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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

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La Esperanza — Rural communal commissioner

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La Esperanza — Rural communal commissioner
Latin America register

Argentina · Tucumán / Tafi Viejo

La Esperanza — Rural communal commissioner

All 24 provincial jurisdictions are screened; 3,440 current provincial/local or shared-ballot units are registered. Recovered archives now cover all provinces. All 804 previously inaccessible Córdoba tribunal tables are restored, adding local histories and replacing provincial secondary vote transcriptions. Several local tiers have inventories or winner-only evidence without three full returns. Corrientes and Santiago del Estero executive cycles outside the window are excluded. Partial chamber renewals, Santa Fe commune reform, conventions and replacements remain distinct. Older local votes, selected certificates and 2027 office calls remain incomplete. Ten 2023 Catamarca local returns are recovered from DINE provisional table data through exact single-municipality department bridges; they remain excluded from complete-cycle metrics pending final-tally reconciliation.

Election expectation2027-05-09
Imported event records3
Usable vote comparison cycles3 of 3
Seat comparison cycles0 of 3

Historical competition

Competitiveness index for a verified actual-event sequence withheld. Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete.

Provisional imported-series CI: 0.0/100. This uses the three displayed comparison cycles and retains the open event/boundary audit. It does not confirm the latest three actual completed elections.

Current government and control: Unverified. Local government-risk forecast: unassessed.

National polling context: National presidential approval; context for subnational races — AtlasIntel / Bloomberg; fieldwork 2026-07-30 to 2026-08-03. Sample 1,120; reported margin of error ±3.00 percentage points. Earlier comparison wave; named officeholder and question wording retained. Poll report

National polling context: National presidential approval; context for subnational races — AtlasIntel / Bloomberg; fieldwork 2026-08-30 to 2026-09-03. Sample 2,193; reported margin of error ±2.00 percentage points. Approval rose 1.0 percentage point while disapproval fell 4.4 points; approval movement is smaller than the combined reported survey uncertainty. The negative approval balance remains a national headwind for Milei-aligned candidates, conditional on local alliance and incumbent identity. Poll report

Election called for 9 May 2027 by decree 1688/14, amended 1718/14. Actual intervening replacements and current officeholders still require independent review.

Registry and evidence links: Source 1, Source 2, Source 3, Source 4

Electoral event evidence

Separate source records can belong to the same election cycle. Recounts, runoffs and void returns do not create additional cycles.

2023-06-11 · Election record

Coverage: Complete official final vote vector with final-closure evidence

Basis: Exact affirmative votes. Source percentages use all ballots including blank/null; those percentages are preserved separately, and comparison shares are recomputed from affirmative votes.

Party or listCandidateVotes or marksVote shareSeats
FRENTE DE TODOS POR TUCUMAN47258.34%—
PROYECTO TUCUMAN17922.13%—
CAMBIEMOS718.78%—
JUNTOS PODEMOS293.58%—
TUCUMAN PARA LA VICTORIA273.34%—
ACCION REGIONAL212.60%—
FUERZA REPUBLICANA70.87%—
CORRIENTE POPULAR30.37%—

Result source · PDF pages 9

2019-06-09 · Election record

Coverage: Complete official final vote vector with final-closure evidence

Basis: Exact affirmative votes. Source percentages use all ballots including blank/null; those percentages are preserved separately, and comparison shares are recomputed from affirmative votes.

Party or listCandidateVotes or marksVote shareSeats
FRENTE JUSTICIALISTA POR TUCUMAN22234.15%—
JUNTOS PODEMOS18628.62%—
ACCION REGIONAL8713.38%—
JUNTOS Y ORGANIZADOS PARA LA VICTORIA7311.23%—
PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES294.46%—
HACEMOS TUCUMAN243.69%—
PARTIDO PROYECTO POPULAR132.00%—
TUCUMAN INNOVADOR132.00%—
MOVIMIENTO DE INTEGRACION FEDERAL30.46%—

Result source · PDF pages 1

2015-08-23 · Election record

Coverage: Complete official final vote vector with final-closure evidence

Basis: Exact affirmative votes. Source percentages use all ballots including blank/null; those percentages are preserved separately, and comparison shares are recomputed from affirmative votes.

Party or listCandidateVotes or marksVote shareSeats
ALIANZA FRENTE PARA LA VICTORIA24047.34%—
ACCION REGIONAL20340.04%—
PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES346.71%—
COMUNIDAD EN ORGANIZACIÓN173.35%—
FRENTE ACUERDO PARA EL BICENTENARIO50.99%—
TUCUMAN INNOVADOR50.99%—
MOVIMIENTO POPULAR Y FEDERAL20.39%—
CORRIENTE POPULAR10.20%—
KOLINA00.00%—

Result source · PDF pages 1

Snapshot 13 September 2026. Fixed election window 8 September 2026 to 8 March 2028. Record AR-TU-V-LAESPERANZA.