Skip to observatory content

Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

Amberes — Rural communal commissioner

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Argentina · Amberes / Tucumán / Monteros · other · Rural communal commissionerAR-TU-V-AMBERES

Read the complete original research briefing

Election called for 9 May 2027 by decree 1688/14, amended 1718/14. Actual intervening replacements and current officeholders still require independent review.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
Amberes / Tucumán / Monteros
Next election
2027-05-09
Linked upcoming event
next-27d68c5f7ca47c31aea0b1e8
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-05-09 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-06-11

unknown · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • TUCUMAN PARA LA VICTORIA34.8%
  • CORRIENTE POPULAR32.7%
  • FRENTE DE TODOS POR TUCUMAN27.5%
  • PARTIDO CAMBIA TUCUMAN CT3.6%
  • TUCUMAN INNOVADOR1.4%
Results for event-ba9bade6de43e96ca384bc5e
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
TUCUMAN PARA LA VICTORIA821argentina/Sa6cb5bf5920a/202334134.8%UnknownRecorded
CORRIENTE POPULAR149argentina/Sa6cb5bf5920a/202332032.7%UnknownRecorded
FRENTE DE TODOS POR TUCUMAN830argentina/Sa6cb5bf5920a/202326927.5%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO CAMBIA TUCUMAN CT966argentina/Sa6cb5bf5920a/2023353.6%UnknownRecorded
TUCUMAN INNOVADOR493argentina/Sa6cb5bf5920a/2023141.4%UnknownRecorded

2019-06-09

unknown · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • CORRIENTE POPULAR38.9%
  • FRENTE JUSTICIALISTA POR TUCUMAN35.0%
  • ACCION REGIONAL11.4%
  • PARTIDO PROPUESTA POPULAR6.1%
  • HACEMOS TUCUMAN4.8%
  • VAMOS TUCUMAN2.0%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE AFIRMACION POPULAR (M.A.P)1.8%
  • PARTIDO POR LA JUSTICIA SOCIAL0.1%
Results for event-b0c91090f6d09c37f5003d7c
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
CORRIENTE POPULAR149argentina/S2b3a46cc3823/201935938.9%UnknownRecorded
FRENTE JUSTICIALISTA POR TUCUMAN811argentina/S2b3a46cc3823/201932335%UnknownRecorded
ACCION REGIONAL3argentina/S2b3a46cc3823/201910511.4%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO PROPUESTA POPULAR995argentina/S2b3a46cc3823/2019566.1%UnknownRecorded
HACEMOS TUCUMAN812argentina/S2b3a46cc3823/2019444.8%UnknownRecorded
VAMOS TUCUMAN813argentina/S2b3a46cc3823/2019182%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO DE AFIRMACION POPULAR (M.A.P)112argentina/S2b3a46cc3823/2019171.8%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO POR LA JUSTICIA SOCIAL808argentina/S2b3a46cc3823/201910.1%UnknownRecorded

2015-08-23

unknown · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • ALIANZA FRENTE PARA LA VICTORIA29.3%
  • CORRIENTE POPULAR23.4%
  • ACCION REGIONAL23.0%
  • PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES16.2%
  • TUCUMAN PARA TODOS3.1%
  • PARTIDO DE LA JUSTICIA Y LA VICTORIA2.7%
  • TUCUMAN INNOVADOR2.2%
  • MOVIMIENTO INDEPENDIENTE JUSTICIA Y DIGNIDAD (MIJD0.1%
  • MOVIMIENTO POPULAR Y FEDERAL0.0%
  • FRENTE ACUERDO PARA EL BICENTENARIO0.0%
Results for event-93d9f4813ff5c8d8427d17d8
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
ALIANZA FRENTE PARA LA VICTORIA482argentina/S31eb4e58cde2/201527229.3%UnknownRecorded
CORRIENTE POPULAR149argentina/S31eb4e58cde2/201521723.4%UnknownRecorded
ACCION REGIONAL3argentina/S31eb4e58cde2/201521323%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES4argentina/S31eb4e58cde2/201515016.2%UnknownRecorded
TUCUMAN PARA TODOS430argentina/S31eb4e58cde2/2015293.1%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO DE LA JUSTICIA Y LA VICTORIA110argentina/S31eb4e58cde2/2015252.7%UnknownRecorded
TUCUMAN INNOVADOR493argentina/S31eb4e58cde2/2015202.2%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO INDEPENDIENTE JUSTICIA Y DIGNIDAD (MIJD451argentina/S31eb4e58cde2/201510.1%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO POPULAR Y FEDERAL95argentina/S31eb4e58cde2/20150 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
FRENTE ACUERDO PARA EL BICENTENARIO490argentina/S31eb4e58cde2/20150 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

84.750–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=2.1450459652706897, oldest_gap=5.933117583603021, previous_gap=3.900325027085593

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Nine exact standalone party-name categories in the archived returns; accents normalized. Provincial alliances and renamed coalitions remain Other. A category records its published name, not a verified legal succession or inferred allocation of alliance votes. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA","UNION CIVICA RADICAL","PARTIDO SOCIALISTA","PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA","COALICION CIVICA - AFIRMACION PARA UNA REPUBLICA IGUALITARIA","GEN","PARTIDO OBRERO","PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES SOCIALISTAS","MOVIMIENTO SOCIALISTA DE LOS TRABAJADORES","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Nine exact standalone party-name categories in the archived returns; accents normalized. Provincial alliances and renamed coalitions remain Other. A category records its published name, not a verified legal succession or inferred allocation of alliance votes. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA","UNION CIVICA RADICAL","PARTIDO SOCIALISTA","PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA","COALICION CIVICA - AFIRMACION PARA UNA REPUBLICA IGUALITARIA","GEN","PARTIDO OBRERO","PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES SOCIALISTAS","MOVIMIENTO SOCIALISTA DE LOS TRABAJADORES","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Nine exact standalone party-name categories in the archived returns; accents normalized. Provincial alliances and renamed coalitions remain Other. A category records its published name, not a verified legal succession or inferred allocation of alliance votes. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA","UNION CIVICA RADICAL","PARTIDO SOCIALISTA","PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA","COALICION CIVICA - AFIRMACION PARA UNA REPUBLICA IGUALITARIA","GEN","PARTIDO OBRERO","PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES SOCIALISTAS","MOVIMIENTO SOCIALISTA DE LOS TRABAJADORES","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,null,null]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Election called for 9 May 2027 by decree 1688/14, amended 1718/14. Actual intervening replacements and current officeholders still require independent review. Missing older local results in several provincial datasets, full seat proclamations, intervened/replacement contests and dated coalition control. Many municipalities vote separately from provincial election day. Final 2027 calls remain subject to official publication. Ten Catamarca 2023 local returns now have primary provisional counts; final certification and older cycles are still missing. DINE 2015 download has no Catamarca local records. Entre Ríos final national consultation warns that foreign-voter tables are excluded. Neuquén final-file links returned access-denied responses; several older links point to private or defunct hosts.

  • other · open

    2019 locality result empty: {"issue": "2019 locality result empty", "name": "Distrito Tala-Sarandí", "code": "0079C"}

  • other · open

    Earlier same-election publication superseded: {"id": "AR-TU-D-OESTE", "year": 2019, "issue": "Earlier same-election publication superseded", "selected_publication": "2019-07-02", "discarded_publications": ["2019-06-15"]}

  • other · open

    Archive navigation year differs from date printed in source: {"file": "ar_formosa_2017_archivo_542.pdf", "issue": "Archive navigation year differs from date printed in source", "navigation_year": 2017, "source_date": "2019-06-16"}

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “Amberes — Rural communal commissioner.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/AR-TU-V-AMBERES. Sources: argentina--url-f759f9ee16da20d6abe9aba5, argentina--url-1c4ae6cc18897a34a8226f6b, argentina--url-06a608302bbcca5b9bfabdc5, argentina--url-7f54e823ce32269892d0b9db, argentina--Sa6cb5bf5920a, argentina--S8b1ec840b165, argentina--S2b3a46cc3823, argentina--S31eb4e58cde2, argentina--S1c0bc9d4f91e.