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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

LAGUNA PAIVA — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Argentina · LAGUNA PAIVA / Santa Fe — LA CAPITAL · municipal · MayorAR-SF-M-LACAPITAL-LAGUNAPAIVA

Read the complete original research briefing

Formal 2027 polling date is pending. Law 14,436 governs the 2027 transition. Local choices about council structure can remain open until 30 November 2026. Official votes and elected rosters are retained. Council counts describe elected cohorts. Current governing membership and later replacements require verification.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
LAGUNA PAIVA / Santa Fe — LA CAPITAL
Next election
2027; formal call pending
Linked upcoming event
next-9d73067c52fe9099d9a67958
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027; formal call pending is expected (not formally called). Year precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-09-10

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • FRENTE PARTIDARIO PAIVENSE46.0%
  • JUNTOS AVANCEMOS44.5%
  • UNIDOS PARA CAMBIAR SANTA FE7.6%
  • IGUALDAD Y PARTICIPACION1.9%
Results for event-a4bc0e450b995a89775a1513
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
FRENTE PARTIDARIO PAIVENSE · COTTERLI ELVIO OMAR10argentina/Sd5731ccd0603/20233,60646%1Recorded
JUNTOS AVANCEMOS83argentina/Sd5731ccd0603/20233,49244.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNIDOS PARA CAMBIAR SANTA FE102argentina/Sd5731ccd0603/20235937.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
IGUALDAD Y PARTICIPACION67argentina/Sd5731ccd0603/20231501.9%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-06-16

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • FRENTE PROGRESISTA, CIVICO Y SOCIAL36.7%
  • UNION VECINAL DEMOCRATICA30.3%
  • JUNTOS PODEMOS26.8%
  • JUNTOS6.2%
Results for event-39a2e79c2033fe6a726f5d11
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
FRENTE PROGRESISTA, CIVICO Y SOCIAL · COTTERLI ELVIO OMAR16argentina/Sf3a1f8fa36ef/20192,84736.7%1Recorded
UNION VECINAL DEMOCRATICA70argentina/Sf3a1f8fa36ef/20192,35430.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
JUNTOS PODEMOS55argentina/Sf3a1f8fa36ef/20192,08226.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
JUNTOS40argentina/Sf3a1f8fa36ef/20194846.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2015-06-14

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • UNION VECINAL DEMOCRATICA47.8%
  • FRENTE JUSTICIALISTA PARA LA VICTORIA41.4%
  • UNION PRO FEDERAL7.2%
  • IDENTIDAD PAIVENSE3.6%
Results for event-e0f61316662a98db92b3d196
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
UNION VECINAL DEMOCRATICA34argentina/S1d81268d0ad9/20153,57547.8%1Recorded
FRENTE JUSTICIALISTA PARA LA VICTORIA4argentina/S1d81268d0ad9/20153,09941.4%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNION PRO FEDERAL5argentina/S1d81268d0ad9/20155387.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
IDENTIDAD PAIVENSE12argentina/S1d81268d0ad9/20152673.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

82.940–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=1.4538961867108782, oldest_gap=6.36448723091322, previous_gap=6.347367065791168

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Nine exact standalone party-name categories in the archived returns; accents normalized. Provincial alliances and renamed coalitions remain Other. A category records its published name, not a verified legal succession or inferred allocation of alliance votes. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA","UNION CIVICA RADICAL","PARTIDO SOCIALISTA","PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA","COALICION CIVICA - AFIRMACION PARA UNA REPUBLICA IGUALITARIA","GEN","PARTIDO OBRERO","PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES SOCIALISTAS","MOVIMIENTO SOCIALISTA DE LOS TRABAJADORES","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Nine exact standalone party-name categories in the archived returns; accents normalized. Provincial alliances and renamed coalitions remain Other. A category records its published name, not a verified legal succession or inferred allocation of alliance votes. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA","UNION CIVICA RADICAL","PARTIDO SOCIALISTA","PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA","COALICION CIVICA - AFIRMACION PARA UNA REPUBLICA IGUALITARIA","GEN","PARTIDO OBRERO","PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES SOCIALISTAS","MOVIMIENTO SOCIALISTA DE LOS TRABAJADORES","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Nine exact standalone party-name categories in the archived returns; accents normalized. Provincial alliances and renamed coalitions remain Other. A category records its published name, not a verified legal succession or inferred allocation of alliance votes. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA","UNION CIVICA RADICAL","PARTIDO SOCIALISTA","PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA","COALICION CIVICA - AFIRMACION PARA UNA REPUBLICA IGUALITARIA","GEN","PARTIDO OBRERO","PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES SOCIALISTAS","MOVIMIENTO SOCIALISTA DE LOS TRABAJADORES","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,null,null]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

Officeholder observations
PersonRoleAs ofAffiliationPrincipal?
COTTERLI ELVIO OMARINTENDENTE2019FRENTE PROGRESISTA CIVICO Y SOCIALunknown
COTTERLI ELVIO OMARIntendente/a2023FRENTE PARTIDARIO PAIVENSEunknown

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Formal 2027 polling date is pending. Law 14,436 governs the 2027 transition. Local choices about council structure can remain open until 30 November 2026. Official votes and elected rosters are retained. Council counts describe elected cohorts. Current governing membership and later replacements require verification. Missing older local results in several provincial datasets, full seat proclamations, intervened/replacement contests and dated coalition control. Many municipalities vote separately from provincial election day. Final 2027 calls remain subject to official publication. Ten Catamarca 2023 local returns now have primary provisional counts; final certification and older cycles are still missing. DINE 2015 download has no Catamarca local records. Entre Ríos final national consultation warns that foreign-voter tables are excluded. Neuquén final-file links returned access-denied responses; several older links point to private or defunct hosts.

  • other · open

    2019 locality result empty: {"issue": "2019 locality result empty", "name": "Distrito Tala-Sarandí", "code": "0079C"}

  • other · open

    Earlier same-election publication superseded: {"id": "AR-TU-D-OESTE", "year": 2019, "issue": "Earlier same-election publication superseded", "selected_publication": "2019-07-02", "discarded_publications": ["2019-06-15"]}

  • other · open

    Archive navigation year differs from date printed in source: {"file": "ar_formosa_2017_archivo_542.pdf", "issue": "Archive navigation year differs from date printed in source", "navigation_year": 2017, "source_date": "2019-06-16"}

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “LAGUNA PAIVA — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/AR-SF-M-LACAPITAL-LAGUNAPAIVA. Sources: argentina--url-c59a56523176464d6aa95c66, argentina--url-5f87e101c11beb3c13ee782c, argentina--url-004f9429bd83adc5264c7867, argentina--url-d7161d241341725861e1307d, argentina--Sd5731ccd0603, argentina--S6c0f4226a3e8, argentina--Sf3a1f8fa36ef, argentina--S492e928e5e7e, argentina--S1d81268d0ad9.