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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

TOSTADO — Mayor

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Argentina · TOSTADO / Santa Fe — 9 DE JULIO · municipal · MayorAR-SF-M-9DEJULIO-TOSTADO

Read the complete original research briefing

Formal 2027 polling date is pending. Law 14,436 governs the 2027 transition. Local choices about council structure can remain open until 30 November 2026. Official votes and elected rosters are retained. Council counts describe elected cohorts. Current governing membership and later replacements require verification.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
TOSTADO / Santa Fe — 9 DE JULIO
Next election
2027; formal call pending
Linked upcoming event
next-01e4b579163d2906f3dd6671
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027; formal call pending is expected (not formally called). Year precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2023-09-10

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • UNITE POR LA LIBERTAD Y LA DIGNIDAD50.9%
  • JUNTOS AVANCEMOS42.8%
  • UNIDOS PARA CAMBIAR SANTA FE4.6%
  • COALICION CIVICA - ARI1.6%
Results for event-cde2bc22e7079712a540027b
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
UNITE POR LA LIBERTAD Y LA DIGNIDAD · CAGLIERO ANDRES65argentina/Sd5731ccd0603/20235,36850.9%1Recorded
JUNTOS AVANCEMOS83argentina/Sd5731ccd0603/20234,51542.8%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
UNIDOS PARA CAMBIAR SANTA FE102argentina/Sd5731ccd0603/20234884.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
COALICION CIVICA - ARI71argentina/Sd5731ccd0603/20231731.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2019-06-16

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • JUNTOS58.0%
  • CAMBIEMOS18.5%
  • JUNTOS POR TOSTADO17.3%
  • FRENTE PROGRESISTA, CIVICO Y SOCIAL4.0%
  • ALTERNATIVA FEDERAL2.1%
Results for event-387b999308a43b386e795d2e
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
JUNTOS · MUALEM ENRIQUE ALFREDO40argentina/Sf3a1f8fa36ef/20195,25258%1Recorded
CAMBIEMOS44argentina/Sf3a1f8fa36ef/20191,67718.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
JUNTOS POR TOSTADO86argentina/Sf3a1f8fa36ef/20191,56617.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
FRENTE PROGRESISTA, CIVICO Y SOCIAL16argentina/Sf3a1f8fa36ef/20193664%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
ALTERNATIVA FEDERAL58argentina/Sf3a1f8fa36ef/20191942.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2015-06-14

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • FRENTE JUSTICIALISTA PARA LA VICTORIA48.6%
  • PARTIDO UNION CELESTE Y BLANCO39.3%
  • FRENTE PROGRESISTA CIVICO Y SOCIAL12.2%
Results for event-3a78fc1110425b1244a3af38
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
FRENTE JUSTICIALISTA PARA LA VICTORIA4argentina/S1d81268d0ad9/20154,53548.6%1Recorded
PARTIDO UNION CELESTE Y BLANCO9argentina/S1d81268d0ad9/20153,66339.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
FRENTE PROGRESISTA CIVICO Y SOCIAL6argentina/S1d81268d0ad9/20151,13412.2%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

11.840–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=8.089908952959028, oldest_gap=9.344192027432491, previous_gap=39.480949751518494

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Nine exact standalone party-name categories in the archived returns; accents normalized. Provincial alliances and renamed coalitions remain Other. A category records its published name, not a verified legal succession or inferred allocation of alliance votes. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA","UNION CIVICA RADICAL","PARTIDO SOCIALISTA","PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA","COALICION CIVICA - AFIRMACION PARA UNA REPUBLICA IGUALITARIA","GEN","PARTIDO OBRERO","PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES SOCIALISTAS","MOVIMIENTO SOCIALISTA DE LOS TRABAJADORES","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Nine exact standalone party-name categories in the archived returns; accents normalized. Provincial alliances and renamed coalitions remain Other. A category records its published name, not a verified legal succession or inferred allocation of alliance votes. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA","UNION CIVICA RADICAL","PARTIDO SOCIALISTA","PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA","COALICION CIVICA - AFIRMACION PARA UNA REPUBLICA IGUALITARIA","GEN","PARTIDO OBRERO","PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES SOCIALISTAS","MOVIMIENTO SOCIALISTA DE LOS TRABAJADORES","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Nine exact standalone party-name categories in the archived returns; accents normalized. Provincial alliances and renamed coalitions remain Other. A category records its published name, not a verified legal succession or inferred allocation of alliance votes. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA","UNION CIVICA RADICAL","PARTIDO SOCIALISTA","PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA","COALICION CIVICA - AFIRMACION PARA UNA REPUBLICA IGUALITARIA","GEN","PARTIDO OBRERO","PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES SOCIALISTAS","MOVIMIENTO SOCIALISTA DE LOS TRABAJADORES","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,null,null]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

Officeholder observations
PersonRoleAs ofAffiliationPrincipal?
MUALEM ENRIQUE ALFREDOINTENDENTE2019JUNTOSunknown
CAGLIERO ANDRESIntendente/a2023UNITE POR LA LIBERTAD Y LA DIGNIDADunknown

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Formal 2027 polling date is pending. Law 14,436 governs the 2027 transition. Local choices about council structure can remain open until 30 November 2026. Official votes and elected rosters are retained. Council counts describe elected cohorts. Current governing membership and later replacements require verification. Missing older local results in several provincial datasets, full seat proclamations, intervened/replacement contests and dated coalition control. Many municipalities vote separately from provincial election day. Final 2027 calls remain subject to official publication. Ten Catamarca 2023 local returns now have primary provisional counts; final certification and older cycles are still missing. DINE 2015 download has no Catamarca local records. Entre Ríos final national consultation warns that foreign-voter tables are excluded. Neuquén final-file links returned access-denied responses; several older links point to private or defunct hosts.

  • other · open

    2019 locality result empty: {"issue": "2019 locality result empty", "name": "Distrito Tala-Sarandí", "code": "0079C"}

  • other · open

    Earlier same-election publication superseded: {"id": "AR-TU-D-OESTE", "year": 2019, "issue": "Earlier same-election publication superseded", "selected_publication": "2019-07-02", "discarded_publications": ["2019-06-15"]}

  • other · open

    Archive navigation year differs from date printed in source: {"file": "ar_formosa_2017_archivo_542.pdf", "issue": "Archive navigation year differs from date printed in source", "navigation_year": 2017, "source_date": "2019-06-16"}

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “TOSTADO — Mayor.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/AR-SF-M-9DEJULIO-TOSTADO. Sources: argentina--url-c59a56523176464d6aa95c66, argentina--url-5f87e101c11beb3c13ee782c, argentina--url-004f9429bd83adc5264c7867, argentina--url-d7161d241341725861e1307d, argentina--Sd5731ccd0603, argentina--S6c0f4226a3e8, argentina--Sf3a1f8fa36ef, argentina--S492e928e5e7e, argentina--S1d81268d0ad9.