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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

ARROYO AGUIAR — Municipal mayor/commission joint ballot (2027 transition)

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Argentina · ARROYO AGUIAR / Santa Fe — LA CAPITAL · municipal · Municipal mayor/commission joint ballot (2027 transition)AR-SF-C-LACAPITAL-ARROYOAGUIAR

Read the complete original research briefing

Formal 2027 polling date is pending. Law 14,436 governs the 2027 transition. Local choices about council structure can remain open until 30 November 2026. Earlier communal commission returns are predecessor-institution comparisons; the new mayor/commission joint ballot is not an identical office. Official votes and elected rosters are retained. Council counts describe elected cohorts. Current governing membership and later replacements require verification.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
ARROYO AGUIAR / Santa Fe — LA CAPITAL
Next election
2027; formal call pending
Linked upcoming event
next-09e7e37777685b4a7d35f7bf
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027; formal call pending is expected (not formally called). Year precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2025-06-29

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • MÁS PARA SANTA FE53.7%
  • UNIDOS PARA CAMBIAR SANTA FE46.3%
Results for event-f9216619b6e15091450c5aa0
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MÁS PARA SANTA FE8argentina/Sa9a75bad2b02/202554953.7%2Recorded
UNIDOS PARA CAMBIAR SANTA FE78argentina/Sa9a75bad2b02/202547446.3%1Recorded

2023-09-10

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • JUNTOS AVANCEMOS61.9%
  • UNIDOS PARA CAMBIAR SANTA FE38.1%
Results for event-48e3cee7aaadcba90e58be39
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
JUNTOS AVANCEMOS83argentina/Sd5731ccd0603/202365161.9%2Recorded
UNIDOS PARA CAMBIAR SANTA FE102argentina/Sd5731ccd0603/202340138.1%1Recorded

2021-11-14

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • FRENTE DE TODOS55.9%
  • FRENTE PROGRESISTA CÍVICO Y SOCIAL34.0%
  • JUNTOS POR EL CAMBIO10.1%
Results for event-257dc494a994d4983e02e6d8
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
FRENTE DE TODOS31argentina/S84142ab28f16/202159555.9%UnknownRecorded
FRENTE PROGRESISTA CÍVICO Y SOCIAL18argentina/S84142ab28f16/202136234%UnknownRecorded
JUNTOS POR EL CAMBIO105argentina/S84142ab28f16/202110810.1%UnknownRecorded

Other events (not selected cycles)

  • 2017-10-22 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2019-06-16 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2015-06-14 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Withheld

Unknown0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Comparison unavailable · Formal 2027 polling date is pending. Law 14,436 governs the 2027 transition. Local choices about council structure can remain open until 30 November 2026. Earlier communal commission returns are predecessor-institution comparisons; the new mayor/commission joint ballot is not an identical office. Official votes and elected rosters are retained. Council counts describe elected cohorts. Current governing membership and later replacements require verification.

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=null, oldest_gap=null, previous_gap=null

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Nine exact standalone party-name categories in the archived returns; accents normalized. Provincial alliances and renamed coalitions remain Other. A category records its published name, not a verified legal succession or inferred allocation of alliance votes. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA","UNION CIVICA RADICAL","PARTIDO SOCIALISTA","PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA","COALICION CIVICA - AFIRMACION PARA UNA REPUBLICA IGUALITARIA","GEN","PARTIDO OBRERO","PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES SOCIALISTAS","MOVIMIENTO SOCIALISTA DE LOS TRABAJADORES","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Nine exact standalone party-name categories in the archived returns; accents normalized. Provincial alliances and renamed coalitions remain Other. A category records its published name, not a verified legal succession or inferred allocation of alliance votes. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA","UNION CIVICA RADICAL","PARTIDO SOCIALISTA","PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA","COALICION CIVICA - AFIRMACION PARA UNA REPUBLICA IGUALITARIA","GEN","PARTIDO OBRERO","PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES SOCIALISTAS","MOVIMIENTO SOCIALISTA DE LOS TRABAJADORES","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Nine exact standalone party-name categories in the archived returns; accents normalized. Provincial alliances and renamed coalitions remain Other. A category records its published name, not a verified legal succession or inferred allocation of alliance votes. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA","UNION CIVICA RADICAL","PARTIDO SOCIALISTA","PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA","COALICION CIVICA - AFIRMACION PARA UNA REPUBLICA IGUALITARIA","GEN","PARTIDO OBRERO","PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES SOCIALISTAS","MOVIMIENTO SOCIALISTA DE LOS TRABAJADORES","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,null,null]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

Officeholder observations
PersonRoleAs ofAffiliationPrincipal?
BONADEO ARIEL ALBERTOMIEMBRO COMUNAL2017FRENTE PROGRESISTA CIVICO Y SOCIALunknown
ISA YAMILE JESUSMIEMBRO COMUNAL2017FRENTE PROGRESISTA CIVICO Y SOCIALunknown
BORDIGA MARIA DEL CARMENMIEMBRO COMUNAL2017FRENTE JUSTICIALISTAunknown
CARRARO HERNAN DANIELMIEMBRO COMUNAL2019JUNTOSunknown
FAVRE MARIA GISELAMIEMBRO COMUNAL2019JUNTOSunknown
BONADEO ARIEL ALBERTOMIEMBRO COMUNAL2019FRENTE PROGRESISTA CIVICO Y SOCIALunknown
CARRARO HERNAN DANIELM. Comunal2023JUNTOS AVANCEMOSunknown
FAVRE MARIA GISELAM. Comunal2023JUNTOS AVANCEMOSunknown
PORTILLO NIDIA BEATRIZM. Comunal2023UNIDOS PARA CAMBIAR SANTA FEunknown
CARRARO HERNAN DANIELM. Comunal2025MÁS PARA SANTA FEunknown
FAVRE MARIA GISELAM. Comunal2025MÁS PARA SANTA FEunknown
PORTILLO NIDIA BEATRIZM. Comunal2025UNIDOS PARA CAMBIAR SANTA FEunknown

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Formal 2027 polling date is pending. Law 14,436 governs the 2027 transition. Local choices about council structure can remain open until 30 November 2026. Earlier communal commission returns are predecessor-institution comparisons; the new mayor/commission joint ballot is not an identical office. Official votes and elected rosters are retained. Council counts describe elected cohorts. Current governing membership and later replacements require verification. Missing older local results in several provincial datasets, full seat proclamations, intervened/replacement contests and dated coalition control. Many municipalities vote separately from provincial election day. Final 2027 calls remain subject to official publication. Ten Catamarca 2023 local returns now have primary provisional counts; final certification and older cycles are still missing. DINE 2015 download has no Catamarca local records. Entre Ríos final national consultation warns that foreign-voter tables are excluded. Neuquén final-file links returned access-denied responses; several older links point to private or defunct hosts.

  • other · open

    2019 locality result empty: {"issue": "2019 locality result empty", "name": "Distrito Tala-Sarandí", "code": "0079C"}

  • other · open

    Earlier same-election publication superseded: {"id": "AR-TU-D-OESTE", "year": 2019, "issue": "Earlier same-election publication superseded", "selected_publication": "2019-07-02", "discarded_publications": ["2019-06-15"]}

  • other · open

    Archive navigation year differs from date printed in source: {"file": "ar_formosa_2017_archivo_542.pdf", "issue": "Archive navigation year differs from date printed in source", "navigation_year": 2017, "source_date": "2019-06-16"}

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “ARROYO AGUIAR — Municipal mayor/commission joint ballot (2027 transition).” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/AR-SF-C-LACAPITAL-ARROYOAGUIAR. Sources: argentina--url-37c2f32beac05e8dc61453fe, argentina--url-c59a56523176464d6aa95c66, argentina--url-2607ae590a879ba1b04a5674, argentina--url-5f87e101c11beb3c13ee782c, argentina--url-5a55b3b32d7b3d501f49fde7, argentina--url-747e778c1827680bc64a662b, argentina--url-d7161d241341725861e1307d, argentina--Sa9a75bad2b02, argentina--S6cbb0ff8bc14, argentina--Sd5731ccd0603, argentina--S6c0f4226a3e8, argentina--S84142ab28f16, argentina--Sa3b7b35e32ee, argentina--S492e928e5e7e, argentina--S425b76ef9089, argentina--Sf3a1f8fa36ef, argentina--S633711fbbc90.