Argentina · Tucumán / Yerba Buena
Cevil Redondo — Rural communal commissioner
All 24 provincial jurisdictions are screened; 3,440 current provincial/local or shared-ballot units are registered. Recovered archives now cover all provinces. All 804 previously inaccessible Córdoba tribunal tables are restored, adding local histories and replacing provincial secondary vote transcriptions. Several local tiers have inventories or winner-only evidence without three full returns. Corrientes and Santiago del Estero executive cycles outside the window are excluded. Partial chamber renewals, Santa Fe commune reform, conventions and replacements remain distinct. Older local votes, selected certificates and 2027 office calls remain incomplete. Ten 2023 Catamarca local returns are recovered from DINE provisional table data through exact single-municipality department bridges; they remain excluded from complete-cycle metrics pending final-tally reconciliation.
Historical competition
Competitiveness index for a verified actual-event sequence withheld. Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete.
Provisional imported-series CI: 85.7/100. This uses the three displayed comparison cycles and retains the open event/boundary audit. It does not confirm the latest three actual completed elections.
Current government and control: Unverified. Local government-risk forecast: unassessed.
National polling context: National presidential approval; context for subnational races — AtlasIntel / Bloomberg; fieldwork 2026-07-30 to 2026-08-03. Sample 1,120; reported margin of error ±3.00 percentage points. Earlier comparison wave; named officeholder and question wording retained. Poll report
National polling context: National presidential approval; context for subnational races — AtlasIntel / Bloomberg; fieldwork 2026-08-30 to 2026-09-03. Sample 2,193; reported margin of error ±2.00 percentage points. Approval rose 1.0 percentage point while disapproval fell 4.4 points; approval movement is smaller than the combined reported survey uncertainty. The negative approval balance remains a national headwind for Milei-aligned candidates, conditional on local alliance and incumbent identity. Poll report
Election called for 9 May 2027 by decree 1688/14, amended 1718/14. Actual intervening replacements and current officeholders still require independent review.
Registry and evidence links: Source 1, Source 2, Source 3, Source 4
Electoral event evidence
Separate source records can belong to the same election cycle. Recounts, runoffs and void returns do not create additional cycles.
2023-06-11 · Election record
Coverage: Complete official final vote vector with final-closure evidence
Basis: Exact affirmative votes. Source percentages use all ballots including blank/null; those percentages are preserved separately, and comparison shares are recomputed from affirmative votes.
| Party or list | Candidate | Votes or marks | Vote share | Seats |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TUCUMAN PARA LA VICTORIA | 2,119 | 19.61% | — | |
| CRECE TUCUMAN | 1,891 | 17.50% | — | |
| CAMBIEMOS | 1,408 | 13.03% | — | |
| FRENTE DE TODOS POR TUCUMAN | 1,366 | 12.64% | — | |
| PARTIDO CAMBIA TUCUMAN CT | 1,050 | 9.72% | — | |
| ACCION REGIONAL | 839 | 7.76% | — | |
| CIUDADANOS CONTRA LA CORRUPCION | 346 | 3.20% | — | |
| FUERZA REPUBLICANA | 337 | 3.12% | — | |
| MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD POPULAR (M.U.P.) | 268 | 2.48% | — | |
| ALIANZA "COMPROMISO PRO TUCUMAN" | 261 | 2.42% | — | |
| PROYECTO TUCUMAN | 205 | 1.90% | — | |
| MOVIMIENTO LIBRES DEL SUR | 169 | 1.56% | — | |
| PARTIDO PROYECTO POPULAR | 113 | 1.05% | — | |
| FRENTE SOLIDARIO LABORISTA | 98 | 0.91% | — | |
| UNIDAD CIUDADANA | 89 | 0.82% | — | |
| POLITICA OBRERA | 82 | 0.76% | — | |
| CORRIENTE POPULAR | 62 | 0.57% | — | |
| PARTICIPACION CIVICA | 53 | 0.49% | — | |
| DESEMPLEADOS UNIDOS | 50 | 0.46% | — |
Result source · PDF pages 4
2019-06-09 · Election record
Coverage: Complete official final vote vector with final-closure evidence
Basis: Exact affirmative votes. Source percentages use all ballots including blank/null; those percentages are preserved separately, and comparison shares are recomputed from affirmative votes.
| Party or list | Candidate | Votes or marks | Vote share | Seats |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FRENTE JUSTICIALISTA POR TUCUMAN | 1,700 | 17.80% | — | |
| ACCION REGIONAL | 1,286 | 13.46% | — | |
| HACEMOS TUCUMAN | 1,282 | 13.42% | — | |
| PARTIDO POR LA JUSTICIA SOCIAL | 1,216 | 12.73% | — | |
| VAMOS TUCUMAN | 836 | 8.75% | — | |
| JUNTOS PODEMOS | 827 | 8.66% | — | |
| MOVIMIENTO DE AFIRMACION POPULAR (M.A.P) | 739 | 7.74% | — | |
| FUERZA REPUBLICANA | 688 | 7.20% | — | |
| TUCUMAN INNOVADOR | 400 | 4.19% | — | |
| PARTIDO PROYECTO POPULAR | 172 | 1.80% | — | |
| CORRIENTE POPULAR | 155 | 1.62% | — | |
| MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD POPULAR (M.U.P.) | 124 | 1.30% | — | |
| MOVIMIENTO DE INTEGRACION FEDERAL | 78 | 0.82% | — | |
| CIUDADANOS CONTRA LA CORRUPCION | 50 | 0.52% | — |
Result source · PDF pages 1
2015-08-23 · Election record
Coverage: Complete official final vote vector with final-closure evidence
Basis: Exact affirmative votes. Source percentages use all ballots including blank/null; those percentages are preserved separately, and comparison shares are recomputed from affirmative votes.
| Party or list | Candidate | Votes or marks | Vote share | Seats |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARTIDO DE LA JUSTICIA Y LA VICTORIA | 1,281 | 14.52% | — | |
| JUNTOS PODEMOS | 1,020 | 11.56% | — | |
| ACCION REGIONAL | 779 | 8.83% | — | |
| ALIANZA FRENTE PARA LA VICTORIA | 771 | 8.74% | — | |
| FRENTE ACUERDO PARA EL BICENTENARIO | 709 | 8.03% | — | |
| ENCUENTRO POR LA RENOVACION (EX TODOS POR TUC) | 615 | 6.97% | — | |
| TUCUMAN PARA TODOS | 535 | 6.06% | — | |
| MOVIMIENTO POPULAR Y FEDERAL | 468 | 5.30% | — | |
| TUCUMAN INNOVADOR | 462 | 5.24% | — | |
| FUERZA REPUBLICANA | 344 | 3.90% | — | |
| MOVIMIENTO LIBRES DEL SUR (EX CTE. PATRIA LIBRE) | 337 | 3.82% | — | |
| PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA | 302 | 3.42% | — | |
| CORRIENTE POPULAR | 267 | 3.03% | — | |
| MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD POPULAR (M.U.P.) | 167 | 1.89% | — | |
| FRENTE RENOVADOR AUTENTICO | 131 | 1.48% | — | |
| TERCER MILENIO | 112 | 1.27% | — | |
| MOVIMIENTO POPULAR DE LA MILITANCIA | 96 | 1.09% | — | |
| PODEMOS | 92 | 1.04% | — | |
| MILITANCIA TERRITORIAL | 85 | 0.96% | — | |
| PARTIDO DEL TRABAJO Y LA EQUIDAD | 81 | 0.92% | — | |
| MOVIMIENTO DE INCLUSION Y ORGANIZACION (MIO) | 55 | 0.62% | — | |
| PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES | 48 | 0.54% | — | |
| FRENTE DE IZQUIERDA Y DE LOS TRABAJADORES | 38 | 0.43% | — | |
| PROYECTO K | 18 | 0.20% | — | |
| LEALTAD Y DIGNIDAD | 12 | 0.14% | — |
Result source · PDF pages 1
Snapshot 13 September 2026. Fixed election window 8 September 2026 to 8 March 2028. Record AR-TU-V-CEVILREDONDO.