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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

Estacion Araoz Y Tacanas — Rural communal commissioner

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Argentina · Estacion Araoz Y Tacanas / Tucumán / Leales · other · Rural communal commissionerAR-TU-V-ESTACIONARAOZYTACANAS

Read the complete original research briefing

Election called for 9 May 2027 by decree 1688/14, amended 1718/14. Actual intervening replacements and current officeholders still require independent review.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
Estacion Araoz Y Tacanas / Tucumán / Leales
Next election
2027-05-09
Linked upcoming event
next-3f816669d08bbc18d9bda179
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-05-09 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-06-11

unknown · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • PARTIDO ACUERDO FEDERAL37.4%
  • FRENTE DE TODOS POR TUCUMAN33.9%
  • TUCUMAN PARA LA VICTORIA27.8%
  • FUERZA REPUBLICANA0.6%
  • PARTIDO POR LA JUSTICIA SOCIAL0.3%
  • ACTIVAR FRENTE DE LA LEALTAD0.0%
Results for event-2c1ab03d580256f971bc13d6
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PARTIDO ACUERDO FEDERAL448argentina/Saf8d4bd972ce/20231,18537.4%UnknownRecorded
FRENTE DE TODOS POR TUCUMAN830argentina/Saf8d4bd972ce/20231,07533.9%UnknownRecorded
TUCUMAN PARA LA VICTORIA821argentina/Saf8d4bd972ce/202388127.8%UnknownRecorded
FUERZA REPUBLICANA901argentina/Saf8d4bd972ce/2023180.6%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO POR LA JUSTICIA SOCIAL808argentina/Saf8d4bd972ce/2023110.3%UnknownRecorded
ACTIVAR FRENTE DE LA LEALTAD158argentina/Saf8d4bd972ce/202310%UnknownRecorded

2019-06-09

unknown · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • JUNTOS Y ORGANIZADOS PARA LA VICTORIA32.3%
  • COMUNIDAD EN ORGANIZACIÓN31.3%
  • FRENTE JUSTICIALISTA POR TUCUMAN30.7%
  • HACEMOS TUCUMAN1.3%
  • JUNTOS PODEMOS1.1%
  • FUERZA REPUBLICANA1.0%
  • UNION Y PROGRESO SOCIAL0.8%
  • VAMOS TUCUMAN0.7%
  • ACCION REGIONAL0.5%
  • COMPROMISO CIUDADANO INDEPENDIENTE0.2%
  • PARTIDO ACUERDO FEDERAL0.1%
Results for event-9796515484835fe28f6dd2a3
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
JUNTOS Y ORGANIZADOS PARA LA VICTORIA449argentina/S0849b7c8a2d6/201990332.3%UnknownRecorded
COMUNIDAD EN ORGANIZACIÓN58argentina/S0849b7c8a2d6/201987431.3%UnknownRecorded
FRENTE JUSTICIALISTA POR TUCUMAN811argentina/S0849b7c8a2d6/201985930.7%UnknownRecorded
HACEMOS TUCUMAN812argentina/S0849b7c8a2d6/2019351.3%UnknownRecorded
JUNTOS PODEMOS326argentina/S0849b7c8a2d6/2019301.1%UnknownRecorded
FUERZA REPUBLICANA901argentina/S0849b7c8a2d6/2019281%UnknownRecorded
UNION Y PROGRESO SOCIAL446argentina/S0849b7c8a2d6/2019230.8%UnknownRecorded
VAMOS TUCUMAN813argentina/S0849b7c8a2d6/2019200.7%UnknownRecorded
ACCION REGIONAL3argentina/S0849b7c8a2d6/2019150.5%UnknownRecorded
COMPROMISO CIUDADANO INDEPENDIENTE450argentina/S0849b7c8a2d6/201950.2%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO ACUERDO FEDERAL448argentina/S0849b7c8a2d6/201920.1%UnknownRecorded

2015-08-23

unknown · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • ACCION REGIONAL40.6%
  • ALIANZA FRENTE PARA LA VICTORIA38.2%
  • COMUNIDAD EN ORGANIZACIÓN15.8%
  • TUCUMAN PARA TODOS1.6%
  • PARTIDO ACUERDO FEDERAL1.5%
  • PODEMOS0.9%
  • TUCUMAN INNOVADOR0.4%
  • FRENTE DE IZQUIERDA Y DE LOS TRABAJADORES0.3%
  • PROPUESTA CIUDADANA0.3%
  • PARTIDO CRECER PARA LA VICTORIA0.2%
  • FRENTE ACUERDO PARA EL BICENTENARIO0.2%
Results for event-bf0b0326304db00c188d52b6
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
ACCION REGIONAL3argentina/Sdfdb5667d167/20151,00340.6%UnknownRecorded
ALIANZA FRENTE PARA LA VICTORIA482argentina/Sdfdb5667d167/201594338.2%UnknownRecorded
COMUNIDAD EN ORGANIZACIÓN58argentina/Sdfdb5667d167/201539115.8%UnknownRecorded
TUCUMAN PARA TODOS430argentina/Sdfdb5667d167/2015391.6%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO ACUERDO FEDERAL448argentina/Sdfdb5667d167/2015371.5%UnknownRecorded
PODEMOS507argentina/Sdfdb5667d167/2015230.9%UnknownRecorded
TUCUMAN INNOVADOR493argentina/Sdfdb5667d167/201590.4%UnknownRecorded
FRENTE DE IZQUIERDA Y DE LOS TRABAJADORES496argentina/Sdfdb5667d167/201580.3%UnknownRecorded
PROPUESTA CIUDADANA969argentina/Sdfdb5667d167/201580.3%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CRECER PARA LA VICTORIA184argentina/Sdfdb5667d167/201550.2%UnknownRecorded
FRENTE ACUERDO PARA EL BICENTENARIO490argentina/Sdfdb5667d167/201540.2%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

86.820–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=3.468937243771677, oldest_gap=2.429149797570851, previous_gap=1.037938439513244

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Nine exact standalone party-name categories in the archived returns; accents normalized. Provincial alliances and renamed coalitions remain Other. A category records its published name, not a verified legal succession or inferred allocation of alliance votes. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA","UNION CIVICA RADICAL","PARTIDO SOCIALISTA","PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA","COALICION CIVICA - AFIRMACION PARA UNA REPUBLICA IGUALITARIA","GEN","PARTIDO OBRERO","PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES SOCIALISTAS","MOVIMIENTO SOCIALISTA DE LOS TRABAJADORES","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Nine exact standalone party-name categories in the archived returns; accents normalized. Provincial alliances and renamed coalitions remain Other. A category records its published name, not a verified legal succession or inferred allocation of alliance votes. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA","UNION CIVICA RADICAL","PARTIDO SOCIALISTA","PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA","COALICION CIVICA - AFIRMACION PARA UNA REPUBLICA IGUALITARIA","GEN","PARTIDO OBRERO","PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES SOCIALISTAS","MOVIMIENTO SOCIALISTA DE LOS TRABAJADORES","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Nine exact standalone party-name categories in the archived returns; accents normalized. Provincial alliances and renamed coalitions remain Other. A category records its published name, not a verified legal succession or inferred allocation of alliance votes. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA","UNION CIVICA RADICAL","PARTIDO SOCIALISTA","PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA","COALICION CIVICA - AFIRMACION PARA UNA REPUBLICA IGUALITARIA","GEN","PARTIDO OBRERO","PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES SOCIALISTAS","MOVIMIENTO SOCIALISTA DE LOS TRABAJADORES","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,null,null]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Election called for 9 May 2027 by decree 1688/14, amended 1718/14. Actual intervening replacements and current officeholders still require independent review. Missing older local results in several provincial datasets, full seat proclamations, intervened/replacement contests and dated coalition control. Many municipalities vote separately from provincial election day. Final 2027 calls remain subject to official publication. Ten Catamarca 2023 local returns now have primary provisional counts; final certification and older cycles are still missing. DINE 2015 download has no Catamarca local records. Entre Ríos final national consultation warns that foreign-voter tables are excluded. Neuquén final-file links returned access-denied responses; several older links point to private or defunct hosts.

  • other · open

    2019 locality result empty: {"issue": "2019 locality result empty", "name": "Distrito Tala-Sarandí", "code": "0079C"}

  • other · open

    Earlier same-election publication superseded: {"id": "AR-TU-D-OESTE", "year": 2019, "issue": "Earlier same-election publication superseded", "selected_publication": "2019-07-02", "discarded_publications": ["2019-06-15"]}

  • other · open

    Archive navigation year differs from date printed in source: {"file": "ar_formosa_2017_archivo_542.pdf", "issue": "Archive navigation year differs from date printed in source", "navigation_year": 2017, "source_date": "2019-06-16"}

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “Estacion Araoz Y Tacanas — Rural communal commissioner.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/AR-TU-V-ESTACIONARAOZYTACANAS. Sources: argentina--url-99c2d6a78a2054901e590fa6, argentina--url-68c40fc8c548163a041bca0f, argentina--url-965dd943bbc7d1ef544c64d1, argentina--url-7f54e823ce32269892d0b9db, argentina--Saf8d4bd972ce, argentina--S8b1ec840b165, argentina--S0849b7c8a2d6, argentina--Sdfdb5667d167, argentina--S1c0bc9d4f91e.