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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

El Cercado — Rural communal commissioner

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Argentina · El Cercado / Tucumán / Monteros · other · Rural communal commissionerAR-TU-V-ELCERCADO

Read the complete original research briefing

Election called for 9 May 2027 by decree 1688/14, amended 1718/14. Actual intervening replacements and current officeholders still require independent review.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
El Cercado / Tucumán / Monteros
Next election
2027-05-09
Linked upcoming event
next-f386b9d8a2c840f07452ffed
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-05-09 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-06-11

unknown · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • TUCUMAN PARA LA VICTORIA62.5%
  • FRENTE DE TODOS POR TUCUMAN29.6%
  • CORRIENTE POPULAR4.8%
  • PROYECTO TUCUMAN2.1%
  • CAMBIEMOS0.5%
  • FUERZA REPUBLICANA0.4%
Results for event-7bc61be733e2faf145950149
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
TUCUMAN PARA LA VICTORIA821argentina/Sa6cb5bf5920a/202390362.5%UnknownRecorded
FRENTE DE TODOS POR TUCUMAN830argentina/Sa6cb5bf5920a/202342829.6%UnknownRecorded
CORRIENTE POPULAR149argentina/Sa6cb5bf5920a/2023704.8%UnknownRecorded
PROYECTO TUCUMAN825argentina/Sa6cb5bf5920a/2023312.1%UnknownRecorded
CAMBIEMOS85argentina/Sa6cb5bf5920a/202370.5%UnknownRecorded
FUERZA REPUBLICANA901argentina/Sa6cb5bf5920a/202360.4%UnknownRecorded

2019-06-09

unknown · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • FRENTE JUSTICIALISTA POR TUCUMAN60.4%
  • ACCION REGIONAL29.0%
  • HACEMOS TUCUMAN7.8%
  • CORRIENTE POPULAR1.6%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE INTEGRACION FEDERAL1.1%
Results for event-dda4d42a00494857f6d76135
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
FRENTE JUSTICIALISTA POR TUCUMAN811argentina/S3cfa0e4adffa/201989860.4%UnknownRecorded
ACCION REGIONAL3argentina/S3cfa0e4adffa/201943129%UnknownRecorded
HACEMOS TUCUMAN812argentina/S3cfa0e4adffa/20191167.8%UnknownRecorded
CORRIENTE POPULAR149argentina/S3cfa0e4adffa/2019241.6%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO DE INTEGRACION FEDERAL88argentina/S3cfa0e4adffa/2019171.1%UnknownRecorded

2015-08-23

unknown · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • ALIANZA FRENTE PARA LA VICTORIA44.6%
  • ACCION REGIONAL31.4%
  • COMUNIDAD EN ORGANIZACIÓN11.0%
  • CORRIENTE POPULAR9.1%
  • TUCUMAN INNOVADOR2.2%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE INCLUSION Y ORGANIZACION (MIO)1.3%
  • FRENTE ACUERDO PARA EL BICENTENARIO0.2%
  • ENCUENTRO POR LA RENOVACION (EX TODOS POR TUC)0.1%
  • UNION Y PROGRESO SOCIAL0.0%
Results for event-99ba932f653109805c7797fd
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
ALIANZA FRENTE PARA LA VICTORIA482argentina/S1e582702bc3d/201564344.6%UnknownRecorded
ACCION REGIONAL3argentina/S1e582702bc3d/201545331.4%UnknownRecorded
COMUNIDAD EN ORGANIZACIÓN58argentina/S1e582702bc3d/201515811%UnknownRecorded
CORRIENTE POPULAR149argentina/S1e582702bc3d/20151319.1%UnknownRecorded
TUCUMAN INNOVADOR493argentina/S1e582702bc3d/2015322.2%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO DE INCLUSION Y ORGANIZACION (MIO)239argentina/S1e582702bc3d/2015191.3%UnknownRecorded
FRENTE ACUERDO PARA EL BICENTENARIO490argentina/S1e582702bc3d/201530.2%UnknownRecorded
ENCUENTRO POR LA RENOVACION (EX TODOS POR TUC)268argentina/S1e582702bc3d/201520.1%UnknownRecorded
UNION Y PROGRESO SOCIAL446argentina/S1e582702bc3d/20150 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

0 (recorded zero)0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=32.871972318339104, oldest_gap=13.185287994448302, previous_gap=31.42664872139973

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Nine exact standalone party-name categories in the archived returns; accents normalized. Provincial alliances and renamed coalitions remain Other. A category records its published name, not a verified legal succession or inferred allocation of alliance votes. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA","UNION CIVICA RADICAL","PARTIDO SOCIALISTA","PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA","COALICION CIVICA - AFIRMACION PARA UNA REPUBLICA IGUALITARIA","GEN","PARTIDO OBRERO","PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES SOCIALISTAS","MOVIMIENTO SOCIALISTA DE LOS TRABAJADORES","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Nine exact standalone party-name categories in the archived returns; accents normalized. Provincial alliances and renamed coalitions remain Other. A category records its published name, not a verified legal succession or inferred allocation of alliance votes. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA","UNION CIVICA RADICAL","PARTIDO SOCIALISTA","PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA","COALICION CIVICA - AFIRMACION PARA UNA REPUBLICA IGUALITARIA","GEN","PARTIDO OBRERO","PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES SOCIALISTAS","MOVIMIENTO SOCIALISTA DE LOS TRABAJADORES","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Nine exact standalone party-name categories in the archived returns; accents normalized. Provincial alliances and renamed coalitions remain Other. A category records its published name, not a verified legal succession or inferred allocation of alliance votes. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA","UNION CIVICA RADICAL","PARTIDO SOCIALISTA","PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA","COALICION CIVICA - AFIRMACION PARA UNA REPUBLICA IGUALITARIA","GEN","PARTIDO OBRERO","PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES SOCIALISTAS","MOVIMIENTO SOCIALISTA DE LOS TRABAJADORES","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,null,null]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Election called for 9 May 2027 by decree 1688/14, amended 1718/14. Actual intervening replacements and current officeholders still require independent review. Missing older local results in several provincial datasets, full seat proclamations, intervened/replacement contests and dated coalition control. Many municipalities vote separately from provincial election day. Final 2027 calls remain subject to official publication. Ten Catamarca 2023 local returns now have primary provisional counts; final certification and older cycles are still missing. DINE 2015 download has no Catamarca local records. Entre Ríos final national consultation warns that foreign-voter tables are excluded. Neuquén final-file links returned access-denied responses; several older links point to private or defunct hosts.

  • other · open

    2019 locality result empty: {"issue": "2019 locality result empty", "name": "Distrito Tala-Sarandí", "code": "0079C"}

  • other · open

    Earlier same-election publication superseded: {"id": "AR-TU-D-OESTE", "year": 2019, "issue": "Earlier same-election publication superseded", "selected_publication": "2019-07-02", "discarded_publications": ["2019-06-15"]}

  • other · open

    Archive navigation year differs from date printed in source: {"file": "ar_formosa_2017_archivo_542.pdf", "issue": "Archive navigation year differs from date printed in source", "navigation_year": 2017, "source_date": "2019-06-16"}

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “El Cercado — Rural communal commissioner.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/AR-TU-V-ELCERCADO. Sources: argentina--url-f759f9ee16da20d6abe9aba5, argentina--url-de8202da9524c1cbef83e37b, argentina--url-3b5b236c173a6247a09c2048, argentina--url-7f54e823ce32269892d0b9db, argentina--Sa6cb5bf5920a, argentina--S8b1ec840b165, argentina--S3cfa0e4adffa, argentina--S1e582702bc3d, argentina--S1c0bc9d4f91e.