Skip to observatory content

Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

COLONIA MASCÍAS — Municipal mayor/commission joint ballot (2027 transition)

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Argentina · COLONIA MASCÍAS / Santa Fe — GARAY · municipal · Municipal mayor/commission joint ballot (2027 transition)AR-SF-C-GARAY-COLONIAMASCIAS

Read the complete original research briefing

Formal 2027 polling date is pending. Law 14,436 governs the 2027 transition. Local choices about council structure can remain open until 30 November 2026. Earlier communal commission returns are predecessor-institution comparisons; the new mayor/commission joint ballot is not an identical office. Official votes and elected rosters are retained. Council counts describe elected cohorts. Current governing membership and later replacements require verification.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
COLONIA MASCÍAS / Santa Fe — GARAY
Next election
2027; formal call pending
Linked upcoming event
next-f7e9df1e8dae2264b6583a12
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027; formal call pending is expected (not formally called). Year precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2025-06-29

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • UNIDOS PARA CAMBIAR SANTA FE49.9%
  • MÁS PARA SANTA FE36.0%
  • ACTIVEMOS8.5%
  • SOMOS VIDA Y LIBERTAD5.6%
Results for event-6d189b9f1a453c677adf89d2
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
UNIDOS PARA CAMBIAR SANTA FE78argentina/Sa9a75bad2b02/202531349.9%2Recorded
MÁS PARA SANTA FE8argentina/Sa9a75bad2b02/202522636%1Recorded
ACTIVEMOS14argentina/Sa9a75bad2b02/2025538.5%0 (recorded zero)Recorded
SOMOS VIDA Y LIBERTAD21argentina/Sa9a75bad2b02/2025355.6%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2023-09-10

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • JUNTOS AVANCEMOS53.0%
  • UNIDOS PARA CAMBIAR SANTA FE27.3%
  • FRENTE AMPLIO POR LA SOBERANIA19.7%
Results for event-84ccb3f806faf6f59d0ab8d0
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
JUNTOS AVANCEMOS83argentina/Sd5731ccd0603/202339353%2Recorded
UNIDOS PARA CAMBIAR SANTA FE102argentina/Sd5731ccd0603/202320227.3%1Recorded
FRENTE AMPLIO POR LA SOBERANIA105argentina/Sd5731ccd0603/202314619.7%0 (recorded zero)Recorded

2021-11-14

Ordinary · Legal certification not established · list votes

  • SANTA FE PARA TODOS59.0%
  • PARTIDO DEMOCRATA PROGRESISTA21.6%
  • SOBERANIA POPULAR15.9%
  • FRENTE DE TODOS3.4%
Results for event-bcaa7ca798976120031f9399
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
SANTA FE PARA TODOS144argentina/Sa535768b5ba8/202143159%UnknownRecorded
PARTIDO DEMOCRATA PROGRESISTA63argentina/Sa535768b5ba8/202115821.6%UnknownRecorded
SOBERANIA POPULAR73argentina/Sa535768b5ba8/202111615.9%UnknownRecorded
FRENTE DE TODOS31argentina/Sa535768b5ba8/2021253.4%UnknownRecorded

Other events (not selected cycles)

  • 2017-10-22 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2019-06-16 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established
  • 2015-06-14 · Ordinary · Legal certification not established

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Withheld

Unknown0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Comparison unavailable · Formal 2027 polling date is pending. Law 14,436 governs the 2027 transition. Local choices about council structure can remain open until 30 November 2026. Earlier communal commission returns are predecessor-institution comparisons; the new mayor/commission joint ballot is not an identical office. Official votes and elected rosters are retained. Council counts describe elected cohorts. Current governing membership and later replacements require verification.

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=null, oldest_gap=null, previous_gap=null

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Nine exact standalone party-name categories in the archived returns; accents normalized. Provincial alliances and renamed coalitions remain Other. A category records its published name, not a verified legal succession or inferred allocation of alliance votes. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA","UNION CIVICA RADICAL","PARTIDO SOCIALISTA","PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA","COALICION CIVICA - AFIRMACION PARA UNA REPUBLICA IGUALITARIA","GEN","PARTIDO OBRERO","PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES SOCIALISTAS","MOVIMIENTO SOCIALISTA DE LOS TRABAJADORES","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Nine exact standalone party-name categories in the archived returns; accents normalized. Provincial alliances and renamed coalitions remain Other. A category records its published name, not a verified legal succession or inferred allocation of alliance votes. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA","UNION CIVICA RADICAL","PARTIDO SOCIALISTA","PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA","COALICION CIVICA - AFIRMACION PARA UNA REPUBLICA IGUALITARIA","GEN","PARTIDO OBRERO","PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES SOCIALISTAS","MOVIMIENTO SOCIALISTA DE LOS TRABAJADORES","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,null,null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Nine exact standalone party-name categories in the archived returns; accents normalized. Provincial alliances and renamed coalitions remain Other. A category records its published name, not a verified legal succession or inferred allocation of alliance votes. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PARTIDO JUSTICIALISTA","UNION CIVICA RADICAL","PARTIDO SOCIALISTA","PRO - PROPUESTA REPUBLICANA","COALICION CIVICA - AFIRMACION PARA UNA REPUBLICA IGUALITARIA","GEN","PARTIDO OBRERO","PARTIDO DE LOS TRABAJADORES SOCIALISTAS","MOVIMIENTO SOCIALISTA DE LOS TRABAJADORES","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,null,null]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

Officeholder observations
PersonRoleAs ofAffiliationPrincipal?
STEFANO HECTOR MIGUELMIEMBRO COMUNAL2017FRENTE PROGRESISTA CIVICO Y SOCIALunknown
NINI CARLA ALEJANDRAMIEMBRO COMUNAL2017FRENTE PROGRESISTA CIVICO Y SOCIALunknown
SCHMIDT JUAN RODOLFOMIEMBRO COMUNAL2017FRENTE JUSTICIALISTAunknown
STEFANO HECTOR MIGUELMIEMBRO COMUNAL2019FRENTE PROGRESISTA CIVICO Y SOCIALunknown
BAEZ CARLOS FABIANMIEMBRO COMUNAL2019FRENTE PROGRESISTA CIVICO Y SOCIALunknown
SCHMIDT JUAN LUISMIEMBRO COMUNAL2019JUNTOSunknown
STEFANO HECTOR MIGUELM. Comunal2023JUNTOS AVANCEMOSunknown
NARDONI ELSA CAROLINAM. Comunal2023JUNTOS AVANCEMOSunknown
PATIÑO JESUS ALEJANDROM. Comunal2023UNIDOS PARA CAMBIAR SANTA FEunknown
SELMI OSCAR ALBERTOM. Comunal2025UNIDOS PARA CAMBIAR SANTA FEunknown
BOGADO CARLA IVANAM. Comunal2025UNIDOS PARA CAMBIAR SANTA FEunknown
SCHMIDT JUAN LUISM. Comunal2025MÁS PARA SANTA FEunknown

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

National context is listed on the polling page. It is not a local forecast.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

Formal 2027 polling date is pending. Law 14,436 governs the 2027 transition. Local choices about council structure can remain open until 30 November 2026. Earlier communal commission returns are predecessor-institution comparisons; the new mayor/commission joint ballot is not an identical office. Official votes and elected rosters are retained. Council counts describe elected cohorts. Current governing membership and later replacements require verification. Missing older local results in several provincial datasets, full seat proclamations, intervened/replacement contests and dated coalition control. Many municipalities vote separately from provincial election day. Final 2027 calls remain subject to official publication. Ten Catamarca 2023 local returns now have primary provisional counts; final certification and older cycles are still missing. DINE 2015 download has no Catamarca local records. Entre Ríos final national consultation warns that foreign-voter tables are excluded. Neuquén final-file links returned access-denied responses; several older links point to private or defunct hosts.

  • other · open

    2019 locality result empty: {"issue": "2019 locality result empty", "name": "Distrito Tala-Sarandí", "code": "0079C"}

  • other · open

    Earlier same-election publication superseded: {"id": "AR-TU-D-OESTE", "year": 2019, "issue": "Earlier same-election publication superseded", "selected_publication": "2019-07-02", "discarded_publications": ["2019-06-15"]}

  • other · open

    Archive navigation year differs from date printed in source: {"file": "ar_formosa_2017_archivo_542.pdf", "issue": "Archive navigation year differs from date printed in source", "navigation_year": 2017, "source_date": "2019-06-16"}

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “COLONIA MASCÍAS — Municipal mayor/commission joint ballot (2027 transition).” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/AR-SF-C-GARAY-COLONIAMASCIAS. Sources: argentina--url-37c2f32beac05e8dc61453fe, argentina--url-c59a56523176464d6aa95c66, argentina--url-8b03c523605ea84ff08fac33, argentina--url-5f87e101c11beb3c13ee782c, argentina--url-5a55b3b32d7b3d501f49fde7, argentina--url-75752ce79d5bc8e425bbfe12, argentina--url-d7161d241341725861e1307d, argentina--Sa9a75bad2b02, argentina--S6cbb0ff8bc14, argentina--Sd5731ccd0603, argentina--S6c0f4226a3e8, argentina--Sa535768b5ba8, argentina--Sa3b7b35e32ee, argentina--S492e928e5e7e, argentina--S425b76ef9089, argentina--Sf3a1f8fa36ef, argentina--S8548b1f2b2b4.