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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

Tucumán — Governor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Argentina · Tucumán / Tucumán · regional · GovernorAR-TU-G

Read the complete original research briefing

Election called for 9 May 2027 by decree 1688/14, amended 1718/14. Actual intervening replacements and current officeholders still require independent review.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
Tucumán / Tucumán
Next election
2027-05-09
Linked upcoming event
next-49c30af990acfa5bc360cafd
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-05-09 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-06-11

unknown · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • FRENTE DE TODOS POR TUCUMAN58.0%
  • FRENTE "JUNTOS POR EL CAMBIO"35.1%
  • FUERZA REPUBLICANA4.2%
  • MOVIMIENTO LIBRES DEL SUR1.6%
  • FRENTE DE IZQUIERDA Y DE TRABAJADORES - UNIDAD0.7%
  • POLITICA OBRERA0.3%
  • NOS UNE EL CAMBIO0.1%
  • CAMINO A LA LEALTAD0.0%
Results for event-629eba9e42cf98cecc6b1b06
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
FRENTE DE TODOS POR TUCUMAN830argentina/S6638978fba6f/2023612,86258%UnknownRecorded
FRENTE "JUNTOS POR EL CAMBIO"831argentina/S6638978fba6f/2023371,03435.1%UnknownRecorded
FUERZA REPUBLICANA901argentina/S6638978fba6f/202344,0614.2%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO LIBRES DEL SUR929argentina/S6638978fba6f/202317,4411.6%UnknownRecorded
FRENTE DE IZQUIERDA Y DE TRABAJADORES - UNIDAD832argentina/S6638978fba6f/20237,2720.7%UnknownRecorded
POLITICA OBRERA829argentina/S6638978fba6f/20233,0520.3%UnknownRecorded
NOS UNE EL CAMBIO219argentina/S6638978fba6f/20231,3170.1%UnknownRecorded
CAMINO A LA LEALTAD210argentina/S6638978fba6f/20233210%UnknownRecorded

2019-06-09

unknown · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • FRENTE JUSTICIALISTA POR TUCUMAN51.9%
  • VAMOS TUCUMAN20.4%
  • FUERZA REPUBLICANA13.8%
  • HACEMOS TUCUMAN11.6%
  • EVOLUCION PARA LA DEMOCRACIA SOCIAL1.1%
  • FRENTE DE IZQUIERDA Y DE LOS TRABAJADORES0.9%
  • MOVIMIENTO SOCIALISTA DE LOS TRABAJADORES0.2%
  • MOVIMIENTO IZQUIERDA JUVENTUD DIGNIDAD0.1%
  • NOS UNE EL CAMBIO0.0%
Results for event-1b3977fb645bb0ab39912eab
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
FRENTE JUSTICIALISTA POR TUCUMAN811argentina/Sabfc9abfd15b/2019512,85351.9%UnknownRecorded
VAMOS TUCUMAN813argentina/Sabfc9abfd15b/2019201,83120.4%UnknownRecorded
FUERZA REPUBLICANA901argentina/Sabfc9abfd15b/2019136,31313.8%UnknownRecorded
HACEMOS TUCUMAN812argentina/Sabfc9abfd15b/2019114,95611.6%UnknownRecorded
EVOLUCION PARA LA DEMOCRACIA SOCIAL817argentina/Sabfc9abfd15b/201910,6441.1%UnknownRecorded
FRENTE DE IZQUIERDA Y DE LOS TRABAJADORES816argentina/Sabfc9abfd15b/20199,0150.9%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO SOCIALISTA DE LOS TRABAJADORES173argentina/Sabfc9abfd15b/20192,1990.2%UnknownRecorded
MOVIMIENTO IZQUIERDA JUVENTUD DIGNIDAD806argentina/Sabfc9abfd15b/20199850.1%UnknownRecorded
NOS UNE EL CAMBIO219argentina/Sabfc9abfd15b/20191030%UnknownRecorded

2015-08-23

unknown · Legal certification not established · unknown

  • ALIANZA FRENTE PARA LA VICTORIA53.7%
  • FRENTE ACUERDO PARA EL BICENTENARIO41.5%
  • FUERZA REPUBLICANA3.3%
  • FRENTE DE IZQUIERDA Y DE LOS TRABAJADORES0.6%
  • ALIANZA ALTERNATIVA POPULAR0.5%
  • LABORISTA DE LA INDEPENDENCIA0.3%
  • UNION Y PROGRESO SOCIAL0.2%
Results for event-35969ed709fabbb5d1ad5966
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
ALIANZA FRENTE PARA LA VICTORIA482argentina/Sf437840cf760/2015491,95153.7%UnknownRecorded
FRENTE ACUERDO PARA EL BICENTENARIO490argentina/Sf437840cf760/2015380,41841.5%UnknownRecorded
FUERZA REPUBLICANA901argentina/Sf437840cf760/201529,9043.3%UnknownRecorded
FRENTE DE IZQUIERDA Y DE LOS TRABAJADORES496argentina/Sf437840cf760/20155,6320.6%UnknownRecorded
ALIANZA ALTERNATIVA POPULAR491argentina/Sf437840cf760/20154,1900.5%UnknownRecorded
LABORISTA DE LA INDEPENDENCIA290argentina/Sf437840cf760/20152,5140.3%UnknownRecorded
UNION Y PROGRESO SOCIAL446argentina/Sf437840cf760/20151,8980.2%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

0 (recorded zero)0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=22.870923810244385, oldest_gap=12.169356044198246, previous_gap=31.451341340217756

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Nine exact standalone party-name categories in the archived returns; accents normalized. Provincial alliances and renamed coalitions remain Other. A category records its published name, not a verified legal succession or inferred allocation of alliance votes. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA","UNION CIVICA RADICAL","PARTIDO SOCIALISTA","PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA","COALICION CIVICA - AFIRMACION PARA UNA REPUBLICA IGUALITARIA","GEN","PARTIDO OBRERO","PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES SOCIALISTAS","MOVIMIENTO SOCIALISTA DE LOS TRABAJADORES","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,[0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.222368512861273,99.77763148713872],null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Nine exact standalone party-name categories in the archived returns; accents normalized. Provincial alliances and renamed coalitions remain Other. A category records its published name, not a verified legal succession or inferred allocation of alliance votes. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA","UNION CIVICA RADICAL","PARTIDO SOCIALISTA","PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA","COALICION CIVICA - AFIRMACION PARA UNA REPUBLICA IGUALITARIA","GEN","PARTIDO OBRERO","PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES SOCIALISTAS","MOVIMIENTO SOCIALISTA DE LOS TRABAJADORES","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,[0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.222368512861273,99.77763148713872],null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Nine exact standalone party-name categories in the archived returns; accents normalized. Provincial alliances and renamed coalitions remain Other. A category records its published name, not a verified legal succession or inferred allocation of alliance votes. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA","UNION CIVICA RADICAL","PARTIDO SOCIALISTA","PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA","COALICION CIVICA - AFIRMACION PARA UNA REPUBLICA IGUALITARIA","GEN","PARTIDO OBRERO","PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES SOCIALISTAS","MOVIMIENTO SOCIALISTA DE LOS TRABAJADORES","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,[0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.222368512861273,99.77763148713872],null]

Source-reported control: Osvaldo Jaldo (Partido Justicialista); Secondary current-directory snapshot; primary verification pending; retrieved 12 Sep 2026; Directory coalition: Independencia. Secondary current-directory snapshot; primary verification pending

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Election called for 9 May 2027 by decree 1688/14, amended 1718/14. Actual intervening replacements and current officeholders still require independent review. Missing older local results in several provincial datasets, full seat proclamations, intervened/replacement contests and dated coalition control. Many municipalities vote separately from provincial election day. Final 2027 calls remain subject to official publication. Ten Catamarca 2023 local returns now have primary provisional counts; final certification and older cycles are still missing. DINE 2015 download has no Catamarca local records. Entre Ríos final national consultation warns that foreign-voter tables are excluded. Neuquén final-file links returned access-denied responses; several older links point to private or defunct hosts.

  • other · open

    Earlier same-election publication superseded: {"id": "AR-TU-G", "year": 2019, "issue": "Earlier same-election publication superseded", "selected_publication": "2019-07-02", "discarded_publications": ["2019-06-25"]}

  • other · open

    2019 locality result empty: {"issue": "2019 locality result empty", "name": "Distrito Tala-Sarandí", "code": "0079C"}

  • other · open

    Earlier same-election publication superseded: {"id": "AR-TU-D-OESTE", "year": 2019, "issue": "Earlier same-election publication superseded", "selected_publication": "2019-07-02", "discarded_publications": ["2019-06-15"]}

  • other · open

    Archive navigation year differs from date printed in source: {"file": "ar_formosa_2017_archivo_542.pdf", "issue": "Archive navigation year differs from date printed in source", "navigation_year": 2017, "source_date": "2019-06-16"}

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “Tucumán — Governor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/AR-TU-G. Sources: argentina--url-d3f5be52cb07a9c7ed216072, argentina--url-a0d2206cf3c00afc6c6d3cd3, argentina--url-a10105c57d40f15d895ac794, argentina--url-7f54e823ce32269892d0b9db, argentina--S6638978fba6f, argentina--S8b1ec840b165, argentina--Sabfc9abfd15b, argentina--Sf437840cf760, argentina--S1c0bc9d4f91e.