","PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES SOCIALISTAS","MOVIMIENTO SOCIALISTA DE LOS TRABAJADORES","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Nine exact standalone party-name categories in the archived returns; accents normalized. Provincial alliances and renamed coalitions remain Other. A category records its published name, not a verified legal succession or inferred allocation of alliance votes. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA","UNION CIVICA RADICAL","PARTIDO SOCIALISTA","PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA","COALICION CIVICA - AFIRMACION PARA UNA REPUBLICA IGUALITARIA","GEN","PARTIDO OBRERO","PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES SOCIALISTAS","MOVIMIENTO SOCIALISTA DE LOS TRABAJADORES","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Nine exact standalone party-name categories in the archived returns; accents normalized. Provincial alliances and renamed coalitions remain Other. A category records its published name, not a verified legal succession or inferred allocation of alliance votes. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA","UNION CIVICA RADICAL","PARTIDO SOCIALISTA","PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA","COALICION CIVICA - AFIRMACION PARA UNA REPUBLICA IGUALITARIA","GEN","PARTIDO OBRERO","PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES SOCIALISTAS","MOVIMIENTO SOCIALISTA DE LOS TRABAJADORES","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,null,null]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Election called for 9 May 2027 by decree 1688/14, amended 1718/14. Actual intervening replacements and current officeholders still require independent review. Missing older local results in several provincial datasets, full seat proclamations, intervened/replacement contests and dated coalition control. Many municipalities vote separately from provincial election day. Final 2027 calls remain subject to official publication. Ten Catamarca 2023 local returns now have primary provisional counts; final certification and older cycles are still missing. DINE 2015 download has no Catamarca local records. Entre Ríos final national consultation warns that foreign-voter tables are excluded. Neuquén final-file links returned access-denied responses; several older links point to private or defunct hosts.

  • other · open

    2019 locality result empty: {"issue": "2019 locality result empty", "name": "Distrito Tala-Sarandí", "code": "0079C"}

  • other · open

    Earlier same-election publication superseded: {"id": "AR-TU-D-OESTE", "year": 2019, "issue": "Earlier same-election publication superseded", "selected_publication": "2019-07-02", "discarded_publications": ["2019-06-15"]}

  • other · open

    Archive navigation year differs from date printed in source: {"file": "ar_formosa_2017_archivo_542.pdf", "issue": "Archive navigation year differs from date printed in source", "navigation_year": 2017, "source_date": "2019-06-16"}

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “Santa Cruz Y La Tuna — Rural communal commissioner.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/AR-TU-V-SANTACRUZYLATUNA. Sources: argentina--url-696b4ce087b3f2ed1b343a8d, argentina--url-64475acf6ca6e4cc85e8b5bd, argentina--url-8bcf7db4d5bf9b962c6d877f, argentina--url-7f54e823ce32269892d0b9db, argentina--Sb2ac1b85efdb, argentina--S8b1ec840b165, argentina--S3427bfd9c9c8, argentina--S6f624a13e60e, argentina--S1c0bc9d4f91e.