Skip to observatory content

Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

Arcadia — Rural communal commissioner

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Argentina · Arcadia / Tucumán / Chicligasta · other · Rural communal commissionerAR-TU-V-ARCADIA

Read the complete original research briefing

Election called for 9 May 2027 by decree 1688/14, amended 1718/14. Actual intervening replacements and current officeholders still require independent review.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
Arcadia / Tucumán / Chicligasta
Next election
2027-05-09
Linked upcoming event
next-9606ca1efb4566c4b73a219d
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-05-09 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-06-11

unknown · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • TUCUMAN PARA LA VICTORIA35.5%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE INCLUSION Y ORGANIZACION (MIO)28.2%
  • FRENTE DE TODOS POR TUCUMAN21.4%
  • PARTIDO CAMBIA TUCUMAN CT7.9%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD POPULAR (M.U.P.)2.0%
  • PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES1.9%
  • PARTIDO ACUERDO FEDERAL1.4%
  • ACCION REGIONAL0.7%
  • PROYECTO TUCUMAN0.7%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE INTEGRACION COMUNITARIA (M.I.C.)0.4%
Results for event-f80876ac6566637454a5f94e
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
TUCUMAN PARA LA VICTORIA821argentina/S7c5478a2549d/20231,52735.5%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO DE INCLUSION Y ORGANIZACION (MIO)239argentina/S7c5478a2549d/20231,21328.2%UnknownRecorded
FRENTE DE TODOS POR TUCUMAN830argentina/S7c5478a2549d/202392121.4%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CAMBIA TUCUMAN CT966argentina/S7c5478a2549d/20233397.9%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO DE UNIDAD POPULAR (M.U.P.)660argentina/S7c5478a2549d/2023842%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES4argentina/S7c5478a2549d/2023831.9%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO ACUERDO FEDERAL448argentina/S7c5478a2549d/2023601.4%UnknownRecorded
ACCION REGIONAL3argentina/S7c5478a2549d/2023300.7%UnknownRecorded
PROYECTO TUCUMAN825argentina/S7c5478a2549d/2023280.7%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO DE INTEGRACION COMUNITARIA (M.I.C.)81argentina/S7c5478a2549d/2023180.4%UnknownRecorded

2019-06-09

unknown · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • ACCION REGIONAL45.5%
  • FRENTE JUSTICIALISTA POR TUCUMAN36.3%
  • PARTIDO POR LA JUSTICIA SOCIAL6.9%
  • CORRIENTE POPULAR2.7%
  • VAMOS TUCUMAN2.2%
  • PARTIDO DEL TRABAJO Y LA EQUIDAD1.7%
  • HACEMOS TUCUMAN1.3%
  • TUCUMAN INNOVADOR0.9%
  • LEALTAD Y DIGNIDAD0.9%
  • COMUNIDAD EN ORGANIZACIÓN0.8%
  • PARTIDO PROYECTO POPULAR0.6%
  • MOVIMIENTO IZQUIERDA JUVENTUD DIGNIDAD0.3%
Results for event-a46c8222fae1be1770790d42
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
ACCION REGIONAL3argentina/Sef4465db9682/20191,85745.5%UnknownRecorded
FRENTE JUSTICIALISTA POR TUCUMAN811argentina/Sef4465db9682/20191,48236.3%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO POR LA JUSTICIA SOCIAL808argentina/Sef4465db9682/20192806.9%UnknownRecorded
CORRIENTE POPULAR149argentina/Sef4465db9682/20191092.7%UnknownRecorded
VAMOS TUCUMAN813argentina/Sef4465db9682/2019892.2%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO DEL TRABAJO Y LA EQUIDAD494argentina/Sef4465db9682/2019681.7%UnknownRecorded
HACEMOS TUCUMAN812argentina/Sef4465db9682/2019551.3%UnknownRecorded
TUCUMAN INNOVADOR493argentina/Sef4465db9682/2019380.9%UnknownRecorded
LEALTAD Y DIGNIDAD76argentina/Sef4465db9682/2019370.9%UnknownRecorded
COMUNIDAD EN ORGANIZACIÓN58argentina/Sef4465db9682/2019320.8%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO PROYECTO POPULAR162argentina/Sef4465db9682/2019250.6%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO IZQUIERDA JUVENTUD DIGNIDAD806argentina/Sef4465db9682/2019130.3%UnknownRecorded

2015-08-23

unknown · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • ACCION REGIONAL36.2%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE INCLUSION Y ORGANIZACION (MIO)21.6%
  • PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES18.8%
  • ALIANZA FRENTE PARA LA VICTORIA9.1%
  • TUCUMAN PARA TODOS2.5%
  • CORRIENTE POPULAR2.4%
  • PODEMOS2.1%
  • TUCUMAN INNOVADOR1.9%
  • COMUNIDAD EN ORGANIZACIÓN1.6%
  • ENCUENTRO POR LA RENOVACION (EX TODOS POR TUC)1.2%
  • MOVIMIENTO POPULAR DE LA MILITANCIA1.0%
  • FRENTE ACUERDO PARA EL BICENTENARIO1.0%
  • MOVIMIENTO POPULAR Y FEDERAL0.4%
  • MOVIMIENTO INDEPENDIENTE JUSTICIA Y DIGNIDAD (MIJD0.2%
  • FRENTE RENOVADOR AUTENTICO0.1%
Results for event-aa4cf04fdfe50cbcb2b96687
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
ACCION REGIONAL3argentina/S596d8b07b482/20151,28936.2%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO DE INCLUSION Y ORGANIZACION (MIO)239argentina/S596d8b07b482/201576921.6%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES4argentina/S596d8b07b482/201566918.8%UnknownRecorded
ALIANZA FRENTE PARA LA VICTORIA482argentina/S596d8b07b482/20153239.1%UnknownRecorded
TUCUMAN PARA TODOS430argentina/S596d8b07b482/2015902.5%UnknownRecorded
CORRIENTE POPULAR149argentina/S596d8b07b482/2015862.4%UnknownRecorded
PODEMOS507argentina/S596d8b07b482/2015752.1%UnknownRecorded
TUCUMAN INNOVADOR493argentina/S596d8b07b482/2015671.9%UnknownRecorded
COMUNIDAD EN ORGANIZACIÓN58argentina/S596d8b07b482/2015571.6%UnknownRecorded
ENCUENTRO POR LA RENOVACION (EX TODOS POR TUC)268argentina/S596d8b07b482/2015411.2%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO POPULAR DE LA MILITANCIA391argentina/S596d8b07b482/2015341%UnknownRecorded
FRENTE ACUERDO PARA EL BICENTENARIO490argentina/S596d8b07b482/2015341%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO POPULAR Y FEDERAL95argentina/S596d8b07b482/2015130.4%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO INDEPENDIENTE JUSTICIA Y DIGNIDAD (MIJD451argentina/S596d8b07b482/201560.2%UnknownRecorded
FRENTE RENOVADOR AUTENTICO495argentina/S596d8b07b482/201550.1%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

57.030–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=7.297234487566815, oldest_gap=14.61495222034851, previous_gap=9.179926560587518

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Nine exact standalone party-name categories in the archived returns; accents normalized. Provincial alliances and renamed coalitions remain Other. A category records its published name, not a verified legal succession or inferred allocation of alliance votes. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA","UNION CIVICA RADICAL","PARTIDO SOCIALISTA","PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA","COALICION CIVICA - AFIRMACION PARA UNA REPUBLICA IGUALITARIA","GEN","PARTIDO OBRERO","PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES SOCIALISTAS","MOVIMIENTO SOCIALISTA DE LOS TRABAJADORES","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Nine exact standalone party-name categories in the archived returns; accents normalized. Provincial alliances and renamed coalitions remain Other. A category records its published name, not a verified legal succession or inferred allocation of alliance votes. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA","UNION CIVICA RADICAL","PARTIDO SOCIALISTA","PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA","COALICION CIVICA - AFIRMACION PARA UNA REPUBLICA IGUALITARIA","GEN","PARTIDO OBRERO","PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES SOCIALISTAS","MOVIMIENTO SOCIALISTA DE LOS TRABAJADORES","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Nine exact standalone party-name categories in the archived returns; accents normalized. Provincial alliances and renamed coalitions remain Other. A category records its published name, not a verified legal succession or inferred allocation of alliance votes. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA","UNION CIVICA RADICAL","PARTIDO SOCIALISTA","PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA","COALICION CIVICA - AFIRMACION PARA UNA REPUBLICA IGUALITARIA","GEN","PARTIDO OBRERO","PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES SOCIALISTAS","MOVIMIENTO SOCIALISTA DE LOS TRABAJADORES","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,null,null]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Election called for 9 May 2027 by decree 1688/14, amended 1718/14. Actual intervening replacements and current officeholders still require independent review. Missing older local results in several provincial datasets, full seat proclamations, intervened/replacement contests and dated coalition control. Many municipalities vote separately from provincial election day. Final 2027 calls remain subject to official publication. Ten Catamarca 2023 local returns now have primary provisional counts; final certification and older cycles are still missing. DINE 2015 download has no Catamarca local records. Entre Ríos final national consultation warns that foreign-voter tables are excluded. Neuquén final-file links returned access-denied responses; several older links point to private or defunct hosts.

  • other · open

    2019 locality result empty: {"issue": "2019 locality result empty", "name": "Distrito Tala-Sarandí", "code": "0079C"}

  • other · open

    Earlier same-election publication superseded: {"id": "AR-TU-D-OESTE", "year": 2019, "issue": "Earlier same-election publication superseded", "selected_publication": "2019-07-02", "discarded_publications": ["2019-06-15"]}

  • other · open

    Archive navigation year differs from date printed in source: {"file": "ar_formosa_2017_archivo_542.pdf", "issue": "Archive navigation year differs from date printed in source", "navigation_year": 2017, "source_date": "2019-06-16"}

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “Arcadia — Rural communal commissioner.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/AR-TU-V-ARCADIA. Sources: argentina--url-77e87ec1e18199e58de5fcea, argentina--url-2735aaa950fbb665c26d3797, argentina--url-8d237874cd64bd1f6e0f00f6, argentina--url-7f54e823ce32269892d0b9db, argentina--S7c5478a2549d, argentina--S8b1ec840b165, argentina--Sef4465db9682, argentina--S596d8b07b482, argentina--S1c0bc9d4f91e.