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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

GDERO. BAIGORRIA — Municipal council / communal commission

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Argentina · GDERO. BAIGORRIA / Santa Fe — ROSARIO · municipal · Municipal council / communal commissionAR-SF-C-ROSARIO-GDEROBAIGORRIA

Read the complete original research briefing

Formal 2027 polling date is pending. Law 14,436 governs the 2027 transition. Local choices about council structure can remain open until 30 November 2026. Official votes and elected rosters are retained. Council counts describe elected cohorts. Current governing membership and later replacements require verification.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
GDERO. BAIGORRIA / Santa Fe — ROSARIO
Next election
2027; formal call pending
Linked upcoming event
next-f6dbe6bebbdb23cecbc4fdf3
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027; formal call pending is expected (not formally called). Year precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2025-06-29

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • SIN MIEDO29.3%
  • LA LIBERTAD AVANZA25.0%
  • MÁS PARA SANTA FE24.9%
  • UNIDOS PARA CAMBIAR SANTA FE10.7%
  • POLITICA ABIERTA PARA LA INTEGRIDAD SOCI10.0%
Results for event-3244cca766119c07dab3ddda
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
SIN MIEDO13argentina/Sa9a75bad2b02/20255,56729.3%1Recorded
LA LIBERTAD AVANZA69argentina/Sa9a75bad2b02/20254,75125%1Recorded
MÁS PARA SANTA FE8argentina/Sa9a75bad2b02/20254,73424.9%1Recorded
UNIDOS PARA CAMBIAR SANTA FE78argentina/Sa9a75bad2b02/20252,03110.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
POLITICA ABIERTA PARA LA INTEGRIDAD SOCI68argentina/Sa9a75bad2b02/20251,89110%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2023-09-10

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • JUNTOS AVANCEMOS32.0%
  • INSTRUMENTO ELECTORAL POR LA UNIDAD POPU29.5%
  • UNIDOS PARA CAMBIAR SANTA FE19.6%
  • MOVIMIENTO DE ARTICULACION POPULAR8.3%
  • VIVA LA LIBERTAD7.5%
  • FRENTE DE IZQUIERDA Y DE TRABAJADORES -3.1%
Results for event-99c46ff36d9337b4b06ba21b
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
JUNTOS AVANCEMOS83argentina/Sd5731ccd0603/20237,65732%2Recorded
INSTRUMENTO ELECTORAL POR LA UNIDAD POPU37argentina/Sd5731ccd0603/20237,07429.5%1Recorded
UNIDOS PARA CAMBIAR SANTA FE102argentina/Sd5731ccd0603/20234,70219.6%1Recorded
MOVIMIENTO DE ARTICULACION POPULAR72argentina/Sd5731ccd0603/20231,9958.3%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
VIVA LA LIBERTAD38argentina/Sd5731ccd0603/20231,7987.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
FRENTE DE IZQUIERDA Y DE TRABAJADORES -95argentina/Sd5731ccd0603/20237373.1%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2021-11-14

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • MEJOR30.9%
  • FRENTE DE TODOS24.5%
  • JUNTOS POR EL CAMBIO20.8%
  • FRENTE PROGRESISTA CÍVICO Y SOCIAL15.7%
  • FRENTE DE IZQUIERDA Y DE TRABAJADORES4.6%
  • FRENTE FEDERAL VIDA Y FAMILIA3.5%
Results for event-d7048950a00960392fa3dc51
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MEJOR111argentina/S7909d0dce753/20217,09630.9%1Recorded
FRENTE DE TODOS31argentina/S7909d0dce753/20215,63424.5%1Recorded
JUNTOS POR EL CAMBIO105argentina/S7909d0dce753/20214,76820.8%1Recorded
FRENTE PROGRESISTA CÍVICO Y SOCIAL18argentina/S7909d0dce753/20213,61215.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
FRENTE DE IZQUIERDA Y DE TRABAJADORES17argentina/S7909d0dce753/20211,0594.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
FRENTE FEDERAL VIDA Y FAMILIA25argentina/S7909d0dce753/20218063.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

Other events (not selected cycles)

  • 2017-10-22 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2019-06-16 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2015-06-14 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

80.270–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=4.300621903657635, oldest_gap=6.363438520130579, previous_gap=2.4329174143471164

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Nine exact standalone party-name categories in the archived returns; accents normalized. Provincial alliances and renamed coalitions remain Other. A category records its published name, not a verified legal succession or inferred allocation of alliance votes. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA","UNION CIVICA RADICAL","PARTIDO SOCIALISTA","PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA","COALICION CIVICA - AFIRMACION PARA UNA REPUBLICA IGUALITARIA","GEN","PARTIDO OBRERO","PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES SOCIALISTAS","MOVIMIENTO SOCIALISTA DE LOS TRABAJADORES","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Nine exact standalone party-name categories in the archived returns; accents normalized. Provincial alliances and renamed coalitions remain Other. A category records its published name, not a verified legal succession or inferred allocation of alliance votes. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA","UNION CIVICA RADICAL","PARTIDO SOCIALISTA","PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA","COALICION CIVICA - AFIRMACION PARA UNA REPUBLICA IGUALITARIA","GEN","PARTIDO OBRERO","PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES SOCIALISTAS","MOVIMIENTO SOCIALISTA DE LOS TRABAJADORES","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Nine exact standalone party-name categories in the archived returns; accents normalized. Provincial alliances and renamed coalitions remain Other. A category records its published name, not a verified legal succession or inferred allocation of alliance votes. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA","UNION CIVICA RADICAL","PARTIDO SOCIALISTA","PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA","COALICION CIVICA - AFIRMACION PARA UNA REPUBLICA IGUALITARIA","GEN","PARTIDO OBRERO","PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES SOCIALISTAS","MOVIMIENTO SOCIALISTA DE LOS TRABAJADORES","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,null,null]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

Officeholder observations
PersonRoleAs ofAffiliationPrincipal?
CATANIA SCIARDALACQUA IRMA BSource roster entry2015Unknownunknown
BORDON GRACIELA NOEMISource roster entry2015Unknownunknown
MAURELLI FAVIO SEBASTIANSource roster entry2015Unknownunknown
RIERA PABLO JOSESource roster entry2015Unknownunknown
GARCIA ANTONELLA NATACHASource roster entry2021Unknownunknown
ROSALES MARIO GUILLERMOSource roster entry2021Unknownunknown
MINETTI JAVIER ANTONIOSource roster entry2021Unknownunknown
ROSALES MARIO GUILLERMOCONCEJAL2017FRENTE JUSTICIALISTAunknown
MINETTI JAVIER ANTONIOCONCEJAL2017CAMBIEMOSunknown
DA PONTE ELDER GUILLERMOCONCEJAL2017FRENTE PROGRESISTA CIVICO Y SOCIALunknown
PLAYA ADRIAN CARLOSCONCEJAL2019JUNTOSunknown
FERRERO DATRI MAUROCONCEJAL2019JUNTOSunknown
BORDON GRACIELA NOEMICONCEJAL2019FRENTE PROGRESISTA CIVICO Y SOCIALunknown
MAURELLI FAVIO SEBASTIANCONCEJAL2019CREOunknown
ANNUNZIATA NATALIA LUCIAConcejal/a2023JUNTOS AVANCEMOSunknown
MILO ADRIAN ALBERTOConcejal/a2023INSTRUMENTO ELECTORAL POR LA UNIDAD POPUunknown
DA PONTE GISELA ALEJANDRAConcejal/a2023UNIDOS PARA CAMBIAR SANTA FEunknown
MAURELLI FAVIO SEBASTIANConcejal/a2023JUNTOS AVANCEMOSunknown
GARCIA ANTONELLA NATACHAConcejal/a2025SIN MIEDOunknown
FONTANA SANTIAGOConcejal/a2025LA LIBERTAD AVANZAunknown
TARTARELLI MARTINConcejal/a2025MÁS PARA SANTA FEunknown

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Formal 2027 polling date is pending. Law 14,436 governs the 2027 transition. Local choices about council structure can remain open until 30 November 2026. Official votes and elected rosters are retained. Council counts describe elected cohorts. Current governing membership and later replacements require verification. Missing older local results in several provincial datasets, full seat proclamations, intervened/replacement contests and dated coalition control. Many municipalities vote separately from provincial election day. Final 2027 calls remain subject to official publication. Ten Catamarca 2023 local returns now have primary provisional counts; final certification and older cycles are still missing. DINE 2015 download has no Catamarca local records. Entre Ríos final national consultation warns that foreign-voter tables are excluded. Neuquén final-file links returned access-denied responses; several older links point to private or defunct hosts.

  • other · open

    2019 locality result empty: {"issue": "2019 locality result empty", "name": "Distrito Tala-Sarandí", "code": "0079C"}

  • other · open

    Earlier same-election publication superseded: {"id": "AR-TU-D-OESTE", "year": 2019, "issue": "Earlier same-election publication superseded", "selected_publication": "2019-07-02", "discarded_publications": ["2019-06-15"]}

  • other · open

    Archive navigation year differs from date printed in source: {"file": "ar_formosa_2017_archivo_542.pdf", "issue": "Archive navigation year differs from date printed in source", "navigation_year": 2017, "source_date": "2019-06-16"}

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “GDERO. BAIGORRIA — Municipal council / communal commission.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/AR-SF-C-ROSARIO-GDEROBAIGORRIA. Sources: argentina--url-37c2f32beac05e8dc61453fe, argentina--url-c59a56523176464d6aa95c66, argentina--url-8d8b8d7b85a369b56478b16e, argentina--url-5f87e101c11beb3c13ee782c, argentina--url-5a55b3b32d7b3d501f49fde7, argentina--url-91c03bf4ec5aac38abbd607c, argentina--url-d7161d241341725861e1307d, argentina--Sa9a75bad2b02, argentina--S6cbb0ff8bc14, argentina--Sd5731ccd0603, argentina--S6c0f4226a3e8, argentina--S7909d0dce753, argentina--Sc8f92a3c1d94, argentina--Sa3b7b35e32ee, argentina--S492e928e5e7e, argentina--S425b76ef9089, argentina--Sf3a1f8fa36ef.