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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

El Timbo — Rural communal commissioner

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Argentina · El Timbo / Tucumán / Burruyacu · other · Rural communal commissionerAR-TU-V-ELTIMBO

Read the complete original research briefing

Election called for 9 May 2027 by decree 1688/14, amended 1718/14. Actual intervening replacements and current officeholders still require independent review.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
El Timbo / Tucumán / Burruyacu
Next election
2027-05-09
Linked upcoming event
next-72d807160c557f6223a3670f
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-05-09 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-06-11

unknown · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • ACTIVAR FRENTE DE LA LEALTAD33.2%
  • FRENTE DE TODOS POR TUCUMAN21.9%
  • CAMBIEMOS18.5%
  • PARTIDO POR LA JUSTICIA SOCIAL8.3%
  • ACCION REGIONAL6.7%
  • TUCUMAN PARA LA VICTORIA6.3%
  • CRECE TUCUMAN2.1%
  • FUERZA REPUBLICANA1.6%
  • PARTIDO INCLUSION SOCIAL (PISO)1.4%
  • PARTIDO UNIDOS POR UN MOVIMIENTO ACTIVO P.U.M.A.0.0%
Results for event-30ad508cdc78a2f025b7656d
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
ACTIVAR FRENTE DE LA LEALTAD158argentina/Sa45ff6b0dbde/20231,01833.2%UnknownRecorded
FRENTE DE TODOS POR TUCUMAN830argentina/Sa45ff6b0dbde/202367121.9%UnknownRecorded
CAMBIEMOS85argentina/Sa45ff6b0dbde/202356818.5%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO POR LA JUSTICIA SOCIAL808argentina/Sa45ff6b0dbde/20232558.3%UnknownRecorded
ACCION REGIONAL3argentina/Sa45ff6b0dbde/20232066.7%UnknownRecorded
TUCUMAN PARA LA VICTORIA821argentina/Sa45ff6b0dbde/20231936.3%UnknownRecorded
CRECE TUCUMAN118argentina/Sa45ff6b0dbde/2023642.1%UnknownRecorded
FUERZA REPUBLICANA901argentina/Sa45ff6b0dbde/2023491.6%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO INCLUSION SOCIAL (PISO)820argentina/Sa45ff6b0dbde/2023431.4%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO UNIDOS POR UN MOVIMIENTO ACTIVO P.U.M.A.827argentina/Sa45ff6b0dbde/202310%UnknownRecorded

2019-06-09

unknown · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • ACCION REGIONAL31.1%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE INTEGRACION FEDERAL25.9%
  • COMUNIDAD EN ORGANIZACIÓN19.9%
  • HACEMOS TUCUMAN5.8%
  • FRENTE JUSTICIALISTA POR TUCUMAN4.1%
  • PARTIDO POR LA JUSTICIA SOCIAL3.5%
  • FUERZA REPUBLICANA3.5%
  • RENOVACION COMPROMISO LEALTAD2.9%
  • VAMOS TUCUMAN2.8%
  • UNION Y PROGRESO SOCIAL0.6%
Results for event-d858c550098f9fc72095bc0d
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
ACCION REGIONAL3argentina/Scd8fbaed0c54/201990731.1%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO DE INTEGRACION FEDERAL88argentina/Scd8fbaed0c54/201975525.9%UnknownRecorded
COMUNIDAD EN ORGANIZACIÓN58argentina/Scd8fbaed0c54/201958019.9%UnknownRecorded
HACEMOS TUCUMAN812argentina/Scd8fbaed0c54/20191685.8%UnknownRecorded
FRENTE JUSTICIALISTA POR TUCUMAN811argentina/Scd8fbaed0c54/20191214.1%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO POR LA JUSTICIA SOCIAL808argentina/Scd8fbaed0c54/20191023.5%UnknownRecorded
FUERZA REPUBLICANA901argentina/Scd8fbaed0c54/20191013.5%UnknownRecorded
RENOVACION COMPROMISO LEALTAD807argentina/Scd8fbaed0c54/2019862.9%UnknownRecorded
VAMOS TUCUMAN813argentina/Scd8fbaed0c54/2019832.8%UnknownRecorded
UNION Y PROGRESO SOCIAL446argentina/Scd8fbaed0c54/2019170.6%UnknownRecorded

2015-08-23

unknown · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • ACCION REGIONAL38.8%
  • ALIANZA FRENTE PARA LA VICTORIA24.2%
  • COMUNIDAD EN ORGANIZACIÓN15.3%
  • KOLINA7.0%
  • PROPUESTA CIUDADANA3.6%
  • MOVIMIENTO POPULAR DE LA MILITANCIA3.2%
  • MOVIMIENTO INDEPENDIENTE3.2%
  • TUCUMAN PARA TODOS1.9%
  • PARTIDO SOCIALISTA1.3%
  • PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES0.9%
  • FRENTE ACUERDO PARA EL BICENTENARIO0.4%
  • TUCUMAN EN POSITIVO0.2%
  • CRECE TUCUMAN (EX CAMBIO POLITICO TUCUMANO)0.0%
Results for event-bd89ef83c0880167244577ab
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
ACCION REGIONAL3argentina/Sb729531ab4b9/20151,10438.8%UnknownRecorded
ALIANZA FRENTE PARA LA VICTORIA482argentina/Sb729531ab4b9/201568824.2%UnknownRecorded
COMUNIDAD EN ORGANIZACIÓN58argentina/Sb729531ab4b9/201543515.3%UnknownRecorded
KOLINA469argentina/Sb729531ab4b9/20152007%UnknownRecorded
PROPUESTA CIUDADANA969argentina/Sb729531ab4b9/20151023.6%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO POPULAR DE LA MILITANCIA391argentina/Sb729531ab4b9/2015913.2%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO INDEPENDIENTE972argentina/Sb729531ab4b9/2015903.2%UnknownRecorded
TUCUMAN PARA TODOS430argentina/Sb729531ab4b9/2015531.9%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO SOCIALISTA932argentina/Sb729531ab4b9/2015381.3%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES4argentina/Sb729531ab4b9/2015270.9%UnknownRecorded
FRENTE ACUERDO PARA EL BICENTENARIO490argentina/Sb729531ab4b9/2015110.4%UnknownRecorded
TUCUMAN EN POSITIVO256argentina/Sb729531ab4b9/201560.2%UnknownRecorded
CRECE TUCUMAN (EX CAMBIO POLITICO TUCUMANO)118argentina/Sb729531ab4b9/20150 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

50.950–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=11.310299869621904, oldest_gap=14.62214411247803, previous_gap=5.205479452054792

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Nine exact standalone party-name categories in the archived returns; accents normalized. Provincial alliances and renamed coalitions remain Other. A category records its published name, not a verified legal succession or inferred allocation of alliance votes. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA","UNION CIVICA RADICAL","PARTIDO SOCIALISTA","PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA","COALICION CIVICA - AFIRMACION PARA UNA REPUBLICA IGUALITARIA","GEN","PARTIDO OBRERO","PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES SOCIALISTAS","MOVIMIENTO SOCIALISTA DE LOS TRABAJADORES","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,null,[0,0,1.3356766256590509,0,0,0,0,0,0,98.66432337434095]]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Nine exact standalone party-name categories in the archived returns; accents normalized. Provincial alliances and renamed coalitions remain Other. A category records its published name, not a verified legal succession or inferred allocation of alliance votes. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA","UNION CIVICA RADICAL","PARTIDO SOCIALISTA","PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA","COALICION CIVICA - AFIRMACION PARA UNA REPUBLICA IGUALITARIA","GEN","PARTIDO OBRERO","PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES SOCIALISTAS","MOVIMIENTO SOCIALISTA DE LOS TRABAJADORES","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,null,[0,0,1.3356766256590509,0,0,0,0,0,0,98.66432337434095]]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Nine exact standalone party-name categories in the archived returns; accents normalized. Provincial alliances and renamed coalitions remain Other. A category records its published name, not a verified legal succession or inferred allocation of alliance votes. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA","UNION CIVICA RADICAL","PARTIDO SOCIALISTA","PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA","COALICION CIVICA - AFIRMACION PARA UNA REPUBLICA IGUALITARIA","GEN","PARTIDO OBRERO","PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES SOCIALISTAS","MOVIMIENTO SOCIALISTA DE LOS TRABAJADORES","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,null,[0,0,1.3356766256590509,0,0,0,0,0,0,98.66432337434095]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Election called for 9 May 2027 by decree 1688/14, amended 1718/14. Actual intervening replacements and current officeholders still require independent review. Missing older local results in several provincial datasets, full seat proclamations, intervened/replacement contests and dated coalition control. Many municipalities vote separately from provincial election day. Final 2027 calls remain subject to official publication. Ten Catamarca 2023 local returns now have primary provisional counts; final certification and older cycles are still missing. DINE 2015 download has no Catamarca local records. Entre Ríos final national consultation warns that foreign-voter tables are excluded. Neuquén final-file links returned access-denied responses; several older links point to private or defunct hosts.

  • other · open

    2019 locality result empty: {"issue": "2019 locality result empty", "name": "Distrito Tala-Sarandí", "code": "0079C"}

  • other · open

    Earlier same-election publication superseded: {"id": "AR-TU-D-OESTE", "year": 2019, "issue": "Earlier same-election publication superseded", "selected_publication": "2019-07-02", "discarded_publications": ["2019-06-15"]}

  • other · open

    Archive navigation year differs from date printed in source: {"file": "ar_formosa_2017_archivo_542.pdf", "issue": "Archive navigation year differs from date printed in source", "navigation_year": 2017, "source_date": "2019-06-16"}

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “El Timbo — Rural communal commissioner.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/AR-TU-V-ELTIMBO. Sources: argentina--url-d27e8543009b117c1bad5b39, argentina--url-99c84ed1467841937354c3cf, argentina--url-4af68f4566a80893a84a99a3, argentina--url-7f54e823ce32269892d0b9db, argentina--Sa45ff6b0dbde, argentina--S8b1ec840b165, argentina--Scd8fbaed0c54, argentina--Sb729531ab4b9, argentina--S1c0bc9d4f91e.