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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

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Gastona Y Belicha — Rural communal commissioner

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Gastona Y Belicha — Rural communal commissioner
Latin America register

Argentina · Tucumán / Chicligasta

Gastona Y Belicha — Rural communal commissioner

All 24 provincial jurisdictions are screened; 3,440 current provincial/local or shared-ballot units are registered. Recovered archives now cover all provinces. All 804 previously inaccessible Córdoba tribunal tables are restored, adding local histories and replacing provincial secondary vote transcriptions. Several local tiers have inventories or winner-only evidence without three full returns. Corrientes and Santiago del Estero executive cycles outside the window are excluded. Partial chamber renewals, Santa Fe commune reform, conventions and replacements remain distinct. Older local votes, selected certificates and 2027 office calls remain incomplete. Ten 2023 Catamarca local returns are recovered from DINE provisional table data through exact single-municipality department bridges; they remain excluded from complete-cycle metrics pending final-tally reconciliation.

Election expectation2027-05-09
Imported event records3
Usable vote comparison cycles3 of 3
Seat comparison cycles0 of 3

Historical competition

Competitiveness index for a verified actual-event sequence withheld. Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete.

Provisional imported-series CI: 50.8/100. This uses the three displayed comparison cycles and retains the open event/boundary audit. It does not confirm the latest three actual completed elections.

Current government and control: Unverified. Local government-risk forecast: unassessed.

National polling context: National presidential approval; context for subnational races — AtlasIntel / Bloomberg; fieldwork 2026-07-30 to 2026-08-03. Sample 1,120; reported margin of error ±3.00 percentage points. Earlier comparison wave; named officeholder and question wording retained. Poll report

National polling context: National presidential approval; context for subnational races — AtlasIntel / Bloomberg; fieldwork 2026-08-30 to 2026-09-03. Sample 2,193; reported margin of error ±2.00 percentage points. Approval rose 1.0 percentage point while disapproval fell 4.4 points; approval movement is smaller than the combined reported survey uncertainty. The negative approval balance remains a national headwind for Milei-aligned candidates, conditional on local alliance and incumbent identity. Poll report

Election called for 9 May 2027 by decree 1688/14, amended 1718/14. Actual intervening replacements and current officeholders still require independent review.

Registry and evidence links: Source 1, Source 2, Source 3, Source 4

Electoral event evidence

Separate source records can belong to the same election cycle. Recounts, runoffs and void returns do not create additional cycles.

2023-06-11 · Election record

Coverage: Complete official final vote vector with final-closure evidence

Basis: Exact affirmative votes. Source percentages use all ballots including blank/null; those percentages are preserved separately, and comparison shares are recomputed from affirmative votes.

Party or listCandidateVotes or marksVote shareSeats
FRENTE DE TODOS POR TUCUMAN84633.07%—
PARTIDO CAMBIA TUCUMAN CT46818.30%—
TUCUMAN PARA LA VICTORIA44317.32%—
PARTIDO ACUERDO FEDERAL26610.40%—
MOVIMIENTO ERGISTO2308.99%—
CORRIENTE POPULAR2258.80%—
TUCUMAN INNOVADOR602.35%—
ACCION REGIONAL200.78%—

Result source · PDF pages 7

2019-06-09 · Election record

Coverage: Complete official final vote vector with final-closure evidence

Basis: Exact affirmative votes. Source percentages use all ballots including blank/null; those percentages are preserved separately, and comparison shares are recomputed from affirmative votes.

Party or listCandidateVotes or marksVote shareSeats
PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES92340.17%—
FRENTE JUSTICIALISTA POR TUCUMAN85537.21%—
TUCUMAN INNOVADOR42818.62%—
PARTIDO PROYECTO POPULAR411.78%—
HACEMOS TUCUMAN271.17%—
VAMOS TUCUMAN241.04%—

Result source · PDF pages 1

2015-08-23 · Election record

Coverage: Complete official final vote vector with final-closure evidence

Basis: Exact affirmative votes. Source percentages use all ballots including blank/null; those percentages are preserved separately, and comparison shares are recomputed from affirmative votes.

Party or listCandidateVotes or marksVote shareSeats
PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES73934.79%—
ALIANZA FRENTE PARA LA VICTORIA71933.85%—
PARTIDO DE LA JUSTICIA Y LA VICTORIA50223.63%—
TUCUMAN INNOVADOR843.95%—
ACCION REGIONAL311.46%—
FRENTE ACUERDO PARA EL BICENTENARIO251.18%—
ALIANZA FRENTE PROVINCIAL231.08%—
TUCUMAN PARA TODOS10.05%—
MOVIMIENTO POPULAR Y FEDERAL00.00%—

Result source · PDF pages 1

Snapshot 13 September 2026. Fixed election window 8 September 2026 to 8 March 2028. Record AR-TU-V-GASTONAYBELICHA.