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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

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Juan Bautista Alberdi — Mayor

Original research briefing. Source qualifications and evidence gaps are retained; active scripts and styling have been removed for safe display.

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Juan Bautista Alberdi — Mayor
Latin America register

Argentina · Tucumán / Alberdi

Juan Bautista Alberdi — Mayor

All 24 provincial jurisdictions are screened; 3,440 current provincial/local or shared-ballot units are registered. Recovered archives now cover all provinces. All 804 previously inaccessible Córdoba tribunal tables are restored, adding local histories and replacing provincial secondary vote transcriptions. Several local tiers have inventories or winner-only evidence without three full returns. Corrientes and Santiago del Estero executive cycles outside the window are excluded. Partial chamber renewals, Santa Fe commune reform, conventions and replacements remain distinct. Older local votes, selected certificates and 2027 office calls remain incomplete. Ten 2023 Catamarca local returns are recovered from DINE provisional table data through exact single-municipality department bridges; they remain excluded from complete-cycle metrics pending final-tally reconciliation.

Election expectation2027-05-09
Imported event records3
Usable vote comparison cycles3 of 3
Seat comparison cycles0 of 3

Historical competition

Competitiveness index for a verified actual-event sequence withheld. Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete.

Provisional imported-series CI: 20.9/100. This uses the three displayed comparison cycles and retains the open event/boundary audit. It does not confirm the latest three actual completed elections.

Current government and control: Unverified. Local government-risk forecast: unassessed.

National polling context: National presidential approval; context for subnational races — AtlasIntel / Bloomberg; fieldwork 2026-07-30 to 2026-08-03. Sample 1,120; reported margin of error ±3.00 percentage points. Earlier comparison wave; named officeholder and question wording retained. Poll report

National polling context: National presidential approval; context for subnational races — AtlasIntel / Bloomberg; fieldwork 2026-08-30 to 2026-09-03. Sample 2,193; reported margin of error ±2.00 percentage points. Approval rose 1.0 percentage point while disapproval fell 4.4 points; approval movement is smaller than the combined reported survey uncertainty. The negative approval balance remains a national headwind for Milei-aligned candidates, conditional on local alliance and incumbent identity. Poll report

Election called for 9 May 2027 by decree 1688/14, amended 1718/14. Actual intervening replacements and current officeholders still require independent review.

Registry and evidence links: Source 1, Source 2, Source 3, Source 4

Electoral event evidence

Separate source records can belong to the same election cycle. Recounts, runoffs and void returns do not create additional cycles.

2023-06-11 · Election record

Coverage: Complete official final vote vector with final-closure evidence

Basis: Exact affirmative votes. Source percentages use all ballots including blank/null; those percentages are preserved separately, and comparison shares are recomputed from affirmative votes.

Party or listCandidateVotes or marksVote shareSeats
FRENTE DE TODOS POR TUCUMAN8,96348.52%—
TUCUMAN PARA LA VICTORIA5,22428.28%—
FRENTE "JUNTOS POR EL CAMBIO"2,54713.79%—
ACCION REGIONAL1,0045.44%—
PROYECTO TUCUMAN4292.32%—
RESTAURACION SOCIAL1740.94%—
FUERZA REPUBLICANA710.38%—
FRENTE DE IZQUIERDA Y DE TRABAJADORES - UNIDAD440.24%—
MOVIMIENTO LIBRES DEL SUR150.08%—

Result source · PDF pages 1

2019-06-09 · Election record

Coverage: Complete official final vote vector with final-closure evidence

Basis: Exact affirmative votes. Source percentages use all ballots including blank/null; those percentages are preserved separately, and comparison shares are recomputed from affirmative votes.

Party or listCandidateVotes or marksVote shareSeats
FRENTE JUSTICIALISTA POR TUCUMAN7,47143.04%—
ACCION REGIONAL5,90634.02%—
VAMOS TUCUMAN2,02211.65%—
EVOLUCION PARA LA DEMOCRACIA SOCIAL7684.42%—
CORRIENTE POPULAR6313.64%—
HACEMOS TUCUMAN2621.51%—
FUERZA REPUBLICANA1690.97%—
PARTIDO PROYECTO POPULAR1160.67%—
MOVIMIENTO IZQUIERDA JUVENTUD DIGNIDAD130.07%—

Result source · PDF pages 1

2015-08-23 · Election record

Coverage: Complete official final vote vector with final-closure evidence

Basis: Exact affirmative votes. Source percentages use all ballots including blank/null; those percentages are preserved separately, and comparison shares are recomputed from affirmative votes.

Party or listCandidateVotes or marksVote shareSeats
ALIANZA FRENTE PARA LA VICTORIA5,08631.64%—
PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES3,53321.98%—
ACCION REGIONAL3,47021.59%—
CORRIENTE POPULAR1,70410.60%—
FRENTE ACUERDO PARA EL BICENTENARIO7334.56%—
TUCUMAN PARA TODOS5863.65%—
PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA4422.75%—
MOVIMIENTO POPULAR Y FEDERAL2361.47%—
FUERZA REPUBLICANA1360.85%—
ALIANZA ALTERNATIVA POPULAR780.49%—
ENCUENTRO POR LA RENOVACION (EX TODOS POR TUC)690.43%—

Result source · PDF pages 1

Snapshot 13 September 2026. Fixed election window 8 September 2026 to 8 March 2028. Record AR-TU-M-JUANBAUTISTAALBERDI.