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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

Escaba — Rural communal commissioner

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Argentina · Escaba / Tucumán / Alberdi · other · Rural communal commissionerAR-TU-V-ESCABA

Read the complete original research briefing

Election called for 9 May 2027 by decree 1688/14, amended 1718/14. Actual intervening replacements and current officeholders still require independent review.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
Escaba / Tucumán / Alberdi
Next election
2027-05-09
Linked upcoming event
next-fe07bdc09e2a51461f90802d
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-05-09 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-06-11

unknown · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • FRENTE DE TODOS POR TUCUMAN50.6%
  • TUCUMAN PARA LA VICTORIA43.0%
  • ACCION REGIONAL3.7%
  • PROYECTO TUCUMAN1.0%
  • CAMBIEMOS0.9%
  • TUCUMAN INNOVADOR0.8%
Results for event-a6584fcf40a84a25a06d6079
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
FRENTE DE TODOS POR TUCUMAN830argentina/Sdc40280e9719/202357150.6%UnknownRecorded
TUCUMAN PARA LA VICTORIA821argentina/Sdc40280e9719/202348543%UnknownRecorded
ACCION REGIONAL3argentina/Sdc40280e9719/2023423.7%UnknownRecorded
PROYECTO TUCUMAN825argentina/Sdc40280e9719/2023111%UnknownRecorded
CAMBIEMOS85argentina/Sdc40280e9719/2023100.9%UnknownRecorded
TUCUMAN INNOVADOR493argentina/Sdc40280e9719/202390.8%UnknownRecorded

2019-06-09

unknown · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • FRENTE JUSTICIALISTA POR TUCUMAN47.8%
  • ACCION REGIONAL46.1%
  • HACEMOS TUCUMAN5.0%
  • VAMOS TUCUMAN1.1%
Results for event-1c94e2f4b862a59a863e1cf7
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
FRENTE JUSTICIALISTA POR TUCUMAN811argentina/Sfd66e5640fcb/201941047.8%UnknownRecorded
ACCION REGIONAL3argentina/Sfd66e5640fcb/201939546.1%UnknownRecorded
HACEMOS TUCUMAN812argentina/Sfd66e5640fcb/2019435%UnknownRecorded
VAMOS TUCUMAN813argentina/Sfd66e5640fcb/201991.1%UnknownRecorded

2015-08-23

unknown · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • ALIANZA FRENTE PARA LA VICTORIA41.0%
  • ACCION REGIONAL19.3%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE INCLUSION Y ORGANIZACION (MIO)18.2%
  • CORRIENTE POPULAR14.4%
  • FRENTE ACUERDO PARA EL BICENTENARIO3.2%
  • PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES1.1%
  • ENCUENTRO POR LA RENOVACION (EX TODOS POR TUC)1.1%
  • MOVIMIENTO POPULAR Y FEDERAL0.6%
  • PROYECTO K0.5%
  • FUERZA REPUBLICANA0.5%
  • PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA0.0%
  • TUCUMAN PARA TODOS0.0%
Results for event-f804ac22751f7f4d05d270b5
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
ALIANZA FRENTE PARA LA VICTORIA482argentina/S0ec735eaaa16/201532341%UnknownRecorded
ACCION REGIONAL3argentina/S0ec735eaaa16/201515219.3%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO DE INCLUSION Y ORGANIZACION (MIO)239argentina/S0ec735eaaa16/201514318.2%UnknownRecorded
CORRIENTE POPULAR149argentina/S0ec735eaaa16/201511314.4%UnknownRecorded
FRENTE ACUERDO PARA EL BICENTENARIO490argentina/S0ec735eaaa16/2015253.2%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES4argentina/S0ec735eaaa16/201591.1%UnknownRecorded
ENCUENTRO POR LA RENOVACION (EX TODOS POR TUC)268argentina/S0ec735eaaa16/201591.1%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO POPULAR Y FEDERAL95argentina/S0ec735eaaa16/201550.6%UnknownRecorded
PROYECTO K278argentina/S0ec735eaaa16/201540.5%UnknownRecorded
FUERZA REPUBLICANA901argentina/S0ec735eaaa16/201540.5%UnknownRecorded
PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA354argentina/S0ec735eaaa16/20150 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
TUCUMAN PARA TODOS430argentina/S0ec735eaaa16/20150 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

63.640–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=7.624113475177303, oldest_gap=21.728081321473947, previous_gap=1.7502917152858757

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Nine exact standalone party-name categories in the archived returns; accents normalized. Provincial alliances and renamed coalitions remain Other. A category records its published name, not a verified legal succession or inferred allocation of alliance votes. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA","UNION CIVICA RADICAL","PARTIDO SOCIALISTA","PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA","COALICION CIVICA - AFIRMACION PARA UNA REPUBLICA IGUALITARIA","GEN","PARTIDO OBRERO","PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES SOCIALISTAS","MOVIMIENTO SOCIALISTA DE LOS TRABAJADORES","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Nine exact standalone party-name categories in the archived returns; accents normalized. Provincial alliances and renamed coalitions remain Other. A category records its published name, not a verified legal succession or inferred allocation of alliance votes. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA","UNION CIVICA RADICAL","PARTIDO SOCIALISTA","PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA","COALICION CIVICA - AFIRMACION PARA UNA REPUBLICA IGUALITARIA","GEN","PARTIDO OBRERO","PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES SOCIALISTAS","MOVIMIENTO SOCIALISTA DE LOS TRABAJADORES","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Nine exact standalone party-name categories in the archived returns; accents normalized. Provincial alliances and renamed coalitions remain Other. A category records its published name, not a verified legal succession or inferred allocation of alliance votes. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA","UNION CIVICA RADICAL","PARTIDO SOCIALISTA","PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA","COALICION CIVICA - AFIRMACION PARA UNA REPUBLICA IGUALITARIA","GEN","PARTIDO OBRERO","PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES SOCIALISTAS","MOVIMIENTO SOCIALISTA DE LOS TRABAJADORES","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,null,null]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Election called for 9 May 2027 by decree 1688/14, amended 1718/14. Actual intervening replacements and current officeholders still require independent review. Missing older local results in several provincial datasets, full seat proclamations, intervened/replacement contests and dated coalition control. Many municipalities vote separately from provincial election day. Final 2027 calls remain subject to official publication. Ten Catamarca 2023 local returns now have primary provisional counts; final certification and older cycles are still missing. DINE 2015 download has no Catamarca local records. Entre Ríos final national consultation warns that foreign-voter tables are excluded. Neuquén final-file links returned access-denied responses; several older links point to private or defunct hosts.

  • other · open

    2019 locality result empty: {"issue": "2019 locality result empty", "name": "Distrito Tala-Sarandí", "code": "0079C"}

  • other · open

    Earlier same-election publication superseded: {"id": "AR-TU-D-OESTE", "year": 2019, "issue": "Earlier same-election publication superseded", "selected_publication": "2019-07-02", "discarded_publications": ["2019-06-15"]}

  • other · open

    Archive navigation year differs from date printed in source: {"file": "ar_formosa_2017_archivo_542.pdf", "issue": "Archive navigation year differs from date printed in source", "navigation_year": 2017, "source_date": "2019-06-16"}

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “Escaba — Rural communal commissioner.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/AR-TU-V-ESCABA. Sources: argentina--url-b85448c1d373bd86952e541c, argentina--url-6bb5d45b638521fff7f11c8e, argentina--url-bce672b61c01b90963074352, argentina--url-7f54e823ce32269892d0b9db, argentina--Sdc40280e9719, argentina--S8b1ec840b165, argentina--Sfd66e5640fcb, argentina--S0ec735eaaa16, argentina--S1c0bc9d4f91e.