Office briefing
Monte Bello — Rural communal commissioner
Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.
Argentina · Monte Bello / Tucumán / Rio Chico · other · Rural communal commissionerAR-TU-V-MONTEBELLO
Read the complete original research briefing
Election called for 9 May 2027 by decree 1688/14, amended 1718/14. Actual intervening replacements and current officeholders still require independent review.
1. What office, where, and when is the next election?
- Geography
- Monte Bello / Tucumán / Rio Chico
- Next election
- 2027-05-09
- Linked upcoming event
- next-5b4259f731df1eebcaac3f7f
- Registry qualification
- Unknown
2. How certain is that date?
2027-05-09 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.
3. Who won earlier selected elections?
2023-06-11
unknown · Legal certification not established · unknown
- FRENTE DE TODOS POR TUCUMAN64.2%
- TUCUMAN PARA LA VICTORIA34.6%
- PARTIDO CAMBIA TUCUMAN CT1.2%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FRENTE DE TODOS POR TUCUMAN | 830argentina/S6bed1d8ddf5a/2023 | 494 | 64.2% | Unknown | Recorded |
| TUCUMAN PARA LA VICTORIA | 821argentina/S6bed1d8ddf5a/2023 | 266 | 34.6% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO CAMBIA TUCUMAN CT | 966argentina/S6bed1d8ddf5a/2023 | 9 | 1.2% | Unknown | Recorded |
2019-06-09
unknown · Legal certification not established · unknown
- FRENTE JUSTICIALISTA POR TUCUMAN84.1%
- PARTIDO VERDE ECOLOGICO(EX LA LINEA)9.2%
- HACEMOS TUCUMAN6.3%
- PARTIDO POR LA JUSTICIA SOCIAL0.3%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FRENTE JUSTICIALISTA POR TUCUMAN | 811argentina/S18876954b83e/2019 | 530 | 84.1% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO VERDE ECOLOGICO(EX LA LINEA) | 185argentina/S18876954b83e/2019 | 58 | 9.2% | Unknown | Recorded |
| HACEMOS TUCUMAN | 812argentina/S18876954b83e/2019 | 40 | 6.3% | Unknown | Recorded |
| PARTIDO POR LA JUSTICIA SOCIAL | 808argentina/S18876954b83e/2019 | 2 | 0.3% | Unknown | Recorded |
2015-08-23
unknown · Legal certification not established · unknown
- ALIANZA FRENTE PARA LA VICTORIA87.8%
- FRENTE ACUERDO PARA EL BICENTENARIO6.2%
- TUCUMAN PARA TODOS6.0%
| Label / candidate | Party code | Votes | Share | Seats | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALIANZA FRENTE PARA LA VICTORIA | 482argentina/Sdd54afc5b3f4/2015 | 540 | 87.8% | Unknown | Recorded |
| FRENTE ACUERDO PARA EL BICENTENARIO | 490argentina/Sdd54afc5b3f4/2015 | 38 | 6.2% | Unknown | Recorded |
| TUCUMAN PARA TODOS | 430argentina/Sdd54afc5b3f4/2015 | 37 | 6% | Unknown | Recorded |
4. Competition and volatility
competition index
Provisional imported-series CI0 (recorded zero)0–100 historical closeness
Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open
Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=29.648894668400516, oldest_gap=81.62601626016261, previous_gap=74.92063492063492
pedersen volatility
Withheld volatilityUnknownpercentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Nine exact standalone party-name categories in the archived returns; accents normalized. Provincial alliances and renamed coalitions remain Other. A category records its published name, not a verified legal succession or inferred allocation of alliance votes. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA","UNION CIVICA RADICAL","PARTIDO SOCIALISTA","PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA","COALICION CIVICA - AFIRMACION PARA UNA REPUBLICA IGUALITARIA","GEN","PARTIDO OBRERO","PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES SOCIALISTAS","MOVIMIENTO SOCIALISTA DE LOS TRABAJADORES","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,null,null]
pedersen volatility
Withheld volatilityUnknownpercentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Nine exact standalone party-name categories in the archived returns; accents normalized. Provincial alliances and renamed coalitions remain Other. A category records its published name, not a verified legal succession or inferred allocation of alliance votes. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA","UNION CIVICA RADICAL","PARTIDO SOCIALISTA","PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA","COALICION CIVICA - AFIRMACION PARA UNA REPUBLICA IGUALITARIA","GEN","PARTIDO OBRERO","PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES SOCIALISTAS","MOVIMIENTO SOCIALISTA DE LOS TRABAJADORES","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,null,null]
pedersen volatility
Withheld volatilityUnknownpercentage points
Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Nine exact standalone party-name categories in the archived returns; accents normalized. Provincial alliances and renamed coalitions remain Other. A category records its published name, not a verified legal succession or inferred allocation of alliance votes. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete
Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval
Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA","UNION CIVICA RADICAL","PARTIDO SOCIALISTA","PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA","COALICION CIVICA - AFIRMACION PARA UNA REPUBLICA IGUALITARIA","GEN","PARTIDO OBRERO","PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES SOCIALISTAS","MOVIMIENTO SOCIALISTA DE LOS TRABAJADORES","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,null,null]
Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.
5. Officeholder evidence
Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.
No officeholder observation supplied.
6. Polling context
No local poll supplied.
National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.
7. Unresolved issues and sources
Election called for 9 May 2027 by decree 1688/14, amended 1718/14. Actual intervening replacements and current officeholders still require independent review. Missing older local results in several provincial datasets, full seat proclamations, intervened/replacement contests and dated coalition control. Many municipalities vote separately from provincial election day. Final 2027 calls remain subject to official publication. Ten Catamarca 2023 local returns now have primary provisional counts; final certification and older cycles are still missing. DINE 2015 download has no Catamarca local records. Entre Ríos final national consultation warns that foreign-voter tables are excluded. Neuquén final-file links returned access-denied responses; several older links point to private or defunct hosts.
other · open
2019 locality result empty: {"issue": "2019 locality result empty", "name": "Distrito Tala-Sarandí", "code": "0079C"}
other · open
Earlier same-election publication superseded: {"id": "AR-TU-D-OESTE", "year": 2019, "issue": "Earlier same-election publication superseded", "selected_publication": "2019-07-02", "discarded_publications": ["2019-06-15"]}
other · open
Archive navigation year differs from date printed in source: {"file": "ar_formosa_2017_archivo_542.pdf", "issue": "Archive navigation year differs from date printed in source", "navigation_year": 2017, "source_date": "2019-06-16"}
Sources
- Argentina: https://electoraltucuman.gob.ar/wp-content/uploads/OESTE-RIO-CHICO-Resultados-Generales.pdf · rights unknown
- Argentina: https://www.justucuman.gov.ar/storage/adjuntos/archivos/posts/687/1562062668.pdf · rights unknown
- Argentina: https://www.electoraltucuman.gob.ar/images/Resultados2015/sec_oeste-rio_chico-c_monte_bello-comis_comunal.pdf · rights unknown
- Argentina: https://electoraltucuman.gob.ar/wp-content/uploads/2027_DCTO_CONV_1688_14_MGYJ.pdf · rights unknown
- Argentina: Junta Electoral Tucumán official return: ar_tuc_2023_OESTE-RIO-CHICO-Resultados-Generales.pdf · rights unknown
- Argentina: Junta Electoral Tucumán official return: ar_tuc_2023_resolucion_338_validez_elecciones_2023.pdf · rights unknown
- Argentina: Junta Electoral Tucumán official return: ar_tuc2019_jud_1562062668.pdf · rights unknown
- Argentina: Junta Electoral Tucumán official return: ar_tuc_2015_sec_oeste-rio_chico-c_monte_bello-comis_comunal.pdf · rights unknown
- Argentina: Junta Electoral Tucumán official return: ar_tuc2015_final_report.pdf · rights unknown
Cite this record
Center for Digital Democracy. “Monte Bello — Rural communal commissioner.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/AR-TU-V-MONTEBELLO. Sources: argentina--url-71a44ee475a6c9e45ee84ad5, argentina--url-df6ee75f9d064743e85ea2e7, argentina--url-8819c6785cd6d110d9556e6b, argentina--url-7f54e823ce32269892d0b9db, argentina--S6bed1d8ddf5a, argentina--S8b1ec840b165, argentina--S18876954b83e, argentina--Sdd54afc5b3f4, argentina--S1c0bc9d4f91e.