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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

Los Nogales — Rural communal commissioner

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Argentina · Los Nogales / Tucumán / Tafi Viejo · other · Rural communal commissionerAR-TU-V-LOSNOGALES

Read the complete original research briefing

Election called for 9 May 2027 by decree 1688/14, amended 1718/14. Actual intervening replacements and current officeholders still require independent review.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
Los Nogales / Tucumán / Tafi Viejo
Next election
2027-05-09
Linked upcoming event
next-4f2bc7e4dae4bc3fcd1697dc
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-05-09 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-06-11

unknown · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • ACCION REGIONAL33.0%
  • 7 DE MAYO18.6%
  • FRENTE DE TODOS POR TUCUMAN15.4%
  • PARTIDO ACUERDO FEDERAL14.4%
  • PARTIDO CAMBIA TUCUMAN CT3.3%
  • TUCUMAN PARA LA VICTORIA3.1%
  • FUERZA REPUBLICANA1.9%
  • MOVIMIENTO POPULAR Y FEDERAL1.8%
  • CIUDADANOS CONTRA LA CORRUPCION1.8%
  • PARTIDO DEL TRABAJO Y LA EQUIDAD1.5%
  • TUCUMAN INNOVADOR1.3%
  • PROYECTO TUCUMAN1.2%
  • CAMBIEMOS1.0%
  • MOVIMIENTO ERGISTO0.9%
  • MOVIMIENTO LIBRES DEL SUR0.8%
Results for event-9bd0c3dd684bbf5ffbece8f0
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
ACCION REGIONAL3argentina/Sfb7ac44461f4/20231,22433%UnknownRecorded
7 DE MAYO217argentina/Sfb7ac44461f4/202369018.6%UnknownRecorded
FRENTE DE TODOS POR TUCUMAN830argentina/Sfb7ac44461f4/202357015.4%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO ACUERDO FEDERAL448argentina/Sfb7ac44461f4/202353214.4%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CAMBIA TUCUMAN CT966argentina/Sfb7ac44461f4/20231233.3%UnknownRecorded
TUCUMAN PARA LA VICTORIA821argentina/Sfb7ac44461f4/20231163.1%UnknownRecorded
FUERZA REPUBLICANA901argentina/Sfb7ac44461f4/2023691.9%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO POPULAR Y FEDERAL95argentina/Sfb7ac44461f4/2023671.8%UnknownRecorded
CIUDADANOS CONTRA LA CORRUPCION255argentina/Sfb7ac44461f4/2023651.8%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO DEL TRABAJO Y LA EQUIDAD494argentina/Sfb7ac44461f4/2023551.5%UnknownRecorded
TUCUMAN INNOVADOR493argentina/Sfb7ac44461f4/2023491.3%UnknownRecorded
PROYECTO TUCUMAN825argentina/Sfb7ac44461f4/2023431.2%UnknownRecorded
CAMBIEMOS85argentina/Sfb7ac44461f4/2023361%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO ERGISTO277argentina/Sfb7ac44461f4/2023340.9%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO LIBRES DEL SUR929argentina/Sfb7ac44461f4/2023310.8%UnknownRecorded

2019-06-09

unknown · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • ACCION REGIONAL34.4%
  • FRENTE JUSTICIALISTA POR TUCUMAN19.3%
  • TUCUMAN INNOVADOR14.9%
  • HACEMOS TUCUMAN7.2%
  • VAMOS TUCUMAN5.9%
  • FUERZA REPUBLICANA3.2%
  • TERCER MILENIO3.0%
  • EVOLUCION PARA LA DEMOCRACIA SOCIAL2.9%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE AFIRMACION POPULAR (M.A.P)2.0%
  • PARTIDO POR LA JUSTICIA SOCIAL1.6%
  • PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES1.5%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD POPULAR (M.U.P.)1.1%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE INTEGRACION FEDERAL0.9%
  • CORRIENTE POPULAR0.9%
  • PARTIDO DEL TRABAJO Y LA EQUIDAD0.6%
  • COMUNIDAD EN ORGANIZACIÓN0.6%
Results for event-9db8ab710e59505181d57bdb
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
ACCION REGIONAL3argentina/S7b845471e0f9/20191,13434.4%UnknownRecorded
FRENTE JUSTICIALISTA POR TUCUMAN811argentina/S7b845471e0f9/201963519.3%UnknownRecorded
TUCUMAN INNOVADOR493argentina/S7b845471e0f9/201949014.9%UnknownRecorded
HACEMOS TUCUMAN812argentina/S7b845471e0f9/20192387.2%UnknownRecorded
VAMOS TUCUMAN813argentina/S7b845471e0f9/20191965.9%UnknownRecorded
FUERZA REPUBLICANA901argentina/S7b845471e0f9/20191063.2%UnknownRecorded
TERCER MILENIO98argentina/S7b845471e0f9/2019983%UnknownRecorded
EVOLUCION PARA LA DEMOCRACIA SOCIAL817argentina/S7b845471e0f9/2019942.9%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO DE AFIRMACION POPULAR (M.A.P)112argentina/S7b845471e0f9/2019652%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO POR LA JUSTICIA SOCIAL808argentina/S7b845471e0f9/2019521.6%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES4argentina/S7b845471e0f9/2019491.5%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD POPULAR (M.U.P.)660argentina/S7b845471e0f9/2019371.1%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO DE INTEGRACION FEDERAL88argentina/S7b845471e0f9/2019310.9%UnknownRecorded
CORRIENTE POPULAR149argentina/S7b845471e0f9/2019300.9%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO DEL TRABAJO Y LA EQUIDAD494argentina/S7b845471e0f9/2019210.6%UnknownRecorded
COMUNIDAD EN ORGANIZACIÓN58argentina/S7b845471e0f9/2019190.6%UnknownRecorded

2015-08-23

unknown · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • ACCION REGIONAL27.4%
  • ALIANZA FRENTE PARA LA VICTORIA20.5%
  • MOVIMIENTO POPULAR Y FEDERAL14.2%
  • PARTIDO DE LA JUSTICIA Y LA VICTORIA8.6%
  • MOVIMIENTO POPULAR DE LA MILITANCIA5.8%
  • ENCUENTRO POR LA RENOVACION (EX TODOS POR TUC)5.5%
  • CORRIENTE POPULAR3.2%
  • PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES2.7%
  • TUCUMAN PARA TODOS2.7%
  • JUNTOS PODEMOS2.2%
  • PODEMOS2.1%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE INCLUSION Y ORGANIZACION (MIO)2.0%
  • FRENTE ACUERDO PARA EL BICENTENARIO1.5%
  • PARTIDO PROPUESTA POPULAR1.2%
  • TUCUMAN INNOVADOR0.3%
Results for event-cdbc24c0d24daa1747c1848a
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
ACCION REGIONAL3argentina/Seb1d337145db/201587027.4%UnknownRecorded
ALIANZA FRENTE PARA LA VICTORIA482argentina/Seb1d337145db/201564920.5%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO POPULAR Y FEDERAL95argentina/Seb1d337145db/201545014.2%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO DE LA JUSTICIA Y LA VICTORIA110argentina/Seb1d337145db/20152728.6%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO POPULAR DE LA MILITANCIA391argentina/Seb1d337145db/20151855.8%UnknownRecorded
ENCUENTRO POR LA RENOVACION (EX TODOS POR TUC)268argentina/Seb1d337145db/20151765.5%UnknownRecorded
CORRIENTE POPULAR149argentina/Seb1d337145db/20151033.2%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES4argentina/Seb1d337145db/2015862.7%UnknownRecorded
TUCUMAN PARA TODOS430argentina/Seb1d337145db/2015852.7%UnknownRecorded
JUNTOS PODEMOS326argentina/Seb1d337145db/2015712.2%UnknownRecorded
PODEMOS507argentina/Seb1d337145db/2015682.1%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO DE INCLUSION Y ORGANIZACION (MIO)239argentina/Seb1d337145db/2015622%UnknownRecorded
FRENTE ACUERDO PARA EL BICENTENARIO490argentina/Seb1d337145db/2015491.5%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO PROPUESTA POPULAR995argentina/Seb1d337145db/2015381.2%UnknownRecorded
TUCUMAN INNOVADOR493argentina/Seb1d337145db/201580.3%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

30.550–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=14.416846652267818, oldest_gap=6.967213114754099, previous_gap=15.144157814871015

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Nine exact standalone party-name categories in the archived returns; accents normalized. Provincial alliances and renamed coalitions remain Other. A category records its published name, not a verified legal succession or inferred allocation of alliance votes. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA","UNION CIVICA RADICAL","PARTIDO SOCIALISTA","PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA","COALICION CIVICA - AFIRMACION PARA UNA REPUBLICA IGUALITARIA","GEN","PARTIDO OBRERO","PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES SOCIALISTAS","MOVIMIENTO SOCIALISTA DE LOS TRABAJADORES","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Nine exact standalone party-name categories in the archived returns; accents normalized. Provincial alliances and renamed coalitions remain Other. A category records its published name, not a verified legal succession or inferred allocation of alliance votes. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA","UNION CIVICA RADICAL","PARTIDO SOCIALISTA","PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA","COALICION CIVICA - AFIRMACION PARA UNA REPUBLICA IGUALITARIA","GEN","PARTIDO OBRERO","PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES SOCIALISTAS","MOVIMIENTO SOCIALISTA DE LOS TRABAJADORES","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Nine exact standalone party-name categories in the archived returns; accents normalized. Provincial alliances and renamed coalitions remain Other. A category records its published name, not a verified legal succession or inferred allocation of alliance votes. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA","UNION CIVICA RADICAL","PARTIDO SOCIALISTA","PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA","COALICION CIVICA - AFIRMACION PARA UNA REPUBLICA IGUALITARIA","GEN","PARTIDO OBRERO","PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES SOCIALISTAS","MOVIMIENTO SOCIALISTA DE LOS TRABAJADORES","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,null,null]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Election called for 9 May 2027 by decree 1688/14, amended 1718/14. Actual intervening replacements and current officeholders still require independent review. Missing older local results in several provincial datasets, full seat proclamations, intervened/replacement contests and dated coalition control. Many municipalities vote separately from provincial election day. Final 2027 calls remain subject to official publication. Ten Catamarca 2023 local returns now have primary provisional counts; final certification and older cycles are still missing. DINE 2015 download has no Catamarca local records. Entre Ríos final national consultation warns that foreign-voter tables are excluded. Neuquén final-file links returned access-denied responses; several older links point to private or defunct hosts.

  • other · open

    2019 locality result empty: {"issue": "2019 locality result empty", "name": "Distrito Tala-Sarandí", "code": "0079C"}

  • other · open

    Earlier same-election publication superseded: {"id": "AR-TU-D-OESTE", "year": 2019, "issue": "Earlier same-election publication superseded", "selected_publication": "2019-07-02", "discarded_publications": ["2019-06-15"]}

  • other · open

    Archive navigation year differs from date printed in source: {"file": "ar_formosa_2017_archivo_542.pdf", "issue": "Archive navigation year differs from date printed in source", "navigation_year": 2017, "source_date": "2019-06-16"}

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “Los Nogales — Rural communal commissioner.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/AR-TU-V-LOSNOGALES. Sources: argentina--url-88d305447ed83bec77fa27d4, argentina--url-9e83243e05d5425027ef909f, argentina--url-0ce6dd594abeb9d30840117f, argentina--url-7f54e823ce32269892d0b9db, argentina--Sfb7ac44461f4, argentina--S8b1ec840b165, argentina--S7b845471e0f9, argentina--Seb1d337145db, argentina--S1c0bc9d4f91e.