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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

El Naranjo Y El Sunchal — Rural communal commissioner

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Argentina · El Naranjo Y El Sunchal / Tucumán / Burruyacu · other · Rural communal commissionerAR-TU-V-ELNARANJOYELSUNCHAL

Read the complete original research briefing

Election called for 9 May 2027 by decree 1688/14, amended 1718/14. Actual intervening replacements and current officeholders still require independent review.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
El Naranjo Y El Sunchal / Tucumán / Burruyacu
Next election
2027-05-09
Linked upcoming event
next-9a26bda06209e2ce29d2287c
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-05-09 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-06-11

unknown · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • TUCUMAN PARA LA VICTORIA54.6%
  • FRENTE DE TODOS POR TUCUMAN38.7%
  • CAMBIEMOS2.3%
  • ACTIVAR FRENTE DE LA LEALTAD1.8%
  • FUERZA REPUBLICANA0.8%
  • MOVIMIENTO LIBRES DEL SUR0.8%
  • ACCION REGIONAL0.6%
  • PARTIDO POR LA JUSTICIA SOCIAL0.4%
Results for event-f81395fa35822abc4ea25e22
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
TUCUMAN PARA LA VICTORIA821argentina/Sa45ff6b0dbde/20231,13854.6%UnknownRecorded
FRENTE DE TODOS POR TUCUMAN830argentina/Sa45ff6b0dbde/202380738.7%UnknownRecorded
CAMBIEMOS85argentina/Sa45ff6b0dbde/2023482.3%UnknownRecorded
ACTIVAR FRENTE DE LA LEALTAD158argentina/Sa45ff6b0dbde/2023371.8%UnknownRecorded
FUERZA REPUBLICANA901argentina/Sa45ff6b0dbde/2023160.8%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO LIBRES DEL SUR929argentina/Sa45ff6b0dbde/2023160.8%UnknownRecorded
ACCION REGIONAL3argentina/Sa45ff6b0dbde/2023120.6%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO POR LA JUSTICIA SOCIAL808argentina/Sa45ff6b0dbde/202390.4%UnknownRecorded

2019-06-09

unknown · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • MOVIMIENTO DE INTEGRACION FEDERAL52.6%
  • COMUNIDAD EN ORGANIZACIÓN28.8%
  • LEALTAD Y DIGNIDAD11.3%
  • HACEMOS TUCUMAN2.4%
  • FRENTE JUSTICIALISTA POR TUCUMAN2.0%
  • ACCION REGIONAL1.4%
  • PARTIDO POR LA JUSTICIA SOCIAL0.6%
  • VAMOS TUCUMAN0.6%
  • UNION Y PROGRESO SOCIAL0.3%
Results for event-3a5688aa48613ec5c2c6997c
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MOVIMIENTO DE INTEGRACION FEDERAL88argentina/Sbc8c9826a76f/201995452.6%UnknownRecorded
COMUNIDAD EN ORGANIZACIÓN58argentina/Sbc8c9826a76f/201952228.8%UnknownRecorded
LEALTAD Y DIGNIDAD76argentina/Sbc8c9826a76f/201920511.3%UnknownRecorded
HACEMOS TUCUMAN812argentina/Sbc8c9826a76f/2019432.4%UnknownRecorded
FRENTE JUSTICIALISTA POR TUCUMAN811argentina/Sbc8c9826a76f/2019372%UnknownRecorded
ACCION REGIONAL3argentina/Sbc8c9826a76f/2019261.4%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO POR LA JUSTICIA SOCIAL808argentina/Sbc8c9826a76f/2019110.6%UnknownRecorded
VAMOS TUCUMAN813argentina/Sbc8c9826a76f/2019110.6%UnknownRecorded
UNION Y PROGRESO SOCIAL446argentina/Sbc8c9826a76f/201950.3%UnknownRecorded

2015-08-23

unknown · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • ALIANZA FRENTE PARA LA VICTORIA73.0%
  • TUCUMAN PARA TODOS5.4%
  • JUNTOS PODEMOS4.1%
  • PARTIDO CRECER PARA LA VICTORIA4.0%
  • FRENTE ACUERDO PARA EL BICENTENARIO2.9%
  • PROYECTO K2.6%
  • MOVIMIENTO POPULAR DE LA MILITANCIA2.4%
  • MOVIMIENTO INDEPENDIENTE2.3%
  • TUCUMAN INNOVADOR1.8%
  • PROPUESTA CIUDADANA0.9%
  • PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES0.5%
Results for event-19fa8377c4901b4ee8f10d57
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
ALIANZA FRENTE PARA LA VICTORIA482argentina/S8c4ae8650b86/20151,21573%UnknownRecorded
TUCUMAN PARA TODOS430argentina/S8c4ae8650b86/2015905.4%UnknownRecorded
JUNTOS PODEMOS326argentina/S8c4ae8650b86/2015694.1%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CRECER PARA LA VICTORIA184argentina/S8c4ae8650b86/2015664%UnknownRecorded
FRENTE ACUERDO PARA EL BICENTENARIO490argentina/S8c4ae8650b86/2015492.9%UnknownRecorded
PROYECTO K278argentina/S8c4ae8650b86/2015442.6%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO POPULAR DE LA MILITANCIA391argentina/S8c4ae8650b86/2015402.4%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO INDEPENDIENTE972argentina/S8c4ae8650b86/2015382.3%UnknownRecorded
TUCUMAN INNOVADOR493argentina/S8c4ae8650b86/2015301.8%UnknownRecorded
PROPUESTA CIUDADANA969argentina/S8c4ae8650b86/2015150.9%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES4argentina/S8c4ae8650b86/201580.5%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

0 (recorded zero)0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=15.89054248679789, oldest_gap=67.60817307692308, previous_gap=23.814773980154353

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Nine exact standalone party-name categories in the archived returns; accents normalized. Provincial alliances and renamed coalitions remain Other. A category records its published name, not a verified legal succession or inferred allocation of alliance votes. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA","UNION CIVICA RADICAL","PARTIDO SOCIALISTA","PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA","COALICION CIVICA - AFIRMACION PARA UNA REPUBLICA IGUALITARIA","GEN","PARTIDO OBRERO","PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES SOCIALISTAS","MOVIMIENTO SOCIALISTA DE LOS TRABAJADORES","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Nine exact standalone party-name categories in the archived returns; accents normalized. Provincial alliances and renamed coalitions remain Other. A category records its published name, not a verified legal succession or inferred allocation of alliance votes. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA","UNION CIVICA RADICAL","PARTIDO SOCIALISTA","PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA","COALICION CIVICA - AFIRMACION PARA UNA REPUBLICA IGUALITARIA","GEN","PARTIDO OBRERO","PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES SOCIALISTAS","MOVIMIENTO SOCIALISTA DE LOS TRABAJADORES","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Nine exact standalone party-name categories in the archived returns; accents normalized. Provincial alliances and renamed coalitions remain Other. A category records its published name, not a verified legal succession or inferred allocation of alliance votes. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA","UNION CIVICA RADICAL","PARTIDO SOCIALISTA","PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA","COALICION CIVICA - AFIRMACION PARA UNA REPUBLICA IGUALITARIA","GEN","PARTIDO OBRERO","PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES SOCIALISTAS","MOVIMIENTO SOCIALISTA DE LOS TRABAJADORES","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,null,null]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Election called for 9 May 2027 by decree 1688/14, amended 1718/14. Actual intervening replacements and current officeholders still require independent review. Missing older local results in several provincial datasets, full seat proclamations, intervened/replacement contests and dated coalition control. Many municipalities vote separately from provincial election day. Final 2027 calls remain subject to official publication. Ten Catamarca 2023 local returns now have primary provisional counts; final certification and older cycles are still missing. DINE 2015 download has no Catamarca local records. Entre Ríos final national consultation warns that foreign-voter tables are excluded. Neuquén final-file links returned access-denied responses; several older links point to private or defunct hosts.

  • other · open

    2019 locality result empty: {"issue": "2019 locality result empty", "name": "Distrito Tala-Sarandí", "code": "0079C"}

  • other · open

    Earlier same-election publication superseded: {"id": "AR-TU-D-OESTE", "year": 2019, "issue": "Earlier same-election publication superseded", "selected_publication": "2019-07-02", "discarded_publications": ["2019-06-15"]}

  • other · open

    Archive navigation year differs from date printed in source: {"file": "ar_formosa_2017_archivo_542.pdf", "issue": "Archive navigation year differs from date printed in source", "navigation_year": 2017, "source_date": "2019-06-16"}

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “El Naranjo Y El Sunchal — Rural communal commissioner.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/AR-TU-V-ELNARANJOYELSUNCHAL. Sources: argentina--url-d27e8543009b117c1bad5b39, argentina--url-2e35e130905e476607f741ce, argentina--url-eabdfbc6c9bbf48d71495052, argentina--url-7f54e823ce32269892d0b9db, argentina--Sa45ff6b0dbde, argentina--S8b1ec840b165, argentina--Sbc8c9826a76f, argentina--S8c4ae8650b86, argentina--S1c0bc9d4f91e.